Author Archive

Hardball Retrospective – The “Original” 2001 Seattle Mariners

In “Hardball Retrospective: Evaluating Scouting and Development Outcomes for the Modern-Era Franchises”, I placed every ballplayer in the modern era (from 1901-present) on their original team. Therefore, Joe Torre is listed on the Braves roster for the duration of his career while the Brewers declare Darrell Porter and the Cardinals claim Keith Hernandez. I calculated revised standings for every season based entirely on the performance of each team’s “original” players. I discuss every team’s “original” players and seasons at length along with organizational performance with respect to the Amateur Draft (or First-Year Player Draft), amateur free agent signings and other methods of player acquisition.  Season standings, WAR and Win Shares totals for the “original” teams are compared against the “actual” team results to assess each franchise’s scouting, development and general management skills.

Expanding on my research for the book, the following series of articles will reveal the finest single-season rosters for every Major League organization based on overall rankings in OWAR and OWS along with the general managers and scouting directors that constructed the teams. “Hardball Retrospective” is available in digital format on Amazon, Barnes and Noble, GooglePlay, iTunes and KoboBooks. The paperback edition is available on Amazon, Barnes and Noble and CreateSpace. Supplemental Statistics, Charts and Graphs along with a discussion forum are offered at TuataraSoftware.com.

Don Daglow (Intellivision World Series Major League Baseball, Earl Weaver Baseball, Tony LaRussa Baseball) contributed the foreword for Hardball Retrospective. The foreword and preview of my book are accessible here.

Terminology

OWAR – Wins Above Replacement for players on “original” teams

OWS – Win Shares for players on “original” teams

OPW% – Pythagorean Won-Loss record for the “original” teams

Assessment

The 2001 Seattle Mariners          OWAR: 59.1     OWS: 326     OPW%: .567

Based on the revised standings the “Original” 2001 Mariners outpaced the Athletics, taking the American League pennant by four games. Seattle topped the circuit in OWS and OWAR. GM Woody Woodward acquired 32 of the 38 ballplayers (84%) on the M’s 2001 roster.

Ichiro Suzuki (.350/8/69) earned the 2001 American League MVP and Rookie of the Year Awards following a spectacular season. Suzuki topped the leader boards with 242 base knocks, 56 stolen bases and seized the batting crown. Bret Boone (.331/37/141) supplied career-highs in virtually every offensive category and placed third in the MVP race. Alex Rodriguez (.318/52/135) surpassed the 50-home run mark for the first time in his career and paced the League with 133 tallies. Edgar Martinez rapped 40 doubles and supplied a .306 BA with 23 jacks and 116 RBI. First-sacker Tino Martinez (.280/34/113) and Ken Griffey, Jr. (.286/22/65) provided additional thump while outfielder Jose Cruz Jr. posted a 30-30 campaign.

Ken Griffey, Jr. places seventh among center fielders according to Bill James in “The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract.” Teammates listed in the “NBJHBA” top 100 rankings include Rodriguez (17th-SS), Edgar Martinez (31st-3B) and Omar Vizquel (61st-SS). “A-Rod” only had five full seasons under his belt at the time which accounts for his low rating.

LINEUP POS WAR WS
Ichiro Suzuki RF 6.43 31.91
Bret Boone 2B 5.72 34.96
Alex Rodriguez SS 8.2 34.67
Edgar Martinez DH 4.83 25.22
Tino Martinez 1B 2.24 20.14
Ken Griffey, Jr. CF 1.94 12.8
Jose Cruz, Jr. LF/CF 1.83 18.14
Jason Varitek C 1.41 6.62
Desi Relaford 3B/2B 1.63 13.24
BENCH POS WAR WS
Raul Ibanez DH 0.66 7.05
David Ortiz DH 0.16 6.83
Jermaine Clark DH -0.01 0
Darren Bragg RF -0.07 1.2
Charles Gipson LF -0.23 1.01
Ramon Vazquez SS -0.23 0.32
Wilson Delgado SS -0.25 0.35
Omar Vizquel SS -0.49 12.72
Andy Sheets SS -0.6 1.73

Joe Mays deserved his lone All-Star nod, notching 17 victories with a 3.16 ERA. Mike Hampton accrued 14 wins while Joel Piñiero fashioned a 2.03 ERA in 11 starts. Kazuhiro Sasaki locked down 45 contests and Derek Lowe added 24 saves, forming a stout relief corps.

ROTATION POS WAR WS
Joe Mays SP 7.13 22.29
Mike Hampton SP 2.86 10.64
Joel Pineiro SP 2.12 7.28
Shawn Estes SP 1.66 7.72
Ron Villone SP -0.27 2.95
BULLPEN POS WAR WS
Derek Lowe RP 1.72 11.21
Kazuhiro Sasaki RP 0.96 11.84
Kerry Ligtenberg RP 0.63 5.04
Jim Mecir RP 0.6 5.68
Ryan Franklin RP 0.44 5.33
Matt Mantei RP 0.22 0.86
Brian Fuentes RP -0.06 0.52
Damaso Marte RP -0.12 1.36
Trey Moore RP -0.22 0.28
Leslie Brea RP -0.28 0
Roy Smith RP -0.5 0
Brett Hinchliffe SP -0.51 0
Denny Stark SP -0.56 0
Mac Suzuki SP -0.85 2.98
Dave Burba SP -0.99 2.27

The “Original” 2001 Seattle Mariners roster

NAME POS WAR WS General Manager Scouting Director
Alex Rodriguez SS 8.2 34.67 Woody Woodward Roger Jongewaard
Joe Mays SP 7.13 22.29 Woody Woodward Roger Jongewaard
Ichiro Suzuki RF 6.43 31.91 Pat Gillick Frank Mattox
Bret Boone 2B 5.72 34.96 Woody Woodward Roger Jongewaard
Edgar Martinez DH 4.83 25.22 Dan O’Brien
Mike Hampton SP 2.86 10.64 Woody Woodward Roger Jongewaard
Tino Martinez 1B 2.24 20.14 Dick Balderson Roger Jongewaard
Joel Pineiro SP 2.12 7.28 Woody Woodward Roger Jongewaard
Ken Griffey, Jr. CF 1.94 12.8 Dick Balderson Roger Jongewaard
Jose Cruz, Jr. CF 1.83 18.14 Woody Woodward Roger Jongewaard
Derek Lowe RP 1.72 11.21 Woody Woodward Roger Jongewaard
Shawn Estes SP 1.66 7.72 Woody Woodward Roger Jongewaard
Desi Relaford 2B 1.63 13.24 Woody Woodward Roger Jongewaard
Jason Varitek C 1.41 6.62 Woody Woodward Roger Jongewaard
Kazuhiro Sasaki RP 0.96 11.84 Woody Woodward Frank Mattox
Raul Ibanez DH 0.66 7.05 Woody Woodward Roger Jongewaard
Kerry Ligtenberg RP 0.63 5.04 Woody Woodward Roger Jongewaard
Jim Mecir RP 0.6 5.68 Woody Woodward Roger Jongewaard
Ryan Franklin RP 0.44 5.33 Woody Woodward Roger Jongewaard
Matt Mantei RP 0.22 0.86 Woody Woodward Roger Jongewaard
David Ortiz DH 0.16 6.83 Woody Woodward Roger Jongewaard
Jermaine Clark DH -0.01 0 Woody Woodward Roger Jongewaard
Brian Fuentes RP -0.06 0.52 Woody Woodward Roger Jongewaard
Darren Bragg RF -0.07 1.2 Woody Woodward Roger Jongewaard
Damaso Marte RP -0.12 1.36 Woody Woodward Roger Jongewaard
Trey Moore RP -0.22 0.28 Woody Woodward Roger Jongewaard
Charles Gipson LF -0.23 1.01 Woody Woodward Roger Jongewaard
Ramon Vazquez SS -0.23 0.32 Woody Woodward Roger Jongewaard
Wilson Delgado SS -0.25 0.35 Woody Woodward Roger Jongewaard
Ron Villone SP -0.27 2.95 Woody Woodward Roger Jongewaard
Leslie Brea RP -0.28 0 Woody Woodward Roger Jongewaard
Omar Vizquel SS -0.49 12.72 Hal Keller
Roy Smith RP -0.5 0 Woody Woodward Roger Jongewaard
Brett Hinchliffe SP -0.51 0 Woody Woodward Roger Jongewaard
Denny Stark SP -0.56 0 Woody Woodward Roger Jongewaard
Andy Sheets SS -0.6 1.73 Woody Woodward Roger Jongewaard
Mac Suzuki SP -0.85 2.98 Woody Woodward Roger Jongewaard
Dave Burba SP -0.99 2.27 Dick Balderson Roger Jongewaard

Honorable Mention

The “Original” 2007 Mariners OWAR: 55.1     OWS: 317     OPW%: .591

Seattle obliterated the competition in the American League Western division by a 16-game margin, securing the pennant while tallying the highest OWS and OWAR scores in the Majors. Alex Rodriguez (.314/54/156) claimed his third A.L. MVP Award and paced the circuit in home runs, RBI, runs scored (143) and SLG (.645). Ichiro Suzuki delivered a .351 BA and topped the American League with 238 base hits. David Ortiz blasted 35 round-trippers and knocked in 117 baserunners. “Big Papi” registered 116 tallies and topped the charts with 111 bases on balls along with a .445 OBP.  Kenji Johjima whacked 29 doubles and batted .287 in his sophomore season. Raul Ibanez contributed a .291 BA with 35 two-base hits, 21 dingers and 105 ribbies. Ken Griffey Jr. dialed long distance 30 times and merited his thirteenth and final visit to the Midsummer Classic. J.J. Putz fashioned a 1.38 ERA, saved 40 contests and earned his lone All-Star appearance.

On Deck

The “Original” 1997 Red Sox

References and Resources

Baseball America – Executive Database

Baseball-Reference

James, Bill. The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract. New York, NY.: The Free Press, 2001. Print.

James, Bill, with Jim Henzler. Win Shares. Morton Grove, Ill.: STATS, 2002. Print.

Retrosheet – Transactions Database

Seamheads – Baseball Gauge

Sean Lahman Baseball Archive


Hardball Retrospective – The “Original” 1907 Philadelphia Phillies

In “Hardball Retrospective: Evaluating Scouting and Development Outcomes for the Modern-Era Franchises”, I placed every ballplayer in the modern era (from 1901-present) on their original team. Therefore, Rusty Staub is listed on the Astros roster for the duration of his career while the Athletics declare “Shoeless” Joe Jackson and the Blue Jays claim Tony Fernandez. I calculated revised standings for every season based entirely on the performance of each team’s “original” players. I discuss every team’s “original” players and seasons at length along with organizational performance with respect to the Amateur Draft (or First-Year Player Draft), amateur free agent signings and other methods of player acquisition.  Season standings, WAR and Win Shares totals for the “original” teams are compared against the “actual” team results to assess each franchise’s scouting, development and general management skills.

Expanding on my research for the book, the following series of articles will reveal the finest single-season rosters for every Major League organization based on overall rankings in OWAR and OWS along with the general managers and scouting directors that constructed the teams. “Hardball Retrospective” is available in digital format on Amazon, Barnes and Noble, GooglePlay, iTunes and KoboBooks. The paperback edition is available on Amazon, Barnes and Noble and CreateSpace. Supplemental Statistics, Charts and Graphs along with a discussion forum are offered at TuataraSoftware.com.

Don Daglow (Intellivision World Series Major League Baseball, Earl Weaver Baseball, Tony LaRussa Baseball) contributed the foreword for Hardball Retrospective. The foreword and preview of my book are accessible here.

Terminology

OWAR – Wins Above Replacement for players on “original” teams

OWS – Win Shares for players on “original” teams

OPW% – Pythagorean Won-Loss record for the “original” teams

Assessment

The 1907 Philadelphia Phillies    OWAR: 56.2     OWS: 349     OPW%: .527

Based on the revised standings the “Original” 1907 Phillies finished in a tie for fourth place, only six games behind the front-running Cubbies. Philadelphia paced the National League in OWS and OWAR.

