In “Hardball Retrospective: Evaluating Scouting and Development Outcomes for the Modern-Era Franchises”, I placed every ballplayer in the modern era (from 1901-present) on their original team. Therefore, Ozzie Smith is listed on the Padres roster for the duration of his career while the Senators II / Rangers declare Jeff Burroughs and the Rays claim David Price. I calculated revised standings for every season based entirely on the performance of each team’s “original” players. I discuss every team’s “original” players and seasons at length along with organizational performance with respect to the Amateur Draft (or First-Year Player Draft), amateur free agent signings and other methods of player acquisition.  Season standings, WAR and Win Shares totals for the “original” teams are compared against the “actual” team results to assess each franchise’s scouting, development and general management skills.

Expanding on my research for the book, the following series of articles will reveal the finest single-season rosters for every Major League organization based on overall rankings in OWAR and OWS along with the general managers and scouting directors that constructed the teams. “Hardball Retrospective” is available in digital format on Amazon, Barnes and Noble, GooglePlay, iTunes and KoboBooks. The paperback edition is available on Amazon, Barnes and Noble and CreateSpace. Supplemental Statistics, Charts and Graphs along with a discussion forum are offered at TuataraSoftware.com.

Don Daglow (Intellivision World Series Major League Baseball, Earl Weaver Baseball, Tony LaRussa Baseball) contributed the foreword for Hardball Retrospective. The foreword and preview of my book are accessible here.

Terminology

OWAR – Wins Above Replacement for players on “original” teams

OWS – Win Shares for players on “original” teams

OPW% – Pythagorean Won-Loss record for the “original” teams

Assessment

The 1986 New York Mets          OWAR: 59.3     OWS: 299     OPW%: .589

GM Frank Cashen acquired 54% (27/50) of the ballplayers on the 1986 Mets roster while Joe McDonald procured 34% (17/50). Based on the revised standings the “Original” 1986 Mets cruised to the pennant with 95 victories, easily outdistancing the runner-up Phillies and pacing the National League in OWAR and OWS.

The Metropolitans’ rotation featured two future Hall of Fame hurlers (Tom Seaver and Nolan Ryan) alongside the 1985 and 1986 NL Cy Young Award winners (Dwight Gooden and Mike Scott). Scott wielded a wicked split-finger fastball against the opposition and the results were astonishing. He led the Senior Circuit with a 2.22 ERA, 0.923 WHIP and whiffed 306 batsmen in 275.1 innings. Gooden aka “Dr. K” followed his dominant 1985 campaign with a 17-6 record and a 2.84 ERA while recording 200 strikeouts for the third consecutive season. Floyd Youmans tallied 202 punch-outs and notched 13 victories despite allowing a League-worst 118 bases on balls. Roger McDowell posted 22 saves and accrued 14 victories in relief. Jeff “Terminator” Reardon contributed 35 saves and Calvin Schiraldi fashioned a 1.41 ERA while closing out nine contests. Greg A. Harris added 10 wins and 20 saves as a part-time closer.

ROTATION	POS	WAR	WS
Mike Scott	SP	8.3	26.61
Dwight Gooden	SP	4.06	17.76
Tom Seaver	SP	2.79	10.2
Floyd Youmans	SP	2.68	13.06
Nolan Ryan	SP	2.26	11.31
BULLPEN	POS	WAR	WS
Calvin Schiraldi	RP	2.37	10.45
Greg A. Harris	RP	2.16	14.78
Roger McDowell	RP	1.15	15.71
Juan Berenguer	RP	1.07	5.42
Jeff Reardon	RP	-0.17	10.26
Tim Leary	SP	2.47	10.83
Neil Allen	SP	1.72	7.95
Rick Anderson	SP	0.81	3.75
Roy Lee Jackson	RP	0.55	3.57
Rick Aguilera	SP	0.54	5.91
Jay Tibbs	SP	0.51	7.68
Cliff Speck	RP	0.26	1.78
Dave Von Ohlen	RP	0.07	0.82
John Pacella	RP	0.03	0.51
Rick Ownbey	SW	0.02	1.61
Jeff Bittiger	SP	-0.03	0.48
Doug Sisk	RP	-0.03	4.2
Wes Gardner	RP	-0.04	0
Randy Myers	RP	-0.05	0.3
Bill Latham	SP	-0.35	0

