In “Hardball Retrospective: Evaluating Scouting and Development Outcomes for the Modern-Era Franchises”, I placed every ballplayer in the modern era (from 1901-present) on their original team. Therefore, Nolan Ryan is listed on the Mets roster for the duration of his career while the Expos / Nationals declare Gary Carter and the Marlins claim Josh Beckett. I calculated revised standings for every season based entirely on the performance of each team’s “original” players. I discuss every team’s “original” players and seasons at length along with organizational performance with respect to the Amateur Draft (or First-Year Player Draft), amateur free agent signings and other methods of player acquisition. Season standings, WAR and Win Shares totals for the “original” teams are compared against the “actual” team results to assess each franchise’s scouting, development and general management skills.
Expanding on my research for the book, the following series of articles will reveal the finest single-season rosters for every Major League organization based on overall rankings in OWAR and OWS along with the general managers and scouting directors that constructed the teams. “Hardball Retrospective” is available in digital format on Amazon, Barnes and Noble, GooglePlay, iTunes and KoboBooks. The paperback edition is available on Amazon, Barnes and Noble and CreateSpace. Additional information and a discussion forum are offered at TuataraSoftware.com.
Don Daglow (Intellivision World Series Major League Baseball, Earl Weaver Baseball, Tony LaRussa Baseball) contributed the foreword for Hardball Retrospective. The foreword and preview of my book are accessible here.
OWAR – Wins Above Replacement for players on “original” teams
OWS – Win Shares for players on “original” teams
OPW% – Pythagorean Won-Loss record for the “original” teams
The 1983 St. Louis Cardinals OWAR: 54.8 OWS: 310 OPW%: .517
GM Bing Devine acquired 73.1% (30/41) of the ballplayers on the 1983 Cardinals roster. Based on the revised standings the “Original” 1983 Cardinals edged the Expos by a single contest while pacing the National League in OWAR and OWS for the second consecutive season.
Jose Cruz (.318/14/92) topped the Senior Circuit with 189 base knocks and registered 30 Win Shares. Terry Kennedy (.284/17/98) and Ted “Simba” Simmons (.308/13/108) shared responsibilities behind the dish. First baseman Keith “Mex” Hernandez earned his sixth straight Gold Glove Award. Larry Herndon (.302/20/92) posted career-bests in batting average, hits, doubles and RBI.
Simmons ranked tenth among catchers according to Bill James in “The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract.” In total, eight ballplayers from the 1983 Cardinals roster registered in the “NBJHBA” top 100 rankings including Steve Carlton (15th-P), Keith Hernandez (16th-1B), Jose Cruz (29th-LF), Andy Van Slyke (32nd-CF), Tom Herr (40th-2B), Garry Templeton (42nd-SS) and Terry Kennedy (52nd-C).
|Andy Van Slyke||LF||1.56||10.86|
The Redbirds’ rotation featured John Denny (19-6, 2.37), the league-leader in victories and 1983 NL Cy Young Award winner. Steve “Lefty” Carlton tallied 15 wins while striking out a League-leading 275 batsmen. Jerry Reuss contributed a 2.94 ERA along with a 12-11 record. Luis DeLeon saved 13 contests and furnished an ERA of 2.68 with a 1.045 WHIP.