Sherry Magee batted .328 with a League-best 85 RBI and a team-leading 37 Win Shares. Elmer Flick supplied a .302 BA and legged out 18 three-base hits. Nap Lajoie rapped 30 doubles and pilfered 24 bases. The keystone combo of Ed Abbaticchio and Kid Elberfeld swiped 57 bags. Roy A. Thomas posted a .374 OBP and led the League in walks for the seventh time in eight seasons. “Silent” John Titus provided a solid option as a fourth outfielder, belting 23 doubles and 12 triples while hitting at a .275 clip.

Nap Lajoie places sixth among second basemen according to Bill James in “The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract.” Teammates listed in the “NBJHBA” top 100 rankings include Magee (21st-LF), Flick (23rd-RF), Thomas (29th-CF), Kid Gleason (72nd-2B), Elberfeld (75th-SS) and John Titus (76th-RF).

LINEUP POS WAR WS
Roy Thomas CF 2.55 20.78
Nap Lajoie 1B/2B 7.5 30.2
Sherry Magee LF 7.13 37.68
Elmer Flick RF 4.95 34.39
Kid Elberfeld SS 2.9 21.36
Fred Jacklitsch C 0.84 8.17
Ed Abbaticchio 2B 2.27 20.54
3B
BENCH POS WAR WS
John Titus RF 2.16 23
Doc Marshall C 0.44 2.67
George Browne RF 0.39 12.1
Mickey Doolin SS 0.06 12.08
Paul Sentell SS -0.06 0.02
Red Dooin C -0.21 7.72
Del Howard LF -1.08 7.34
Kid Gleason 2B -1.44 1.12

Doc White fashioned a 2.26 ERA and a 1.058 WHIP while topping the leader boards with a 27-13 record. Tully Sparks delivered a 22-8 mark with a 2.00 ERA and 1.026 WHIP as he completed 24 of 31 starts. Johnny Lush (10-15, 2.68) and “Smiling” Al Orth (14-21, 2.61) rounded out the Phillies’ rotation. George McQuillan (4-0, 0.66) yielded only three earned runs in 41 innings pitched during his inaugural campaign.

ROTATION POS WAR WS
Doc White SP 4.37 23.84
Tully Sparks SP 3.63 23.54
Johnny Lush SP 0.53 12.13
Al Orth SP -0.06 15.29
BULLPEN POS WAR WS
Harry Coveleski RP 0.7 2.75
King Brady RP -0.02 0.13
George McQuillan SP 2.32 7.19
Fred Burchell SP -0.09 0.27
Jesse Whiting RP -0.28 0
John McCloskey RP -0.58 0
Bill Duggleby SP -1.42 1.9
Bill Bernhard SP -1.54 0

The “Original” 1907 Philadelphia Phillies roster

NAME POS WAR WS General Manager Scouting Director
Nap Lajoie 2B 7.5 30.2
Sherry Magee LF 7.13 37.68
Elmer Flick RF 4.95 34.39
Doc White SP 4.37 23.84
Tully Sparks SP 3.63 23.54
Kid Elberfeld SS 2.9 21.36
Roy Thomas CF 2.55 20.78
George McQuillan SP 2.32 7.19
Ed Abbaticchio 2B 2.27 20.54
John Titus RF 2.16 23
Fred Jacklitsch C 0.84 8.17
Harry Coveleski RP 0.7 2.75
Johnny Lush SP 0.53 12.13
Doc Marshall C 0.44 2.67
George Browne RF 0.39 12.1
Mickey Doolin SS 0.06 12.08
King Brady RP -0.02 0.13
Paul Sentell SS -0.06 0.02
Al Orth SP -0.06 15.29
Fred Burchell SP -0.09 0.27
Red Dooin C -0.21 7.72
Jesse Whiting RP -0.28 0
John McCloskey RP -0.58 0
Del Howard LF -1.08 7.34
Bill Duggleby SP -1.42 1.9
Kid Gleason 2B -1.44 1.12
Bill Bernhard SP -1.54 0

Honorable Mention

The “Original” 1978 Phillies   OWAR: 57.7     OWS: 320     OPW%: .547

Clashing with the Expos and the Bucs into the final week of the ’78 season, Philadelphia emerged in third place, only two games behind Pittsburgh. The Fightin’ Phillies led the circuit in OWAR and placed runner-up to the Pirates in OWS. Greg “The Bull” Luzinski launched 35 moon-shots and knocked in 101 baserunners. First-sacker Andre Thornton blasted 33 long balls, tallied 105 RBI and scored a personal-best 97 runs. Larry Hisle delivered a .290 BA with career-bests in home runs (34) and RBI (115). Mike Schmidt struggled through a sub-par season at the dish but played stellar defensive at the hot corner, winning his third of nine consecutive Gold Glove Awards. Shortstop Larry Bowa contributed 27 steals and a .294 BA while backstop John “Bad Dude” Stearns pilfered 25 bases. Fergie “Fly” Jenkins furnished a record of 18-8 with a 3.04 ERA and 1.080 WHIP. Dick Ruthven provided 15 wins with a 3.38 ERA. Mike G. Marshall anchored the relief corps with 10 victories and 21 saves.

On Deck

The “Original” 2001 Mariners

References and Resources

Baseball America – Executive Database

Baseball-Reference

James, Bill. The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract. New York, NY.: The Free Press, 2001. Print.

James, Bill, with Jim Henzler. Win Shares. Morton Grove, Ill.: STATS, 2002. Print.

Retrosheet – Transactions Database

Seamheads – Baseball Gauge

Sean Lahman Baseball Archive


Hardball Retrospective – The “Original” 1931 Philadelphia Athletics

In “Hardball Retrospective: Evaluating Scouting and Development Outcomes for the Modern-Era Franchises”, I placed every ballplayer in the modern era (from 1901-present) on their original team. Therefore, Frank Tanana is listed on the Angels roster for the duration of his career while the White Sox declare Edd Roush and the Yankees claim Hippo Vaughn. I calculated revised standings for every season based entirely on the performance of each team’s “original” players. I discuss every team’s “original” players and seasons at length along with organizational performance with respect to the Amateur Draft (or First-Year Player Draft), amateur free agent signings and other methods of player acquisition.  Season standings, WAR and Win Shares totals for the “original” teams are compared against the “actual” team results to assess each franchise’s scouting, development and general management skills.

Expanding on my research for the book, the following series of articles will reveal the finest single-season rosters for every Major League organization based on overall rankings in OWAR and OWS along with the general managers and scouting directors that constructed the teams. “Hardball Retrospective” is available in digital format on Amazon, Barnes and Noble, GooglePlay, iTunes and KoboBooks. The paperback edition is available on Amazon, Barnes and Noble and CreateSpace. Supplemental Statistics, Charts and Graphs along with a discussion forum are offered at TuataraSoftware.com.

Don Daglow (Intellivision World Series Major League Baseball, Earl Weaver Baseball, Tony LaRussa Baseball) contributed the foreword for Hardball Retrospective. The foreword and preview of my book are accessible here.

Terminology

OWAR – Wins Above Replacement for players on “original” teams

OWS – Win Shares for players on “original” teams

OPW% – Pythagorean Won-Loss record for the “original” teams

Assessment

The 1931 Philadelphia Athletics    OWAR: 53.6     OWS: 347     OPW%: .524

Connie Mack acquired all of the ballplayers on the 1931 Athletics roster. Based on the revised standings the “Original” 1931 A’s finished in second place, two games behind the Yankees. Philadelphia paced the Junior Circuit in OWS and led the League in OWAR for the fourth straight season (1928-1931).

“Bucketfoot” Al Simmons (.390/22/128) collected his second successive batting title and placed third in the American League MVP balloting. Mickey Cochrane drilled 31 doubles and delivered a .349 BA. Max “Camera Eye” Bishop amassed over 100 bases on balls in eight consecutive seasons (1926-1933). Jimmie Foxx belted 30 round-trippers and drove in 120 baserunners. Charlie Grimm aka “Jolly Cholly” contributed a .331 BA with 33 doubles and 11 triples.

Jimmie Foxx ranks second to Lou Gehrig among first basemen while Lefty Grove places runner-up to Walter Johnson according to Bill James in “The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract.” Teammates cataloged in the “NBJHBA” top 100 rankings include Cochrane (4th-C), Simmons (7th-LF), Wally Schang (20th-C), Bishop (43rd-2B), Jimmie Dykes (52nd-3B), Grimm (85th-1B), Joe Dugan (88th-3B) and Doc Cramer (91st-CF).

LINEUP POS WAR WS
Max Bishop 2B 5.27 24.91
Mickey Cochrane C 5.68 28.31
Al Simmons LF 5.89 33.75
Jimmie Foxx 3B/1B 3.93 24.11
Charlie Grimm 1B 3.02 20.08
Rube Bressler LF 0.39 3.09
Lou Finney RF 0.31 1.69
Dib Williams SS -0.32 9.16
BENCH POS WAR WS
Jimmie Dykes 3B 0.65 13.13
Charlie Berry C 1.88 10.79
Val Picinich C 0.18 1.41
Glenn Myatt C -0.05 3.87
Joe Palmisano C -0.1 0.72
Lena Styles C -0.15 0.73
Cy Perkins C -0.16 0.49
Joe Dugan 3B -0.19 0.09
Wally Schang C -0.32 1.16
Eric McNair 3B -0.35 5.71
Doc Cramer CF -0.54 3.61
Frank Sigafoos 3B -0.68 0.34
Joe Boley SS -1.15 3.29

Lefty Grove claimed the 1931 American League MVP award with a dominant performance including League-bests in victories (31), ERA (2.06), WHIP (1.077) and complete games (27). He also struck out the most batsmen in the circuit for the seventh year in a row. George “Moose” Earnshaw topped the 20-win plateau for the third straight season. Herb Pennock and Tom Zachary furnished 11 victories apiece.

ROTATION POS WAR WS
Lefty Grove SP 10.74 41.58
George Earnshaw SP 5.57 28.08
Tom Zachary SP 3.99 19.78
Herb Pennock SP 2.78 9.47
BULLPEN POS WAR WS
Eddie Rommel SP 2.6 12.06
Fred Heimach SP 0.85 9.61
Lew Krausse SP 0.11 0.92
Hank McDonald SP 0.05 3.95
Jim Peterson SW -0.1 0.3
Sol Carter RP -0.32 0
Bill Shores SP -0.64 0.14
Dolly Gray SP -0.95 9.99
Socks Seibold SP -1.22 6.27

The “Original” 1931 Philadelphia Athletics roster

NAME POS WAR WS General Manager Scouting Director
Lefty Grove SP 10.74 41.58 Connie Mack
Al Simmons LF 5.89 33.75 Connie Mack
Mickey Cochrane C 5.68 28.31 Connie Mack
George Earnshaw SP 5.57 28.08 Connie Mack
Max Bishop 2B 5.27 24.91 Connie Mack
Tom Zachary SP 3.99 19.78 Connie Mack
Jimmie Foxx 1B 3.93 24.11 Connie Mack
Charlie Grimm 1B 3.02 20.08 Connie Mack
Herb Pennock SP 2.78 9.47 Connie Mack
Eddie Rommel SP 2.6 12.06 Connie Mack
Charlie Berry C 1.88 10.79 Connie Mack
Fred Heimach SP 0.85 9.61 Connie Mack
Jimmie Dykes 3B 0.65 13.13 Connie Mack
Rube Bressler LF 0.39 3.09 Connie Mack
Lou Finney RF 0.31 1.69 Connie Mack
Val Picinich C 0.18 1.41 Connie Mack
Lew Krausse SP 0.11 0.92 Connie Mack
Hank McDonald SP 0.05 3.95 Connie Mack
Glenn Myatt C -0.05 3.87 Connie Mack
Jim Peterson SW -0.1 0.3 Connie Mack
Joe Palmisano C -0.1 0.72 Connie Mack
Lena Styles C -0.15 0.73 Connie Mack
Cy Perkins C -0.16 0.49 Connie Mack
Joe Dugan 3B -0.19 0.09 Connie Mack
Wally Schang C -0.32 1.16 Connie Mack
Dib Williams SS -0.32 9.16 Connie Mack
Sol Carter RP -0.32 0 Connie Mack
Eric McNair 3B -0.35 5.71 Connie Mack
Doc Cramer CF -0.54 3.61 Connie Mack
Bill Shores SP -0.64 0.14 Connie Mack
Frank Sigafoos 3B -0.68 0.34 Connie Mack
Dolly Gray SP -0.95 9.99 Connie Mack
Joe Boley SS -1.15 3.29 Connie Mack
Socks Seibold SP -1.22 6.27 Connie Mack

Honorable Mention

The “Original” 1911 Athletics            OWAR: 46.1     OWS: 303     OPW%: .597

Philadelphia coasted to the pennant by a nine-game margin over Boston. “Shoeless” Joe Jackson posted a .408 BA in his first full season. He collected 233 safeties, scored 126 runs and led the Junior Circuit with a .468 OBP. Eddie Collins swiped 38 bags while batting at a .365 clip. “Home Run” Baker (.334/11/115) topped the American League in circuit clouts for the first of four consecutive campaigns. Matty McIntyre totaled 102 runs and produced a .323 BA. “Gettysburg” Eddie Plank delivered a 23-8 record with a 2.10 ERA including six shutouts. Jack Coombs led the League with 28 victories despite allowing 360 hits in 336.2 innings pitched. Bris Lord aka the “Human Eyeball” supplied a .310 BA and accrued 92 tallies.