Lenny “Nails” Dykstra achieved full-time status in his sophomore season and responded with a .295 BA with 31 stolen bases. Darryl Strawberry slammed 27 long balls, knocked in 93 runs and pilfered 28 bags from the cleanup slot. Jody Davis drilled 27 doubles and 21 circuit clouts. Mookie Wilson (.289, 25 SB) wreaked havoc on the basepaths and Wally Backman contributed a .320 BA. Kevin “World” Mitchell delivered a .277 BA with 22 two-base knocks in a utility role.

Seaver ranked sixth among pitchers according to Bill James in “The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract.” Eight ballplayers from the 1986 Mets roster placed in the “NBJHBA” top 100 rankings including Ryan (24^th-P), Dykstra (44^th-CF), Strawberry (47^th-RF), Mitchell (51^st-LF), Gooden (76^th-P), Brooks (89^th-3B) and Davis (90^th-C).

LINEUP	POS	WAR	WS
Lenny Dykstra	CF	4.94	23.9
Mookie Wilson	LF	3.38	16.81
Hubie Brooks	SS	2.43	14.8
Darryl Strawberry	RF	3.94	24.43
Kevin Mitchell	3B/LF	2.12	14.39
Jody Davis	C	2.02	18.16
Wally Backman	2B	2.28	16.38
Lee Mazzilli	1B/LF	0.69	5.21
BENCH	POS	WAR	WS
Alex Trevino	C	1.44	7.6
Mike Fitzgerald	C	0.96	7.43
John Gibbons	C	0.57	2.38
Jose Oquendo	SS	0.53	4.21
Dave Magadan	1B	0.19	1.25
Rusty Tillman	RF	0.07	1.07
Stan Jefferson	CF	0.02	0.51
Brian J. Giles	2B	-0.06	0.28
Eddie Williams	LF	-0.09	0
Kevin Elster	SS	-0.12	0.72
Barry Lyons	C	-0.13	0
LaSchelle Tarver	CF	-0.32	0.18
Herm Winningham	CF	-0.34	2.6
Ronn Reynolds	C	-0.35	0.98
Dave Cochrane	3B	-0.42	0.24
Manuel Lee	2B	-0.44	0.91
Billy Beane	LF	-1.25	0.94