The “Original” 1983 St. Louis Cardinals roster
|NAME||POS||WAR||WS||General Manager||Scouting Director|
|John Denny||SP||6.76||22.46||Bing Devine||George Silvey|
|Jose Cruz||LF||5.9||30.07||Bob Howsam||George Silvey|
|Keith Hernandez||1B||5.15||22.54||Bing Devine||George Silvey|
|Steve Carlton||SP||4.76||18.22||Bing Devine||George Silvey|
|Jerry Reuss||SP||3.63||14.76||Stan Musial|
|Terry Kennedy||C||3.22||25.17||Bing Devine||Jim Bayens|
|Ted Simmons||C||2.93||18.46||Stan Musial|
|Larry Herndon||LF||2.81||21.25||Bing Devine||George Silvey|
|Jerry Mumphrey||CF||2.67||17.37||Bing Devine||George Silvey|
|Ken Oberkfell||3B||2.37||16.6||Bing Devine||George Silvey|
|Tom Herr||2B||1.86||12.24||Bing Devine||George Silvey|
|Jim Dwyer||RF||1.6||9.25||Bing Devine||George Silvey|
|Luis DeLeon||RP||1.6||13.13||Bing Devine||Jim Bayens|
|Andy Van Slyke||LF||1.56||10.86||John Claiborne||Jim Bayens|
|Leon Durham||LF||1.26||12.58||Bing Devine||George Silvey|
|Victor Cruz||RP||0.73||4.07||Bing Devine||George Silvey|
|Garry Templeton||SS||0.68||9.81||Bing Devine||George Silvey|
|George Bjorkman||C||0.59||2.3||Bing Devine||Jim Bayens|
|Mike Proly||RP||0.52||4.49||Bing Devine||George Silvey|
|Bill Stein||2B||0.51||5.79||Bing Devine|
|Danny Cox||SP||0.51||4.26||Whitey Herzog||Fred McAlister|
|Jim Gott||SP||0.39||6.75||Bing Devine||Jim Bayens|
|Ralph Citarella||RP||0.26||1.11||John Claiborne||Jim Bayens|
|Tito Landrum||RF||0.21||1.48||Bing Devine||George Silvey|
|Kelly Paris||3B||0.18||3.02||Bing Devine||George Silvey|
|Bob Meacham||SS||0.12||1.89||Whitey Herzog||Fred McAlister|
|Mike Vail||1B||0.1||2.18||Bing Devine||George Silvey|
|Jeff Doyle||2B||-0.01||0.87||Bing Devine||Jim Bayens|
|Bill Caudill||RP||-0.06||6.16||Bing Devine||George Silvey|
|Glenn Brummer||C||-0.08||1.98||Bing Devine||George Silvey|
|Gene Roof||LF||-0.08||0.06||Bing Devine||George Silvey|
|Bob Forsch||SP||-0.21||6.24||Bing Devine|
|Jeff Keener||RP||-0.22||0||Whitey Herzog||Fred McAlister|
|Tom Dixon||RP||-0.25||0||Bing Devine||George Silvey|
|Marc Hill||C||-0.27||2.02||Bing Devine||George Silvey|
|Jim Adduci||1B||-0.27||0.06||John Claiborne||Jim Bayens|
|Mike Torrez||SP||-0.33||6.46||Bob Howsam||George Silvey|
|Kevin Hagen||SP||-0.38||0.39||John Claiborne||Jim Bayens|
|Bake McBride||RF||-0.43||3.23||Bing Devine||George Silvey|
|Eric Rasmussen||SP||-0.45||1.87||Bing Devine||George Silvey|
|Mike Ramsey||2B||-0.57||3.52||Bing Devine||George Silvey|
The “Original” 1982 Cardinals OWAR: 54.7 OWS: 318 OPW%: .552
The majority of the Cardinals teams from 1977-1985 consistently achieved OWAR scores above 40 and/or OWS scores above 300. Due to the roster similarities I have selected the 1992 roster for additional comment.
The “Original” 1992 Cardinals OWAR: 47.8 OWS: 286 OPW%: .563
Andy Van Slyke (.324/14/89) led the National League with 45 doubles and 199 base knocks while accruing a team-high 35 Win Shares. Van Slyke collected his fifth consecutive Gold Glove Award and placed fourth in the NL MVP balloting. In his second full season Ray Lankford (.293/20/86) nabbed 42 bags and established a career-high with 40 doubles. Terry Pendleton replicated the output from his MVP campaign in ’91, posting a .311 BA with 21 blasts and 105 ribbies. He delivered a League-leading 199 safeties, made his lone All-Star appearance and earned runner-up status in the MVP vote. Lance “One Dog” Johnson swiped 41 bases and topped the circuit with 12 triples. Mike Perez (9-3, 1.84) and Todd Worrell (5-3, 2.11) anchored the bullpen corps.
The “Original” 1992 Padres
References and Resources
James, Bill. The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract. New York, NY.: The Free Press, 2001. Print.
James, Bill, with Jim Henzler. Win Shares. Morton Grove, Ill.: STATS, 2002. Print.
Derek Bain is a New Jersey native with a passion for baseball, statistics, computers and video games. He has written a number of articles for Fangraphs and Seamheads, and enjoys spending quality time with his family.