The “Original” 2002 Athletics            OWAR: 45.8     OWS: 304     OPW%: .578

Jason Giambi (.314/41/122) coaxed 109 bases on balls and tallied 120 runs as the ’02 squad finished five games ahead of the Angels for the American League pennant. Miguel Tejada (.308/34/131) achieved MVP honors and made his first All-Star appearance while registering 108 aces and 204 base knocks. Barry Zito claimed the Cy Young Award with a record of 23-5 and an ERA of 2.75. Tim Hudson contributed 15 victories and a 2.98 ERA while portsider Mark Mulder accrued 19 wins. Eric Chavez launched 34 long balls, drove in 109 baserunners and earned the second of six consecutive Gold Glove Awards.

On Deck

The “Original” 1907 Phillies

References and Resources

Baseball America – Executive Database

Baseball-Reference

James, Bill. The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract. New York, NY.: The Free Press, 2001. Print.

James, Bill, with Jim Henzler. Win Shares. Morton Grove, Ill.: STATS, 2002. Print.

Retrosheet – Transactions Database

Seamheads – Baseball Gauge

Sean Lahman Baseball Archive


Hardball Retrospective – The “Original” 1977 Pittsburgh Pirates

In “Hardball Retrospective: Evaluating Scouting and Development Outcomes for the Modern-Era Franchises”, I placed every ballplayer in the modern era (from 1901-present) on their original team. Therefore, Dan Quisenberry is listed on the Royals roster for the duration of his career while the Tigers declare Charlie Gehringer and the Senators claim Goose Goslin. I calculated revised standings for every season based entirely on the performance of each team’s “original” players. I discuss every team’s “original” players and seasons at length along with organizational performance with respect to the Amateur Draft (or First-Year Player Draft), amateur free agent signings and other methods of player acquisition.  Season standings, WAR and Win Shares totals for the “original” teams are compared against the “actual” team results to assess each franchise’s scouting, development and general management skills.

Expanding on my research for the book, the following series of articles will reveal the finest single-season rosters for every Major League organization based on overall rankings in OWAR and OWS along with the general managers and scouting directors that constructed the teams. “Hardball Retrospective” is available in digital format on Amazon, Barnes and Noble, GooglePlay, iTunes and KoboBooks. The paperback edition is available on Amazon, Barnes and Noble and CreateSpace. Supplemental Statistics, Charts and Graphs along with a discussion forum are offered at TuataraSoftware.com.

Don Daglow (Intellivision World Series Major League Baseball, Earl Weaver Baseball, Tony LaRussa Baseball) contributed the foreword for Hardball Retrospective. The foreword and preview of my book are accessible here.

Terminology

OWAR – Wins Above Replacement for players on “original” teams

OWS – Win Shares for players on “original” teams

OPW% – Pythagorean Won-Loss record for the “original” teams

Assessment

The 1977 Pittsburgh Pirates          OWAR: 53.6     OWS: 347     OPW%: .524

GM Joe Brown acquired all of the ballplayers on the 1977 Pirates roster. Based on the revised standings the “Original” 1977 Pirates tied for second place with the Phillies, one game behind the Cardinals. Pittsburgh topped the Senior Circuit in OWS during consecutive campaigns (1977-78).

Dave Parker (.338/21/88) collected his first batting title and paced the League with 215 base knocks and 44 two-baggers. “Cobra” merited his first All-Star nomination and Gold Glove Award while placing third in the NL MVP balloting. Mitchell Page (.307/21/85) pilfered 42 bags and finished runner-up in the Rookie of the Year vote. Don Money cracked a career-best 25 circuit clouts and received his third All-Star nod. Al “Scoop” Oliver contributed a .308 BA with 19 round-trippers. Richie Zisk clubbed 30 long balls and knocked in 101 baserunners. Willie Randolph laced 11 triples and tallied 91 runs.

Willie Stargell swatted 13 big-flies despite missing almost two-thirds of the 1977 campaign. “Pops” ranks ninth among left fielders according to Bill James in “The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract.” Teammates enumerated in the “NBJHBA” top 100 rankings include Parker (14th-RF), Randolph (17th-2B), Oliver (31st-CF), Manny Sanguillen (42nd-C), Dave Cash (50th-2B), Money (55th-3B), Richie Hebner (56th-3B), Zisk (69th-RF), Freddie Patek (73rd – SS), Bob Bailey (79th – 3B), Tony Armas (89th-RF) and Rennie Stennett (90th-2B).

LINEUP POS WAR WS
Willie Randolph 2B 4.69 20.08
Mitchell Page LF 6.07 29.41
Dave Parker RF 5.02 32.6
Don Money 3B/2B 4.11 21.87
Al Oliver CF/LF 2.04 20.19
Richie Hebner 1B 2.7 16.01
Milt May C 1.66 9.63
Freddie Patek SS 1.55 14.76
BENCH POS WAR WS
Rennie Stennett 2B 3.57 17.98
Art Howe 2B 1.83 13.91
Richie Zisk RF 1.82 20.15
Tony Armas CF 1.49 7.76
Dave Cash 2B 1.11 17.12
Frank Taveras SS 1.01 13.78
Ed Ott C 0.67 10.69
Willie Stargell 1B 0.63 8.47
Omar Moreno CF 0.47 12.62
Craig Reynolds SS 0.1 6.74
Gene Clines LF 0.04 5.48
Bob Bailey 0.02 1.61
Jimmy Sexton SS -0.05 0.58
Mike Edwards 2B -0.12 0.16
Miguel Dilone LF -0.33 0.32
Dale Berra 3B -0.41 0.42
Manny Sanguillen C -0.44 10.27
Ken Macha 3B -0.55 0.66
Mario Mendoza SS -0.58 1.22
Bobby Tolan 1B -0.68 0.26

John “Candy Man” Candelaria earned his lone All-Star appearance with a 20-5 record along with a League-best 2.34 ERA. Dock Ellis supplied 12 victories and an ERA of 3.63. Rick Langford surpassed the 200-innings mark while losing 19 of 27 decisions. The bullpen subdued late-inning rallies by the opposition, co-anchored by Gene Garber (2.35, 19 saves) and Kent Tekulve (10-1, 3.06).

ROTATION POS WAR WS
John Candelaria SP 8.07 24.69
Dock Ellis SP 2.37 16.07
Rick Langford SP 1.02 8.44
Bruce Kison SP 0.39 5.71
Timothy Jones SP 0.64 1.73
BULLPEN POS WAR WS
Gene Garber RP 2.19 15.16
Kent Tekulve RP 0.95 11.48
Bruce Dal Canton RP 0.25 1.6
Doug Bair RP 0.21 5.46
Al Holland RP -0.09 0
Ed Whitson SP 0.27 1.21
Woodie Fryman SP 0.08 1.95
Rick Honeycutt SP 0.02 1.18
Silvio Martinez RP -0.22 0.07
Odell Jones SP -0.28 2.24
Bill Laxton RP -0.64 3.32
Ramon Hernandez RP -0.67 0.1
Larry Demery SW -1.04 2.06

The “Original” 1977 Pittsburgh Pirates roster

NAME POS WAR WS General Manager Scouting Director
John Candelaria SP 8.07 24.69 Joe Brown Harding Peterson
Mitchell Page LF 6.07 29.41 Joe Brown Harding Peterson
Dave Parker RF 5.02 32.6 Joe Brown Harding Peterson
Willie Randolph 2B 4.69 20.08 Joe Brown Harding Peterson
Don Money 2B 4.11 21.87 Joe Brown
Rennie Stennett 2B 3.57 17.98 Joe Brown Harding Peterson
Richie Hebner 1B 2.7 16.01 Joe Brown
Dock Ellis SP 2.37 16.07 Joe Brown
Gene Garber RP 2.19 15.16 Joe Brown
Al Oliver LF 2.04 20.19 Joe Brown
Art Howe 2B 1.83 13.91 Joe Brown Harding Peterson
Richie Zisk RF 1.82 20.15 Joe Brown
Milt May C 1.66 9.63 Joe Brown
Freddie Patek SS 1.55 14.76 Joe Brown
Tony Armas CF 1.49 7.76 Joe Brown Harding Peterson
Dave Cash 2B 1.11 17.12 Joe Brown
Rick Langford SP 1.02 8.44 Joe Brown Harding Peterson
Frank Taveras SS 1.01 13.78 Joe Brown
Kent Tekulve RP 0.95 11.48 Joe Brown Harding Peterson
Ed Ott C 0.67 10.69 Joe Brown Harding Peterson
Timothy Jones SP 0.64 1.73 Joe Brown Harding Peterson
Willie Stargell 1B 0.63 8.47 Joe Brown
Omar Moreno CF 0.47 12.62 Joe Brown Harding Peterson
Bruce Kison SP 0.39 5.71 Joe Brown
Ed Whitson SP 0.27 1.21 Joe Brown Harding Peterson
Bruce Dal Canton RP 0.25 1.6 Joe Brown
Doug Bair RP 0.21 5.46 Joe Brown Harding Peterson
Craig Reynolds SS 0.1 6.74 Joe Brown Harding Peterson
Woodie Fryman SP 0.08 1.95 Joe Brown
Gene Clines LF 0.04 5.48 Joe Brown
Bob Bailey 0.02 1.61 Joe Brown Rex Bowen
Rick Honeycutt SP 0.02 1.18 Joe Brown Harding Peterson
Jimmy Sexton SS -0.05 0.58 Joe Brown Harding Peterson
Al Holland RP -0.09 0 Joe Brown Harding Peterson
Mike Edwards 2B -0.12 0.16 Joe Brown Harding Peterson
Silvio Martinez RP -0.22 0.07 Joe Brown Harding Peterson
Odell Jones SP -0.28 2.24 Joe Brown Harding Peterson
Miguel Dilone LF -0.33 0.32 Joe Brown Harding Peterson
Dale Berra 3B -0.41 0.42 Joe Brown Harding Peterson
Manny Sanguillen C -0.44 10.27 Joe Brown
Ken Macha 3B -0.55 0.66 Joe Brown Harding Peterson
Mario Mendoza SS -0.58 1.22 Joe Brown Harding Peterson
Bill Laxton RP -0.64 3.32 Joe Brown
Ramon Hernandez RP -0.67 0.1 Joe Brown
Bobby Tolan 1B -0.68 0.26 Joe Brown Rex Bowen
Larry Demery SW -1.04 2.06 Joe Brown Harding Peterson

 

Honorable Mention

The “Original” 2012 Pirates    OWAR: 46.1     OWS: 303     OPW%: .597

The Bucs seized the National League pennant with 97 victories and topped the circuit in OWS. Andrew McCutchen (.327/31/96) led the League with 194 base hits, earned a Gold Glove Award and finished third in the 2012 National League MVP balloting. Aramis Ramirez (.300/27/105) drilled a League-leading 50 doubles. Pedro Alvarez went yard 30 times while Jose A. Bautista launched 27 bombs in an injury-shortened campaign. Jeff Keppinger delivered a .325 BA in a utility role. Paul Maholm posted a record of 13-11 with a 3.67 ERA and fellow hurler Bronson Arroyo accrued 12 wins with a 3.74 ERA in 202 innings.