The “Original” 1986 New York Mets roster

NAME	POS	WAR	WS	General Manager	Scouting Director
Mike Scott	SP	8.3	26.61	Joe McDonald
Lenny Dykstra	CF	4.94	23.9	Frank Cashen	Joe McIlvane
Dwight Gooden	SP	4.06	17.76	Frank Cashen	Joe McIlvane
Darryl Strawberry	RF	3.94	24.43	Frank Cashen	Pete Gebrian
Mookie Wilson	LF	3.38	16.81	Joe McDonald
Tom Seaver	SP	2.79	10.2	George Weiss
Floyd Youmans	SP	2.68	13.06	Frank Cashen	Joe McIlvane
Tim Leary	SP	2.47	10.83	Joe McDonald
Hubie Brooks	SS	2.43	14.8	Joe McDonald
Calvin Schiraldi	RP	2.37	10.45	Frank Cashen	Joe McIlvane
Wally Backman	2B	2.28	16.38	Joe McDonald
Nolan Ryan	SP	2.26	11.31	George Weiss
Greg Harris	RP	2.16	14.78	Joe McDonald
Kevin Mitchell	LF	2.12	14.39	Frank Cashen	Pete Gebrian
Jody Davis	C	2.02	18.16	Joe McDonald
Neil Allen	SP	1.72	7.95	Joe McDonald
Alex Trevino	C	1.44	7.6	Bob Scheffing	Nelson Burbink
Roger McDowell	RP	1.15	15.71	Frank Cashen	Joe McIlvane
Juan Berenguer	RP	1.07	5.42	Joe McDonald
Mike Fitzgerald	C	0.96	7.43	Joe McDonald
Rick Anderson	SP	0.81	3.75	Joe McDonald
Lee Mazzilli	LF	0.69	5.21	Bob Scheffing	Nelson Burbink
John Gibbons	C	0.57	2.38	Frank Cashen	Pete Gebrian
Roy Lee Jackson	RP	0.55	3.57	Joe McDonald
Rick Aguilera	SP	0.54	5.91	Frank Cashen	Joe McIlvane
Jose Oquendo	SS	0.53	4.21	Joe McDonald
Jay Tibbs	SP	0.51	7.68	Frank Cashen	Pete Gebrian
Cliff Speck	RP	0.26	1.78	Bob Scheffing	Nelson Burbink
Dave Magadan	1B	0.19	1.25	Frank Cashen	Joe McIlvane
Dave Von Ohlen	RP	0.07	0.82	Joe McDonald
Rusty Tillman	RF	0.07	1.07	Joe McDonald
John Pacella	RP	0.03	0.51	Bob Scheffing	Nelson Burbink
Rick Ownbey	SW	0.02	1.61	Frank Cashen	Pete Gebrian
Stan Jefferson	CF	0.02	0.51	Frank Cashen	Joe McIlvane
Jeff Bittiger	SP	-0.03	0.48	Frank Cashen	Pete Gebrian
Doug Sisk	RP	-0.03	4.2	Frank Cashen	Pete Gebrian
Wes Gardner	RP	-0.04	0	Frank Cashen	Joe McIlvane
Randy Myers	RP	-0.05	0.3	Frank Cashen	Joe McIlvane
Brian Giles	2B	-0.06	0.28	Joe McDonald
Eddie Williams	LF	-0.09	0	Frank Cashen	Joe McIlvane
Kevin Elster	SS	-0.12	0.72	Frank Cashen	Joe McIlvane
Barry Lyons	C	-0.13	0	Frank Cashen	Joe McIlvane
Jeff Reardon	RP	-0.17	10.26	Joe McDonald
LaSchelle Tarver	CF	-0.32	0.18	Frank Cashen	Pete Gebrian
Herm Winningham	CF	-0.34	2.6	Frank Cashen	Joe McIlvane
Ronn Reynolds	C	-0.35	0.98	Frank Cashen	Pete Gebrian
Bill Latham	SP	-0.35	0	Frank Cashen	Joe McIlvane
Dave Cochrane	3B	-0.42	0.24	Frank Cashen	Joe McIlvane
Manuel Lee	2B	-0.44	0.91	Frank Cashen	Joe McIlvane
Billy Beane	LF	-1.25	0.94	Frank Cashen	Pete Gebrian

 

Honorable Mention

The “Original” 1990 Mets       OWAR: 49.2     OWS: 294     OPW%: .551

Lenny Dykstra (.325/9/60) swiped 33 bases, led the National League with 192 base hits and a .418 OBP while earning his first All-Star appearance. Darryl Strawberry launched 37 long balls and recorded a career-high 108 RBI. Kevin Mitchell belted 35 round-trippers and plated 93 baserunners following his MVP campaign in 1989. Dave Magadan registered a .328 BA and Gregg Jefferies paced the circuit with 40 two-baggers. Nolan Ryan aka “The Ryan Express” whiffed the most batsmen (232) for the fourth consecutive year. Dwight Gooden delivered a 19-7 mark with 223 strikeouts. Randy Myers notched 31 saves with a 2.08 ERA and finished fifth in the balloting for the NL Cy Young Award. Rick Aguilera saved 32 contests and fashioned an ERA of 2.76.

On Deck

The “Original” 1979 Expos

References and Resources

Baseball America – Executive Database

Baseball-Reference

James, Bill. The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract. New York, NY.: The Free Press, 2001. Print.

James, Bill, with Jim Henzler. Win Shares. Morton Grove, Ill.: STATS, 2002. Print.

Retrosheet – Transactions Database

Seamheads – Baseball Gauge

Sean Lahman Baseball Archive