On Deck

The “Original” 1931 Athletics

References and Resources

Baseball America – Executive Database

Baseball-Reference

James, Bill. The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract. New York, NY.: The Free Press, 2001. Print.

James, Bill, with Jim Henzler. Win Shares. Morton Grove, Ill.: STATS, 2002. Print.

Retrosheet – Transactions Database

Seamheads – Baseball Gauge

Sean Lahman Baseball Archive


Hardball Retrospective – The “Original” 1979 Montreal Expos

In “Hardball Retrospective: Evaluating Scouting and Development Outcomes for the Modern-Era Franchises”, I placed every ballplayer in the modern era (from 1901-present) on their original team. Therefore, Tony Perez is listed on the Reds roster for the duration of his career while the Red Sox declare Wade Boggs and the Rockies claim Troy Tulowitzki. I calculated revised standings for every season based entirely on the performance of each team’s “original” players. I discuss every team’s “original” players and seasons at length along with organizational performance with respect to the Amateur Draft (or First-Year Player Draft), amateur free agent signings and other methods of player acquisition.  Season standings, WAR and Win Shares totals for the “original” teams are compared against the “actual” team results to assess each franchise’s scouting, development and general management skills.

Expanding on my research for the book, the following series of articles will reveal the finest single-season rosters for every Major League organization based on overall rankings in OWAR and OWS along with the general managers and scouting directors that constructed the teams. “Hardball Retrospective” is available in digital format on Amazon, Barnes and Noble, GooglePlay, iTunes and KoboBooks. The paperback edition is available on Amazon, Barnes and Noble and CreateSpace. Supplemental Statistics, Charts and Graphs along with a discussion forum are offered at TuataraSoftware.com.

Don Daglow (Intellivision World Series Major League Baseball, Earl Weaver Baseball, Tony LaRussa Baseball) contributed the foreword for Hardball Retrospective. The foreword and preview of my book are accessible here.

Terminology

OWAR – Wins Above Replacement for players on “original” teams

OWS – Win Shares for players on “original” teams

OPW% – Pythagorean Won-Loss record for the “original” teams

Assessment

The 1979 Montreal Expos          OWAR: 53.9     OWS: 327     OPW%: .572

GM Jim Fanning acquired 88% (23/26) of the ballplayers on the 1979 Expos roster. Based on the revised standings the “Original” 1979 Expos captured the first pennant in franchise history with 93 victories while topping the National League in OWAR and OWS.

Gary “Kid” Carter paced Montreal with 28 Win Shares and 5.2 WAR. The Hall of Fame backstop slugged 22 round-trippers and commenced a run of 10 consecutive All-Star appearances. Third-sacker Larry Parrish (.307/30/82) clubbed 39 two-baggers en route to a four-place finish in the N.L. MVP balloting. Andre “The Hawk” Dawson displayed his five-tool talent, blasting 25 long balls and nabbing 35 bags. Gary Roenicke swatted 25 big-flies while platooning in left field. Warren Cromartie delivered career-highs with 181 base knocks and 46 doubles. Ellis Valentine contributed 21 jacks and Tony Scott swiped 37 bases.

Tim Raines received the proverbial “cup of coffee” in 1979 with six pinch-running appearances. “Rock” pilfered 808 bases during a career that spanned 23 seasons. He ranks eighth among left fielders according to Bill James in “The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract.” Teammates listed in the “NBJHBA” top 100 rankings include Carter (8th-C), Dawson (19th-RF) and Parrish (53rd-3B).

LINEUP POS WAR WS
Tony Scott RF/CF 1.21 13.93
Warren Cromartie 1B/LF 3.28 17.18
Andre Dawson CF 2.74 24.01
Gary Carter C 5.25 28.95
Larry Parrish 3B 4.07 27.34
Gary Roenicke LF 3.33 18.9
Tony Bernazard 2B 0.6 2.56
SS
BENCH POS WAR WS
Jerry White RF 0.79 6.09
Barry Foote C 1.58 12.2
Bombo Rivera LF 0.55 5.17
Ellis Valentine RF 0.4 14.41
Tim Raines 0 0
Terry Humphrey C -0.22 0.21

Steve Rogers (13-12, 3.00), the Expos first-round selection in the June 1971 Amateur Draft, hurled a League-leading 5 shutouts and achieved his third All-Star invitation. Dan Schatzeder posted a 10-5 mark with a 2.83 ERA. David Palmer fashioned a 2.64 ERA with a record of 10-2 in his rookie campaign. Scott Sanderson contributed 9 victories along with a 3.43 ERA. Byron McLaughlin collected 7 wins and 14 saves working in a variety of roles while portsider Shane Rawley saved 11 contests.

ROTATION POS WAR WS
Steve Rogers SP 3.78 16.61
Dan Schatzeder SP 3.31 13.13
David Palmer SP 2.25 11.23
Scott Sanderson SP 1.89 10.21
Balor Moore SP 0.01 5.7
BULLPEN POS WAR WS
Byron McLaughlin SW 1.29 11.04
Shane Rawley RP 0.78 7.84
Bill Atkinson RP 0.22 2.08
Dale Murray RP -1.09 3.15
Bill Gullickson RP 0.02 0.14
Gerry Hannahs SP 0.03 0.74
Bob James RP -0.21 0
Craig Minetto SP -2 0.47

The “Original” 1979 Montreal Expos roster

NAME POS WAR WS General Manager Scouting Director
Gary Carter C 5.25 28.95 Jim Fanning Mel Didier
Larry Parrish 3B 4.07 27.34 Jim Fanning Mel Didier
Steve Rogers SP 3.78 16.61 Jim Fanning Mel Didier
Gary Roenicke LF 3.33 18.9 Jim Fanning Mel Didier
Dan Schatzeder SP 3.31 13.13 Jim Fanning Danny Menendez
Warren Cromartie LF 3.28 17.18 Jim Fanning Mel Didier
Andre Dawson CF 2.74 24.01 Jim Fanning Mel Didier
David Palmer SP 2.25 11.23 Jim Fanning Danny Menendez
Scott Sanderson SP 1.89 10.21 Charlie Fox Danny Menendez
Barry Foote C 1.58 12.2 Jim Fanning Mel Didier
Byron McLaughlin SW 1.29 11.04 Jim Fanning Mel Didier
Tony Scott CF 1.21 13.93 Jim Fanning
Jerry White RF 0.79 6.09 Jim Fanning Mel Didier
Shane Rawley RP 0.78 7.84 Jim Fanning Mel Didier
Tony Bernazard 2B 0.6 2.56 Jim Fanning Mel Didier
Bombo Rivera LF 0.55 5.17 Jim Fanning Mel Didier
Ellis Valentine RF 0.4 14.41 Jim Fanning Mel Didier
Bill Atkinson RP 0.22 2.08 Jim Fanning Mel Didier
Gerry Hannahs SP 0.03 0.74 Jim Fanning Mel Didier
Bill Gullickson RP 0.02 0.14 Charlie Fox Danny Menendez
Balor Moore SP 0.01 5.7 Jim Fanning
Tim Raines 0 0 Charlie Fox Danny Menendez
Bob James RP -0.21 0 Jim Fanning Danny Menendez
Terry Humphrey C -0.22 0.21 Jim Fanning
Dale Murray RP -1.09 3.15 Jim Fanning Mel Didier
Craig Minetto SP -2 0.47 Jim Fanning Mel Didier

Honorable Mention

The “Original” 1985 Expos     OWAR: 55.8     OWS: 320     OPW%: .556

Montreal claimed the National League East division title by a five-game margin over New York while pacing the Senior Circuit in OWAR and OWS. Tim Raines stole 70 bases in 79 tries and batted .320 with 115 runs scored. Raines (35 WS) and Gary Carter (33 WS) surpassed the 30 Win Share plateau as the “Kid” blasted 32 moon-shots. Tim Wallach dialed long-distance 22 times and earned his first Gold Glove Award. Tony Bernazard supplied career-bests with a .301 BA, 169 hits, 17 home runs and 73 RBI. Andre Dawson collected his sixth consecutive Gold Glove Award and drove in 91 runs. Bob James anchored the bullpen staff with 32 saves, 8 victories and a 2.13 ERA. Shane Rawley provided 13 wins with a 3.31 ERA in 31 starts while Joe Hesketh delivered a 2.49 ERA and a record of 10-5 in his freshmen year.

On Deck

The “Original” 1977 Pirates

References and Resources

Baseball America – Executive Database

Baseball-Reference

James, Bill. The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract. New York, NY.: The Free Press, 2001. Print.

James, Bill, with Jim Henzler. Win Shares. Morton Grove, Ill.: STATS, 2002. Print.

Retrosheet – Transactions Database

Seamheads – Baseball Gauge

Sean Lahman Baseball Archive


Hardball Retrospective – The “Original” 1986 New York Mets

In “Hardball Retrospective: Evaluating Scouting and Development Outcomes for the Modern-Era Franchises”, I placed every ballplayer in the modern era (from 1901-present) on their original team. Therefore, Ozzie Smith is listed on the Padres roster for the duration of his career while the Senators II / Rangers declare Jeff Burroughs and the Rays claim David Price. I calculated revised standings for every season based entirely on the performance of each team’s “original” players. I discuss every team’s “original” players and seasons at length along with organizational performance with respect to the Amateur Draft (or First-Year Player Draft), amateur free agent signings and other methods of player acquisition.  Season standings, WAR and Win Shares totals for the “original” teams are compared against the “actual” team results to assess each franchise’s scouting, development and general management skills.

Expanding on my research for the book, the following series of articles will reveal the finest single-season rosters for every Major League organization based on overall rankings in OWAR and OWS along with the general managers and scouting directors that constructed the teams. “Hardball Retrospective” is available in digital format on Amazon, Barnes and Noble, GooglePlay, iTunes and KoboBooks. The paperback edition is available on Amazon, Barnes and Noble and CreateSpace. Supplemental Statistics, Charts and Graphs along with a discussion forum are offered at TuataraSoftware.com.

Don Daglow (Intellivision World Series Major League Baseball, Earl Weaver Baseball, Tony LaRussa Baseball) contributed the foreword for Hardball Retrospective. The foreword and preview of my book are accessible here.

Terminology

OWAR – Wins Above Replacement for players on “original” teams

OWS – Win Shares for players on “original” teams

OPW% – Pythagorean Won-Loss record for the “original” teams

Assessment

The 1986 New York Mets          OWAR: 59.3     OWS: 299     OPW%: .589

GM Frank Cashen acquired 54% (27/50) of the ballplayers on the 1986 Mets roster while Joe McDonald procured 34% (17/50). Based on the revised standings the “Original” 1986 Mets cruised to the pennant with 95 victories, easily outdistancing the runner-up Phillies and pacing the National League in OWAR and OWS.

The Metropolitans’ rotation featured two future Hall of Fame hurlers (Tom Seaver and Nolan Ryan) alongside the 1985 and 1986 NL Cy Young Award winners (Dwight Gooden and Mike Scott). Scott wielded a wicked split-finger fastball against the opposition and the results were astonishing. He led the Senior Circuit with a 2.22 ERA, 0.923 WHIP and whiffed 306 batsmen in 275.1 innings. Gooden aka “Dr. K” followed his dominant 1985 campaign with a 17-6 record and a 2.84 ERA while recording 200 strikeouts for the third consecutive season. Floyd Youmans tallied 202 punch-outs and notched 13 victories despite allowing a League-worst 118 bases on balls. Roger McDowell posted 22 saves and accrued 14 victories in relief. Jeff “Terminator” Reardon contributed 35 saves and Calvin Schiraldi fashioned a 1.41 ERA while closing out nine contests. Greg A. Harris added 10 wins and 20 saves as a part-time closer.

ROTATION POS WAR WS
Mike Scott SP 8.3 26.61
Dwight Gooden SP 4.06 17.76
Tom Seaver SP 2.79 10.2
Floyd Youmans SP 2.68 13.06
Nolan Ryan SP 2.26 11.31
BULLPEN POS WAR WS
Calvin Schiraldi RP 2.37 10.45
Greg A. Harris RP 2.16 14.78
Roger McDowell RP 1.15 15.71
Juan Berenguer RP 1.07 5.42
Jeff Reardon RP -0.17 10.26
Tim Leary SP 2.47 10.83
Neil Allen SP 1.72 7.95
Rick Anderson SP 0.81 3.75
Roy Lee Jackson RP 0.55 3.57
Rick Aguilera SP 0.54 5.91
Jay Tibbs SP 0.51 7.68
Cliff Speck RP 0.26 1.78
Dave Von Ohlen RP 0.07 0.82
John Pacella RP 0.03 0.51
Rick Ownbey SW 0.02 1.61
Jeff Bittiger SP -0.03 0.48
Doug Sisk RP -0.03 4.2
Wes Gardner RP -0.04 0
Randy Myers RP -0.05 0.3
Bill Latham SP -0.35 0

Lenny “Nails” Dykstra achieved full-time status in his sophomore season and responded with a .295 BA with 31 stolen bases. Darryl Strawberry slammed 27 long balls, knocked in 93 runs and pilfered 28 bags from the cleanup slot. Jody Davis drilled 27 doubles and 21 circuit clouts. Mookie Wilson (.289, 25 SB) wreaked havoc on the basepaths and Wally Backman contributed a .320 BA. Kevin “World” Mitchell delivered a .277 BA with 22 two-base knocks in a utility role.

Seaver ranked sixth among pitchers according to Bill James in “The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract.” Eight ballplayers from the 1986 Mets roster placed in the “NBJHBA” top 100 rankings including Ryan (24th-P), Dykstra (44th-CF), Strawberry (47th-RF), Mitchell (51st-LF), Gooden (76th-P), Brooks (89th-3B) and Davis (90th-C).

LINEUP POS WAR WS
Lenny Dykstra CF 4.94 23.9
Mookie Wilson LF 3.38 16.81
Hubie Brooks SS 2.43 14.8
Darryl Strawberry RF 3.94 24.43
Kevin Mitchell 3B/LF 2.12 14.39
Jody Davis C 2.02 18.16
Wally Backman 2B 2.28 16.38
Lee Mazzilli 1B/LF 0.69 5.21
BENCH POS WAR WS
Alex Trevino C 1.44 7.6
Mike Fitzgerald C 0.96 7.43
John Gibbons C 0.57 2.38
Jose Oquendo SS 0.53 4.21
Dave Magadan 1B 0.19 1.25
Rusty Tillman RF 0.07 1.07
Stan Jefferson CF 0.02 0.51
Brian J. Giles 2B -0.06 0.28
Eddie Williams LF -0.09 0
Kevin Elster SS -0.12 0.72
Barry Lyons C -0.13 0
LaSchelle Tarver CF -0.32 0.18
Herm Winningham CF -0.34 2.6
Ronn Reynolds C -0.35 0.98
Dave Cochrane 3B -0.42 0.24
Manuel Lee 2B -0.44 0.91
Billy Beane LF -1.25 0.94

The “Original” 1986 New York Mets roster

NAME POS WAR WS General Manager Scouting Director
Mike Scott SP 8.3 26.61 Joe McDonald
Lenny Dykstra CF 4.94 23.9 Frank Cashen Joe McIlvane
Dwight Gooden SP 4.06 17.76 Frank Cashen Joe McIlvane
Darryl Strawberry RF 3.94 24.43 Frank Cashen Pete Gebrian
Mookie Wilson LF 3.38 16.81 Joe McDonald
Tom Seaver SP 2.79 10.2 George Weiss
Floyd Youmans SP 2.68 13.06 Frank Cashen Joe McIlvane
Tim Leary SP 2.47 10.83 Joe McDonald
Hubie Brooks SS 2.43 14.8 Joe McDonald
Calvin Schiraldi RP 2.37 10.45 Frank Cashen Joe McIlvane
Wally Backman 2B 2.28 16.38 Joe McDonald
Nolan Ryan SP 2.26 11.31 George Weiss
Greg Harris RP 2.16 14.78 Joe McDonald
Kevin Mitchell LF 2.12 14.39 Frank Cashen Pete Gebrian
Jody Davis C 2.02 18.16 Joe McDonald
Neil Allen SP 1.72 7.95 Joe McDonald
Alex Trevino C 1.44 7.6 Bob Scheffing Nelson Burbink
Roger McDowell RP 1.15 15.71 Frank Cashen Joe McIlvane
Juan Berenguer RP 1.07 5.42 Joe McDonald
Mike Fitzgerald C 0.96 7.43 Joe McDonald
Rick Anderson SP 0.81 3.75 Joe McDonald
Lee Mazzilli LF 0.69 5.21 Bob Scheffing Nelson Burbink
John Gibbons C 0.57 2.38 Frank Cashen Pete Gebrian
Roy Lee Jackson RP 0.55 3.57 Joe McDonald
Rick Aguilera SP 0.54 5.91 Frank Cashen Joe McIlvane
Jose Oquendo SS 0.53 4.21 Joe McDonald
Jay Tibbs SP 0.51 7.68 Frank Cashen Pete Gebrian
Cliff Speck RP 0.26 1.78 Bob Scheffing Nelson Burbink
Dave Magadan 1B 0.19 1.25 Frank Cashen Joe McIlvane
Dave Von Ohlen RP 0.07 0.82 Joe McDonald
Rusty Tillman RF 0.07 1.07 Joe McDonald
John Pacella RP 0.03 0.51 Bob Scheffing Nelson Burbink
Rick Ownbey SW 0.02 1.61 Frank Cashen Pete Gebrian
Stan Jefferson CF 0.02 0.51 Frank Cashen Joe McIlvane
Jeff Bittiger SP -0.03 0.48 Frank Cashen Pete Gebrian
Doug Sisk RP -0.03 4.2 Frank Cashen Pete Gebrian
Wes Gardner RP -0.04 0 Frank Cashen Joe McIlvane
Randy Myers RP -0.05 0.3 Frank Cashen Joe McIlvane
Brian Giles 2B -0.06 0.28 Joe McDonald
Eddie Williams LF -0.09 0 Frank Cashen Joe McIlvane
Kevin Elster SS -0.12 0.72 Frank Cashen Joe McIlvane
Barry Lyons C -0.13 0 Frank Cashen Joe McIlvane
Jeff Reardon RP -0.17 10.26 Joe McDonald
LaSchelle Tarver CF -0.32 0.18 Frank Cashen Pete Gebrian
Herm Winningham CF -0.34 2.6 Frank Cashen Joe McIlvane
Ronn Reynolds C -0.35 0.98 Frank Cashen Pete Gebrian
Bill Latham SP -0.35 0 Frank Cashen Joe McIlvane
Dave Cochrane 3B -0.42 0.24 Frank Cashen Joe McIlvane
Manuel Lee 2B -0.44 0.91 Frank Cashen Joe McIlvane
Billy Beane LF -1.25 0.94 Frank Cashen Pete Gebrian

 

Honorable Mention

The “Original” 1990 Mets       OWAR: 49.2     OWS: 294     OPW%: .551

Lenny Dykstra (.325/9/60) swiped 33 bases, led the National League with 192 base hits and a .418 OBP while earning his first All-Star appearance. Darryl Strawberry launched 37 long balls and recorded a career-high 108 RBI. Kevin Mitchell belted 35 round-trippers and plated 93 baserunners following his MVP campaign in 1989. Dave Magadan registered a .328 BA and Gregg Jefferies paced the circuit with 40 two-baggers. Nolan Ryan aka “The Ryan Express” whiffed the most batsmen (232) for the fourth consecutive year. Dwight Gooden delivered a 19-7 mark with 223 strikeouts. Randy Myers notched 31 saves with a 2.08 ERA and finished fifth in the balloting for the NL Cy Young Award. Rick Aguilera saved 32 contests and fashioned an ERA of 2.76.

On Deck

The “Original” 1979 Expos

References and Resources

Baseball America – Executive Database

Baseball-Reference

James, Bill. The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract. New York, NY.: The Free Press, 2001. Print.

James, Bill, with Jim Henzler. Win Shares. Morton Grove, Ill.: STATS, 2002. Print.

Retrosheet – Transactions Database

Seamheads – Baseball Gauge

Sean Lahman Baseball Archive


Hardball Retrospective – The “Original” 1992 San Diego Padres

In “Hardball Retrospective: Evaluating Scouting and Development Outcomes for the Modern-Era Franchises”, I placed every ballplayer in the modern era (from 1901-present) on their original team. Therefore, Bobby Grich is listed on the Browns / Orioles roster for the duration of his career while the Phillies declare Dick Allen and the Pirates claim Jose A. Bautista. I calculated revised standings for every season based entirely on the performance of each team’s “original” players. I discuss every team’s “original” players and seasons at length along with organizational performance with respect to the Amateur Draft (or First-Year Player Draft), amateur free agent signings and other methods of player acquisition.  Season standings, WAR and Win Shares totals for the “original” teams are compared against the “actual” team results to assess each franchise’s scouting, development and general management skills.

Expanding on my research for the book, the following series of articles will reveal the finest single-season rosters for every Major League organization based on overall rankings in OWAR and OWS along with the general managers and scouting directors that constructed the teams. “Hardball Retrospective” is available in digital format on Amazon, Barnes and Noble, GooglePlay, iTunes and KoboBooks. The paperback edition is available on Amazon, Barnes and Noble and CreateSpace. Supplemental Statistics, Charts and Graphs along with a discussion forum are offered at TuataraSoftware.com.

Don Daglow (Intellivision World Series Major League Baseball, Earl Weaver Baseball, Tony LaRussa Baseball) contributed the foreword for Hardball Retrospective. The foreword and preview of my book are accessible here.

Terminology

OWAR – Wins Above Replacement for players on “original” teams

OWS – Win Shares for players on “original” teams

OPW% – Pythagorean Won-Loss record for the “original” teams

Assessment

The 1992 San Diego Padres          OWAR: 52.6     OWS: 324     OPW%: .595

GM Jack McKeon acquired 84.2% (32/38) of the ballplayers on the 1992 Padres roster. Based on the revised standings the “Original” 1992 Padres won 96 contests but came up two games short of the Atlanta Braves for the division title. San Diego led the National League in OWAR and OWS.

The Padres’ offense featured seven players that registered at least 20 Win Shares. Roberto Alomar (.295/8/76) scored 105 runs, stole 49 bases and topped the Friars with 31 Win Shares. Carlos Baerga (.312/20/105) accrued 205 safeties and earned his first All-Star appearance. Shane Mack posted a .315 BA with 101 tallies and 26 steals. Dave Winfield crushed 33 two-baggers and 26 big-flies while plating 108 baserunners. The corner infield was anchored by John Kruk (.323/10/70) and Dave “Head” Hollins (.270/27/93). Ozzie “The Wizard” Smith batted .295 and continued his dazzling defensive displays to earn his 13th consecutive Gold Glove Award. Tony Gwynn aka “Mr. Padre” batted .317 in the midst of an 19-year streak in which he hit .300 or better.

Gwynn ranked sixth among right fielders according to Bill James in “The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract.” Eight ballplayers from the 1992 Padres roster placed in the “NBJHBA” top 100 rankings including Ozzie Smith (7th-SS), Roberto Alomar (10th-2B), Dave Winfield (13th-RF), Kevin McReynolds (45th-LF), John Kruk (72nd-1B), Ozzie Guillen (74th-SS) and Carlos Baerga (93rd-2B).

LINEUP POS WAR WS
Ozzie Smith SS 3.24 22.13
Tony Gwynn RF 1.69 17.86
Roberto Alomar 2B 5.37 31.53
Shane Mack CF/LF 6.17 27.47
John Kruk 1B 4.35 25.38
Dave Hollins 3B 3.61 25.6
Kevin McReynolds LF 1.27 12.89
Benito Santiago C 0.81 8.17
BENCH POS WAR WS
Carlos Baerga 2B 4.83 28.54
Dave Winfield DH 3.53 25.75
Joey Cora 2B 0.66 3.98
Mark Parent C 0.25 1.42
Warren Newson RF 0.25 4.04
Paul Faries 2B 0.19 0.82
Ron Tingley C 0.13 3.36
Sandy Alomar C 0.09 8.2
Rodney McCray RF 0.09 0.45
Gary Green SS 0.08 0.46
Guillermo Velasquez 1B 0.08 0.7
Thomas Howard LF 0.05 6.44
Ozzie Guillen SS -0.01 0.41
Jose Valentin 2B -0.03 0
Luis Quinones DH -0.04 0.02
Jim Tatum 3B -0.1 0.08
Mike Humphreys LF -0.15 0.12
Jerald Clark LF -0.67 9.94

Andy Benes furnished a 3.35 ERA and notched 13 wins for the ’92 squad. Omar Olivares crafted an ERA of 3.84 and managed 9 victories in 30 starts. Bob Patterson saved 9 contests while Jim Austin fashioned a 1.85 ERA in 47 relief appearances.

ROTATION POS WAR WS
Andy Benes SP 4.22 15.68
Omar Olivares SP 1.89 8.33
Jimmy Jones SP 0.41 4.89
Greg W. Harris SP 0.4 3.81
Ricky Bones SP -0.35 4.22
BULLPEN POS WAR WS
Jim Austin RP 1.21 6.79
Bob Patterson RP 0.95 7.52
Mark Williamson RP 0.4 2.48
Matt Maysey RP -0.01 0.08
Steve Fireovid RP -0.18 0.3
Mitch Williams RP -0.27 4.99
Doug Brocail SP -0.23 0

 

The “Original” 1992 San Diego Padres roster

NAME POS WAR WS General Manager Scouting Director
Shane Mack LF 6.17 27.47 Jack McKeon Sandy Johnson
Roberto Alomar 2B 5.37 31.53 Jack McKeon
Carlos Baerga 2B 4.83 28.54 Jack McKeon
John Kruk 1B 4.35 25.38 Jack McKeon Bob Fontaine Sr.
Andy Benes SP 4.22 15.68 Jack McKeon
Dave Hollins 3B 3.61 25.6 Jack McKeon
Dave Winfield DH 3.53 25.75 Peter Bavasi Bob Fontaine Sr.
Ozzie Smith SS 3.24 22.13 Bob Fontaine Sr.
Omar Olivares SP 1.89 8.33 Jack McKeon
Tony Gwynn RF 1.69 17.86 Jack McKeon Bob Fontaine Sr.
Kevin McReynolds LF 1.27 12.89 Jack McKeon Bob Fontaine Sr.
Jim Austin RP 1.21 6.79 Jack McKeon
Bob Patterson RP 0.95 7.52 Jack McKeon Sandy Johnson
Benito Santiago C 0.81 8.17 Jack McKeon Sandy Johnson
Joey Cora 2B 0.66 3.98 Jack McKeon
Jimmy Jones SP 0.41 4.89 Jack McKeon Sandy Johnson
Mark Williamson RP 0.4 2.48 Jack McKeon Sandy Johnson
Greg Harris SP 0.4 3.81 Jack McKeon
Mark Parent C 0.25 1.42 Bob Fontaine Sr.
Warren Newson RF 0.25 4.04 Jack McKeon
Paul Faries 2B 0.19 0.82 Jack McKeon
Ron Tingley C 0.13 3.36 Bob Fontaine Sr.
Sandy Alomar C 0.09 8.2 Jack McKeon Sandy Johnson
Rodney McCray RF 0.09 0.45 Jack McKeon Sandy Johnson
Gary Green SS 0.08 0.46 Jack McKeon Sandy Johnson
Guillermo Velasquez 1B 0.08 0.7 Jack McKeon
Thomas Howard LF 0.05 6.44 Jack McKeon
Ozzie Guillen SS -0.01 0.41 Jack McKeon
Matt Maysey RP -0.01 0.08 Jack McKeon
Jose Valentin 2B -0.03 0 Jack McKeon
Luis Quinones DH -0.04 0.02 Bob Fontaine Sr.
Jim Tatum 3B -0.1 0.08 Jack McKeon
Mike Humphreys LF -0.15 0.12 Jack McKeon
Steve Fireovid RP -0.18 0.3 Bob Fontaine Sr.
Doug Brocail SP -0.23 0 Jack McKeon
Mitch Williams RP -0.27 4.99 Jack McKeon Sandy Johnson
Ricky Bones SP -0.35 4.22 Jack McKeon
Jerald Clark LF -0.67 9.94 Jack McKeon

 

Honorable Mention

The “Original” 1989 Padres    OWAR: 46.4     OWS: 303     OPW%: .552

Tony Gwynn collected his fourth batting crown with a .336 BA and topped the circuit with 203 base knocks. Roberto Alomar batted .295 and pilfered 42 bases during his sophomore season. Ozzie Smith contributed 30 doubles and nabbed 29 bags while Kevin McReynolds jacked 22 long balls and knocked in 85 baserunners. Greg W. Harris accrued 8 wins and 6 saves to complement an ERA of 2.60, pitching primarily out of the bullpen. The Friars tied the Giants for second place in the National League West, two games behind the division-leading Reds.

On Deck

The “Original” 1986 Mets

References and Resources

Baseball America – Executive Database

Baseball-Reference

James, Bill. The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract. New York, NY.: The Free Press, 2001. Print.

James, Bill, with Jim Henzler. Win Shares. Morton Grove, Ill.: STATS, 2002. Print.

Retrosheet – Transactions Database

Seamheads – Baseball Gauge

Sean Lahman Baseball Archive


Hardball Retrospective – The “Original” 1983 St. Louis Cardinals

In “Hardball Retrospective: Evaluating Scouting and Development Outcomes for the Modern-Era Franchises”, I placed every ballplayer in the modern era (from 1901-present) on their original team. Therefore, Nolan Ryan is listed on the Mets roster for the duration of his career while the Expos / Nationals declare Gary Carter and the Marlins claim Josh Beckett. I calculated revised standings for every season based entirely on the performance of each team’s “original” players. I discuss every team’s “original” players and seasons at length along with organizational performance with respect to the Amateur Draft (or First-Year Player Draft), amateur free agent signings and other methods of player acquisition.  Season standings, WAR and Win Shares totals for the “original” teams are compared against the “actual” team results to assess each franchise’s scouting, development and general management skills.

Expanding on my research for the book, the following series of articles will reveal the finest single-season rosters for every Major League organization based on overall rankings in OWAR and OWS along with the general managers and scouting directors that constructed the teams. “Hardball Retrospective” is available in digital format on Amazon, Barnes and Noble, GooglePlay, iTunes and KoboBooks. The paperback edition is available on Amazon, Barnes and Noble and CreateSpace. Additional information and a discussion forum are offered at TuataraSoftware.com.

Don Daglow (Intellivision World Series Major League Baseball, Earl Weaver Baseball, Tony LaRussa Baseball) contributed the foreword for Hardball Retrospective. The foreword and preview of my book are accessible here.

Terminology

OWAR – Wins Above Replacement for players on “original” teams

OWS – Win Shares for players on “original” teams

OPW% – Pythagorean Won-Loss record for the “original” teams

Assessment

The 1983 St. Louis Cardinals     OWAR: 54.8     OWS: 310     OPW%: .517

GM Bing Devine acquired 73.1% (30/41) of the ballplayers on the 1983 Cardinals roster. Based on the revised standings the “Original” 1983 Cardinals edged the Expos by a single contest while pacing the National League in OWAR and OWS for the second consecutive season.

Jose Cruz (.318/14/92) topped the Senior Circuit with 189 base knocks and registered 30 Win Shares. Terry Kennedy (.284/17/98) and Ted “Simba” Simmons (.308/13/108) shared responsibilities behind the dish. First baseman Keith “Mex” Hernandez earned his sixth straight Gold Glove Award. Larry Herndon (.302/20/92) posted career-bests in batting average, hits, doubles and RBI.

Simmons ranked tenth among catchers according to Bill James in “The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract.” In total, eight ballplayers from the 1983 Cardinals roster registered in the “NBJHBA” top 100 rankings including Steve Carlton (15th-P), Keith Hernandez (16th-1B), Jose Cruz (29th-LF), Andy Van Slyke (32nd-CF), Tom Herr (40th-2B), Garry Templeton (42nd-SS) and Terry Kennedy (52nd-C).

LINEUP POS WAR WS
Jerry Mumphrey CF 2.67 17.37
Tom Herr 2B 1.86 12.24
Keith Hernandez 1B 5.15 22.54
Jose Cruz LF 5.9 30.07
Larry Herndon RF/LF 2.81 21.25
Terry Kennedy C 3.22 25.17
Ken Oberkfell 3B 2.37 16.6
Garry Templeton SS 0.68 9.81
BENCH POS WAR WS
Ted Simmons C 2.93 18.46
Jim Dwyer RF 1.6 9.25
Andy Van Slyke LF 1.56 10.86
Leon Durham LF 1.26 12.58
George Bjorkman C 0.59 2.3
Bill Stein 2B 0.51 5.79
Tito Landrum RF 0.21 1.48
Kelly Paris 3B 0.18 3.02
Bob Meacham SS 0.12 1.89
Mike Vail 1B 0.1 2.18
Jeff Doyle 2B -0.01 0.87
Glenn Brummer C -0.08 1.98
Gene Roof LF -0.08 0.06
Marc Hill C -0.27 2.02
Jim Adduci 1B -0.27 0.06
Bake McBride RF -0.43 3.23
Mike Ramsey 2B -0.57 3.52

The Redbirds’ rotation featured John Denny (19-6, 2.37), the league-leader in victories and 1983 NL Cy Young Award winner. Steve “Lefty” Carlton tallied 15 wins while striking out a League-leading 275 batsmen. Jerry Reuss contributed a 2.94 ERA along with a 12-11 record. Luis DeLeon saved 13 contests and furnished an ERA of 2.68 with a 1.045 WHIP.

ROTATION POS WAR WS
John Denny SP 6.76 22.46
Steve Carlton SP 4.76 18.22
Jerry Reuss SP 3.63 14.76
Danny Cox SP 0.51 4.26
Jim Gott SP 0.39 6.75
BULLPEN POS WAR WS
Luis DeLeon RP 1.6 13.13
Victor Cruz RP 0.73 4.07
Mike Proly RP 0.52 4.49
Ralph Citarella RP 0.26 1.11
Bill Caudill RP -0.06 6.16
Bob Forsch SP -0.21 6.24
Jeff Keener RP -0.22 0
Tom Dixon RP -0.25 0
Mike Torrez SP -0.33 6.46
Kevin Hagen SP -0.38 0.39
Eric Rasmussen SP -0.45 1.87

 

The “Original” 1983 St. Louis Cardinals roster

 

NAME POS WAR WS General Manager Scouting Director
John Denny SP 6.76 22.46 Bing Devine George Silvey
Jose Cruz LF 5.9 30.07 Bob Howsam George Silvey
Keith Hernandez 1B 5.15 22.54 Bing Devine George Silvey
Steve Carlton SP 4.76 18.22 Bing Devine George Silvey
Jerry Reuss SP 3.63 14.76 Stan Musial
Terry Kennedy C 3.22 25.17 Bing Devine Jim Bayens
Ted Simmons C 2.93 18.46 Stan Musial
Larry Herndon LF 2.81 21.25 Bing Devine George Silvey
Jerry Mumphrey CF 2.67 17.37 Bing Devine George Silvey
Ken Oberkfell 3B 2.37 16.6 Bing Devine George Silvey
Tom Herr 2B 1.86 12.24 Bing Devine George Silvey
Jim Dwyer RF 1.6 9.25 Bing Devine George Silvey
Luis DeLeon RP 1.6 13.13 Bing Devine Jim Bayens
Andy Van Slyke LF 1.56 10.86 John Claiborne Jim Bayens
Leon Durham LF 1.26 12.58 Bing Devine George Silvey
Victor Cruz RP 0.73 4.07 Bing Devine George Silvey
Garry Templeton SS 0.68 9.81 Bing Devine George Silvey
George Bjorkman C 0.59 2.3 Bing Devine Jim Bayens
Mike Proly RP 0.52 4.49 Bing Devine George Silvey
Bill Stein 2B 0.51 5.79 Bing Devine
Danny Cox SP 0.51 4.26 Whitey Herzog Fred McAlister
Jim Gott SP 0.39 6.75 Bing Devine Jim Bayens
Ralph Citarella RP 0.26 1.11 John Claiborne Jim Bayens
Tito Landrum RF 0.21 1.48 Bing Devine George Silvey
Kelly Paris 3B 0.18 3.02 Bing Devine George Silvey
Bob Meacham SS 0.12 1.89 Whitey Herzog Fred McAlister
Mike Vail 1B 0.1 2.18 Bing Devine George Silvey
Jeff Doyle 2B -0.01 0.87 Bing Devine Jim Bayens
Bill Caudill RP -0.06 6.16 Bing Devine George Silvey
Glenn Brummer C -0.08 1.98 Bing Devine George Silvey
Gene Roof LF -0.08 0.06 Bing Devine George Silvey
Bob Forsch SP -0.21 6.24 Bing Devine
Jeff Keener RP -0.22 0 Whitey Herzog Fred McAlister
Tom Dixon RP -0.25 0 Bing Devine George Silvey
Marc Hill C -0.27 2.02 Bing Devine George Silvey
Jim Adduci 1B -0.27 0.06 John Claiborne Jim Bayens
Mike Torrez SP -0.33 6.46 Bob Howsam George Silvey
Kevin Hagen SP -0.38 0.39 John Claiborne Jim Bayens
Bake McBride RF -0.43 3.23 Bing Devine George Silvey
Eric Rasmussen SP -0.45 1.87 Bing Devine George Silvey
Mike Ramsey 2B -0.57 3.52 Bing Devine George Silvey

 

Honorable Mention

The “Original” 1982 Cardinals           OWAR: 54.7     OWS: 318     OPW%: .552

The majority of the Cardinals teams from 1977-1985 consistently achieved OWAR scores above 40 and/or OWS scores above 300. Due to the roster similarities I have selected the 1992 roster for additional comment.

The “Original” 1992 Cardinals           OWAR: 47.8     OWS: 286     OPW%: .563

Andy Van Slyke (.324/14/89) led the National League with 45 doubles and 199 base knocks while accruing a team-high 35 Win Shares. Van Slyke collected his fifth consecutive Gold Glove Award and placed fourth in the NL MVP balloting. In his second full season Ray Lankford (.293/20/86) nabbed 42 bags and established a career-high with 40 doubles. Terry Pendleton replicated the output from his MVP campaign in ’91, posting a .311 BA with 21 blasts and 105 ribbies. He delivered a League-leading 199 safeties, made his lone All-Star appearance and earned runner-up status in the MVP vote. Lance “One Dog” Johnson swiped 41 bases and topped the circuit with 12 triples. Mike Perez (9-3, 1.84) and Todd Worrell (5-3, 2.11) anchored the bullpen corps.

On Deck

The “Original” 1992 Padres

References and Resources

Baseball America – Executive Database

Baseball-Reference

James, Bill. The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract. New York, NY.: The Free Press, 2001. Print.

James, Bill, with Jim Henzler. Win Shares. Morton Grove, Ill.: STATS, 2002. Print.

Retrosheet – Transactions Database

Seamheads – Baseball Gauge

Sean Lahman Baseball Archive

 


Hardball Retrospective – The “Original” 1946 Detroit Tigers

In “Hardball Retrospective: Evaluating Scouting and Development Outcomes for the Modern-Era Franchises”, I placed every ballplayer in the modern era (from 1901-present) on their original team. Therefore, Minnie Minoso is listed on the Indians roster for the duration of his career while the Giants declare Hack Wilson and the Mariners claim Ichiro Suzuki. I calculated revised standings for every season based entirely on the performance of each team’s “original” players. I discuss every team’s “original” players and seasons at length along with organizational performance with respect to the Amateur Draft (or First-Year Player Draft), amateur free agent signings and other methods of player acquisition.  Season standings, WAR and Win Shares totals for the “original” teams are compared against the “actual” team results to assess each franchise’s scouting, development and general management skills.

Expanding on my research for the book, the following series of articles will reveal the finest single-season rosters for every Major League organization based on overall rankings in OWAR and OWS along with the general managers and scouting directors that constructed the teams. “Hardball Retrospective” is available in digital format on Amazon, Barnes and Noble, GooglePlay, iTunes and KoboBooks. The paperback edition is available on Amazon, Barnes and Noble and CreateSpace. Additional information and a discussion forum are offered at TuataraSoftware.com.

Don Daglow (Intellivision World Series Major League Baseball, Earl Weaver Baseball, Tony LaRussa Baseball) contributed the foreword for Hardball Retrospective. The foreword and preview of my book are accessible here.

Terminology

OWAR – Wins Above Replacement for players on “original” teams

OWS – Win Shares for players on “original” teams

OPW% – Pythagorean Won-Loss record for the “original” teams

Assessment

The 1946 Detroit Tigers         OWAR: 58.3     OWS: 303     OPW%: .599

GM Jack Zeller acquired 42.5% (17/40) of the ballplayers on the 1946 Tigers roster and fellow front office executive Mickey Cochrane added 35% (14/40). Based on the revised standings the “Original” 1946 Tigers topped the Junior Circuit in OWAR but finished two games behind the Red Sox.

The Tigers’ ferocious rotation featured future Hall of Famer Hal Newhouser (26-9, 1.94). “Prince Hal” led the circuit in victories for the third consecutive season, collected his second straight ERA title and paced the League with a 1.069 WHIP. Newhouser finished runner-up in the MVP race following back-to-back MVP Awards in 1944-45. Dizzy Trout recorded 17 wins and fashioned an ERA of 2.34. Johnny Sain (20-14, 2.21) returned from military service and notched at least 20 victories in four of the next five campaigns. Fred Hutchinson (14-11, 3.09) and Virgil Trucks (14-9, 3.23) bolstered the back-end of the rotation. Schoolboy Rowe contributed an 11-4 record with a 2.12 in 16 starts.

ROTATION POS WAR WS
Hal Newhouser SP 9.36 32.87
Dizzy Trout SP 7.4 26.31
Johnny Sain SP 5.61 25.08
Fred Hutchinson SP 4.37 18.35
Virgil Trucks SP 3.26 16.57
BULLPEN POS WAR WS
Jake Wade RP 0.71 3.5
Art Herring RP 0.06 5.83
Johnny Gorsica RP -0.04 0.94
Rufe Gentry RP -0.33 0
Tommy Bridges RP -0.5 0.02
Schoolboy Rowe SP 3.67 13.83
Rip Sewell SP 0.99 8.5
Lou Kretlow SP 0.3 1.23
Art Houtteman SP -0.27 0.11
Stubby Overmire SP -0.33 2.88
Ted Gray SP -0.54 0
Hal Manders RP -0.66 0.13

In his penultimate campaign Hank Greenberg clubbed 44 circuit clouts and knocked in 127 runs to lead the American League in both categories for the fourth time. Rudy York (.276/17/119) eclipsed the century mark in RBI for the sixth time in his career. Roy Cullenbine posted a .335 BA with a .477 OBP while fellow outfielder Barney McCosky batted at a .318 clip.

Greenberg placed 8th among first basemen according to Bill James in “The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract.” In addition to “Hammerin’ Hank,” seven ballplayers from the 1946 Tigers ballclub registered in the “NBJHBA” top 100 rankings including Hal Newhouser (36th-P), Rudy York (56th-1B), Virgil Trucks (61st-P), Birdie Tebbetts (64th-C), Roy Cullenbine (68th-RF), Barney McCosky (70th-CF) and Hoot Evers (100th-LF).

LINEUP POS WAR WS
Roy Cullenbine RF 6.04 25.25
Barney McCosky CF 1.56 14.22
Hank Greenberg LF/1B 6.76 30.62
Rudy York 1B 2.19 21.74
Mike Tresh C 0.63 7.81
Johnny Lipon SS 0.14 0.97
Don Ross 3B 0.11 4.23
Mark Christman 2B/3B -1.02 8.28
LINEUP POS WAR WS
Les Fleming 1B 2.34 12.6
Hoot Evers CF 1.82 10.26
Dick Wakefield LF 1.52 14.7
Chet Laabs RF 1.25 8.67
Frank Secory LF 0.29 1.63
Pat Mullin RF 0.21 5.52
Birdie Tebbetts C 0.14 7.2
Bob Swift C 0.07 2.93
Mickey Rocco 1B 0.07 2.18
Ned Harris -0.01 0
George Archie 1B -0.07 0.07
Johnny Groth CF -0.16 0.07
George Metkovich RF -0.22 7.62
Gene Desautels C -0.45 2.1
Anse Moore LF -0.54 1.15

 

The “Original” 1946 Detroit Tigers roster

NAME POS WAR WS General Manager
Hal Newhouser SP 9.36 32.87 Jack Zeller
Dizzy Trout SP 7.4 26.31 Mickey Cochrane
Hank Greenberg 1B 6.76 30.62 Frank Navin
Roy Cullenbine RF 6.04 25.25 Mickey Cochrane
Johnny Sain SP 5.61 25.08 Mickey Cochrane
Fred Hutchinson SP 4.37 18.35 Jack Zeller
Schoolboy Rowe SP 3.67 13.83 Frank Navin
Virgil Trucks SP 3.26 16.57 Mickey Cochrane
Les Fleming 1B 2.34 12.6 Jack Zeller
Rudy York 1B 2.19 21.74 Frank Navin
Hoot Evers CF 1.82 10.26 Jack Zeller
Barney McCosky CF 1.56 14.22 Mickey Cochrane
Dick Wakefield LF 1.52 14.7 Jack Zeller
Chet Laabs RF 1.25 8.67 Mickey Cochrane
Rip Sewell SP 0.99 8.5 Mickey Cochrane
Jake Wade RP 0.71 3.5 Mickey Cochrane
Mike Tresh C 0.63 7.81 Mickey Cochrane
Lou Kretlow SP 0.3 1.23 George Trautman
Frank Secory LF 0.29 1.63 Jack Zeller
Pat Mullin RF 0.21 5.52 Mickey Cochrane
Birdie Tebbetts C 0.14 7.2 Frank Navin
Johnny Lipon SS 0.14 0.97 Jack Zeller
Don Ross 3B 0.11 4.23 Mickey Cochrane
Bob Swift C 0.07 2.93 Mickey Cochrane
Mickey Rocco 1B 0.07 2.18 Jack Zeller
Art Herring RP 0.06 5.83 Frank Navin
Ned Harris -0.01 0 Jack Zeller
Johnny Gorsica RP -0.04 0.94 Jack Zeller
George Archie 1B -0.07 0.07 Jack Zeller
Johnny Groth CF -0.16 0.07 George Trautman
George Metkovich RF -0.22 7.62 Jack Zeller
Art Houtteman SP -0.27 0.11 Jack Zeller
Stubby Overmire SP -0.33 2.88 Jack Zeller
Rufe Gentry RP -0.33 0 Jack Zeller
Gene Desautels C -0.45 2.1 Mickey Cochrane
Tommy Bridges RP -0.5 0.02 Frank Navin
Ted Gray SP -0.54 0 Jack Zeller
Anse Moore LF -0.54 1.15 George Trautman
Hal Manders RP -0.66 0.13 Jack Zeller
Mark Christman 3B -1.02 8.28 Mickey Cochrane

 

Honorable Mention

The “Original” 1915 Tigers     OWAR: 52.4     OWS: 299     OPW%: .598

Detroit edged Boston by a single game to secure the American League pennant in 1915. Ty Cobb (.369/3/99) swiped a career-high 96 bases while accruing 51 Win Shares and 9.5 WAR. “The Georgia Peach” claimed his ninth consecutive batting title and topped the leader boards with 144 runs scored, 208 safeties and a .486 OBP. Bobby Veach (.313/3/112) delivered League-bests in RBI and doubles (40). Ossie Vitt registered 116 tallies. Hooks Dauss established a personal record with 24 victories.

On Deck

The “Original” 1983 Cardinals

References and Resources

Baseball America – Executive Database

Baseball-Reference

James, Bill. The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract. New York, NY.: The Free Press, 2001. Print.

James, Bill, with Jim Henzler. Win Shares. Morton Grove, Ill.: STATS, 2002. Print.

Retrosheet – Transactions Database

Seamheads – Baseball Gauge

Sean Lahman Baseball Archive


Hardball Retrospective – The “Original” 1948 Cleveland Indians

In “Hardball Retrospective: Evaluating Scouting and Development Outcomes for the Modern-Era Franchises”, I placed every ballplayer in the modern era (from 1901-present) on their original team. Therefore, Mark Grace is listed on the Cubs roster for the duration of his career while the Dodgers declare Frank “Hondo” Howard and the Diamondbacks claim Dan Uggla. I calculated revised standings for every season based entirely on the performance of each team’s “original” players. I discuss every team’s “original” players and seasons at length along with organizational performance with respect to the Amateur Draft (or First-Year Player Draft), amateur free agent signings and other methods of player acquisition.  Season standings, WAR and Win Shares totals for the “original” teams are compared against the “actual” team results to assess each franchise’s scouting, development and general management skills.

Expanding on my research for the book, the following series of articles will reveal the finest single-season rosters for every Major League organization based on overall rankings in OWAR and OWS along with the general managers and scouting directors that constructed the teams. “Hardball Retrospective” is available in digital format on Amazon, Barnes and Noble, GooglePlay, iTunes and KoboBooks. The paperback edition is available on Amazon, Barnes and Noble and CreateSpace. Additional information and a discussion forum are offered at TuataraSoftware.com.

Don Daglow (Intellivision World Series Major League Baseball, Earl Weaver Baseball, Tony La Russa Baseball) contributed the foreword for Hardball Retrospective. The foreword and preview of my book are accessible here.

Terminology

OWAR – Wins Above Replacement for players on “original” teams

OWS – Win Shares for players on “original” teams

OPW% – Pythagorean Won-Loss record for the “original” teams

Assessment

The 1948 Cleveland Indians         OWAR: 57.9     OWS: 291     OPW%: .606

GM C.C. Slapnicka acquired 52.5% (21/40) of the ballplayers on the 1948 Indians roster. Based on the revised standings the “Original” 1948 Indians outpaced the Red Sox, taking the American League pennant by eight games.

Lou Boudreau set personal-bests with a .355 batting average, 199 base hits, 18 dingers and 106 ribbies. “Old Shufflefoot” earned the 1948 American League MVP award and made his seventh All-Star appearance. Tommy “Old Reliable” Henrich (.308/25/100) topped the circuit with 138 runs scored and 14 triples. Ken Keltner posted career-highs in home runs (31), RBI (119) and runs (91). Larry Doby contributed a .308 BA with 83 tallies in his first full season. Jeff Heath swatted 20 big-flies and hit .319 for the Tribe while Dale Mitchell supplied a .336 BA with 204 base knocks and 30 two-baggers. Five-time All-Star backstop Jim “Shanty” Hegan clubbed 21 doubles and 14 taters.

Larry Doby placed 11th among center fielders according to Bill James in “The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract.” Thirteen teammates join him in the top 100 rankings including Lou Boudreau (12th-SS), Bob Feller (12th-P), Al Rosen (14th-3B), Sherm Lollar (31st-C), Tommy Henrich (34th-RF), Ken Keltner (35th-3B), Jeff Heath (44th-LF), Jim Hegan (44th-C), Bob Lemon (48th-P), Ray Boone (69th-3B), Eddie Robinson (86th-1B), Phil Masi (93th-C) and Dale Mitchell (95th-LF).

LINEUP POS WAR WS
Lou Boudreau SS 9.79 34.4
Ken Keltner 3B 6.34 24.93
Tommy Henrich 1B/RF 5.76 28.94
Larry Doby CF 3.34 18.28
Jeff Heath RF/LF 3.25 20.16
Dale Mitchell LF 2.97 20.43
Jim Hegan C 1.7 17.08
Jack Conway 2B 0.13 1.4
BENCH POS WAR WS
Eddie Robinson 1B -0.3 9.18
Dick Kokos RF 0.63 7.03
Phil Masi C 0.46 9.73
Mike McCormick LF 0.4 10.59
Hank Edwards RF 0.36 4.46
Joe Tipton C 0.32 2.97
Pat Seerey RF 0.25 9.75
Cliff Mapes LF 0.18 2.1
Ray Boone SS 0.07 0.28
Al Rosen 3B -0.05 0.02
Ray Murray -0.06 0
Pete Milne CF -0.19 0.07
Sherm Lollar C -0.38 0.4
Johnny Blatnik LF -0.47 8.46
Ralph Weigel C -0.5 1.25

Bob Lemon (20-14, 2.82) paced the Junior Circuit with 293.2 innings pitched, 20 complete games, 10 shutouts and a 1.226 WHIP. Johnny “Bear Tracks” Schmitz earned his second All-Star nod with a record of 18-13 along with a 2.64 ERA while Joe “Burrhead” Dobson (16-10, 3.56) made his lone appearance in the Mid-Summer Classic. Allie Reynolds (16-7, 3.77) battled control problems as he yielded over 100 walks eight times in his first nine seasons. Bob Feller (19-15, 3.56) led the League in strikeouts.

ROTATION POS WAR WS
Bob Lemon SP 7.06 25.52
Johnny Schmitz SP 3.99 22.37
Joe Dobson SP 3.68 19.36
Allie Reynolds SP 3.46 15.58
BULLPEN POS WAR WS
Steve Gromek SW 1.48 9.66
Mike Garcia RP 0.1 0.26
Ernest Groth RP -0.05 0
Hal White RP -0.67 0.77
Bob Feller SP 2.38 16.44
Sheldon Jones SP 2.33 14.58
Satchel Paige SP 1.72 6.79
Denny Galehouse SP 1.49 9.68
Red Embree SP 0.68 4.61
Doyle Lade SP 0.21 4.56
Thornton Lee SP -0.26 0.84
Ray Poat SP -0.89 5.92
Bryan Stephens SP -1.25 1.84

 

The “Original” 1948 Cleveland Indians roster

NAME POS WAR WS General Manager Scouting Director
Lou Boudreau SS 9.79 34.4 C.C. Slapnicka
Bob Lemon SP 7.06 25.52 C.C. Slapnicka
Ken Keltner 3B 6.34 24.93 C.C. Slapnicka
Tommy Henrich RF 5.76 28.94 Billy Evans
Johnny Schmitz SP 3.99 22.37 C.C. Slapnicka
Joe Dobson SP 3.68 19.36 C.C. Slapnicka
Allie Reynolds SP 3.46 15.58 C.C. Slapnicka
Larry Doby CF 3.34 18.28 Bill Veeck
Jeff Heath LF 3.25 20.16 C.C. Slapnicka
Dale Mitchell LF 2.97 20.43 Roger Peckinpaugh
Bob Feller SP 2.38 16.44 C.C. Slapnicka
Sheldon Jones SP 2.33 14.58 C.C. Slapnicka
Satchel Paige SP 1.72 6.79 Bill Veeck
Jim Hegan C 1.7 17.08 C.C. Slapnicka
Denny Galehouse SP 1.49 9.68 Billy Evans
Steve Gromek SW 1.48 9.66 C.C. Slapnicka
Red Embree SP 0.68 4.61 C.C. Slapnicka
Dick Kokos RF 0.63 7.03 Roger Peckinpaugh
Phil Masi C 0.46 9.73 C.C. Slapnicka
Mike McCormick LF 0.4 10.59 C.C. Slapnicka
Hank Edwards RF 0.36 4.46 C.C. Slapnicka
Joe Tipton C 0.32 2.97 C.C. Slapnicka
Pat Seerey RF 0.25 9.75 Roger Peckinpaugh
Doyle Lade SP 0.21 4.56 C.C. Slapnicka
Cliff Mapes LF 0.18 2.1 C.C. Slapnicka
Jack Conway 2B 0.13 1.4 C.C. Slapnicka
Mike Garcia RP 0.1 0.26 Roger Peckinpaugh
Ray Boone SS 0.07 0.28 Roger Peckinpaugh
Al Rosen 3B -0.05 0.02 Roger Peckinpaugh
Ernest Groth RP -0.05 0 Bill Veeck
Ray Murray -0.06 0 Roger Peckinpaugh
Pete Milne CF -0.19 0.07 Roger Peckinpaugh
Thornton Lee SP -0.26 0.84 Billy Evans
Eddie Robinson 1B -0.3 9.18 Roger Peckinpaugh
Sherm Lollar C -0.38 0.4 Roger Peckinpaugh
Johnny Blatnik LF -0.47 8.46 C.C. Slapnicka
Ralph Weigel C -0.5 1.25 Roger Peckinpaugh
Hal White RP -0.67 0.77 C.C. Slapnicka
Ray Poat SP -0.89 5.92 Roger Peckinpaugh
Bryan Stephens SP -1.25 1.84 Bill Veeck

 

Honorable Mention

The “Original” 1999 Indians   OWAR: 55.5     OWS: 298     OPW%: .555

The Tribe outdistanced the Royals and White Sox by eight games en route to claiming the 1999 American League pennant. Manny Ramirez (.333/44/165) secured his lone RBI title and finished third in the MVP balloting. Brian S. Giles slammed a career-best 39 circuit clouts, knocked in 115 baserunners and registered 109 tallies while batting .315. Jim Thome topped the leader boards with 127 bases on balls and slugged 33 four-ply swats. Albert Belle walloped 37 round-trippers and plated 117 baserunners. Sean Casey aka “The Mayor” achieved All-Star status with a .332 BA, 42 doubles, 25 home runs and 99 ribbies. Bartolo Colon fashioned a record of 18-5 with a 3.95 ERA.

On Deck

The “Original” 1946 Tigers

References and Resources

Baseball America – Executive Database

Baseball-Reference

James, Bill. The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract. New York, NY.: The Free Press, 2001. Print.

James, Bill, with Jim Henzler. Win Shares. Morton Grove, Ill.: STATS, 2002. Print.

Retrosheet – Transactions Database

Seamheads – Baseball Gauge

Sean Lahman Baseball Archive