Author Archive

Hardball Retrospective – What Might Have Been – The “Original” 1908 Cardinals

In “Hardball Retrospective: Evaluating Scouting and Development Outcomes for the Modern-Era Franchises”, I placed every ballplayer in the modern era (from 1901-present) on their original team. I calculated revised standings for every season based entirely on the performance of each team’s “original” players. I discuss every team’s “original” players and seasons at length along with organizational performance with respect to the Amateur Draft (or First-Year Player Draft), amateur free agent signings and other methods of player acquisition.  Season standings, WAR and Win Shares totals for the “original” teams are compared against the “actual” team results to assess each franchise’s scouting, development and general management skills.

Expanding on my research for the book, the following series of articles will reveal the teams with the biggest single-season difference in the WAR and Win Shares for the “Original” vs. “Actual” rosters for every Major League organization. “Hardball Retrospective” is available in digital format on Amazon, Barnes and Noble, GooglePlay, iTunes and KoboBooks. The paperback edition is available on Amazon, Barnes and Noble and CreateSpace. Supplemental Statistics, Charts and Graphs along with a discussion forum are offered at TuataraSoftware.com.

Don Daglow (Intellivision World Series Major League Baseball, Earl Weaver Baseball, Tony LaRussa Baseball) contributed the foreword for Hardball Retrospective. The foreword and preview of my book are accessible here.

Terminology

OWAR – Wins Above Replacement for players on “original” teams

OWS – Win Shares for players on “original” teams

OPW% – Pythagorean Won-Loss record for the “original” teams

AWAR – Wins Above Replacement for players on “actual” teams

AWS – Win Shares for players on “actual” teams

APW% – Pythagorean Won-Loss record for the “actual” teams

Assessment

The 1908 St. Louis Cardinals 

OWAR: 29.2     OWS: 247     OPW%: .375     (58-96)

AWAR: 13.5       AWS: 146     APW%: .318   (49-105)

WARdiff: 15.7                        WSdiff: 101  

Despite a dismal effort and last-place finish, the “Original” 1908 Cardinals bested the “Actual” Redbirds by a 9-game margin and a confounding Win Shares differential of 109. “Turkey” Mike Donlin (.334/6/106) tallied 198 base knocks, pilfered 30 bags and recorded a career-high in ribbies. Fellow outfielder Charlie “Eagle Eye” Hemphill swiped 42 bases and batted .297 for the “Original” Cardinals. Red Murray supplied a .282 BA with 48 stolen bases for both the “Original” and “Actual” Redbirds.

Mordecai Brown ranks twentieth among pitchers according to Bill James in “The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract.” “Original” Cardinals teammates listed in the “NBJHBA” top 100 rankings include Ed Konetchy (48th-1B) and Mike Donlin (52nd-CF).

  Original 1908 Cardinals                             Actual 1908 Cardinals

LINEUP POS OWAR OWS LINEUP POS AWAR AWS
Charlie Hemphill LF/CF 3.11 25.83 Joe Delahanty LF -0.89 13.78
Red Murray CF 2.92 25.78 Red Murray CF 2.92 25.78
Mike Donlin RF 5.8 31.2 Al Shaw RF/CF -0.3 10.83
Ed Konetchy 1B 1.65 16.9 Ed Konetchy 1B 1.65 16.9
Chappy Charles 2B -2.75 2.31 Billy Gilbert 2B -1.13 3.61
Freddy Parent SS 1.89 11.89 Patsy O’Rourke SS -1.02 0.64
Bobby Byrne 3B -1.61 3.31 Bobby Byrne 3B -1.61 3.31
Art Hoelskoetter C -0.24 2.21 Art Hoelskoetter C -0.24 2.21
BENCH POS OWAR OWS BENCH POS AWAR AWS
Joe Delahanty LF -0.89 13.78 Shad Barry RF -0.53 4.25
Al Shaw CF -0.3 10.83 Chappy Charles 2B -2.75 2.31
Al Burch LF 0.18 10.72 Jack Bliss C 0.12 2.18
Spike Shannon LF -0.85 7.58 Bill Ludwig C -0.02 1.4
Jack Bliss C 0.12 2.18 Wilbur Murdoch LF -0.21 1.3
Bill Ludwig C -0.02 1.4 Champ Osteen SS -0.81 0.41
Wilbur Murdoch LF -0.21 1.3 Charlie Moran C -0.44 0.28
Patsy O’Rourke SS -1.02 0.64 Walter Morris SS -0.65 0.25
Art Weaver C -0.1 0.33 Doc Marshall C -0.07 0.18
Charlie Moran C -0.44 0.28 Tom Reilly SS -0.58 0.13
Walter Morris SS -0.65 0.25 Ralph McLaurin LF -0.14 0.09
Tom Reilly SS -0.58 0.13
Ralph McLaurin LF -0.14 0.09
Simmy Murch 1B -0.06 0.06

Mordecai “Three-Finger” Brown, in the midst of six straight seasons with 20+ victories, furnished a 29-9 record with a 1.47 ERA and a career-best WHIP of 0.842. He completed 27 of 31 starts and saved 5 contests in 13 relief appearances for the “Original” Cardinals. Billy Campbell contributed 12 wins with a 2.60 ERA and a 1.116 WHIP in 221.1 innings. “Actuals” ace Bugs Raymond suffered through a 15-25 campaign despite a 2.03 ERA and 1.021 WHIP. Johnny Lush (11-18, 2.12) endured similar results as the Redbirds rotation was unable to overcome a lackluster offense.

  Original 1908 Cardinals                            Actual 1908 Cardinals

ROTATION POS OWAR OWS ROTATION POS AWAR AWS
Mordecai Brown SP 6.62 31.34 Bugs Raymond SP 1.97 21.04
Billy Campbell SP -0.96 10.38 Johnny Lush SP 0.26 14.3
Art Fromme SP -1.45 3.61 Fred Beebe SP -2.13 5.63
Slim Sallee SP -1.61 3.19 Ed Karger SP -1.87 3.69
BULLPEN POS OWAR OWS BULLPEN POS AWAR AWS
Jake Thielman RP -0.34 3.78 Art Fromme SP -1.45 3.61
Irv Higginbotham SP -0.9 3.1 Slim Sallee SP -1.61 3.19
Charlie Rhodes RP -0.05 1.67 Irv Higginbotham SP -0.9 3.1
Stoney McGlynn SP -1.16 1.23 Charlie Rhodes SP 0 1.4
O.F. Baldwin SP -0.46 0 Stoney McGlynn SP -1.16 1.23
Buster Brown RP -0.39 0 O.F. Baldwin SP -0.46 0
Fred Gaiser RP -0.13 0 Fred Gaiser RP -0.13 0

Notable Transactions

Mordecai Brown

December 12, 1903: Traded by the St. Louis Cardinals with Jack O’Neill to the Chicago Cubs for Larry McLean and Jack Taylor.

Mike Donlin

Before 1901 Season: Jumped from the St. Louis Cardinals to the Baltimore Orioles.

Before 1902 Season: Released by the Baltimore Orioles.

August, 1902: Signed as a Free Agent with the Cincinnati Reds.

August 7, 1904: Traded as part of a 3-team trade by the Cincinnati Reds to the New York Giants. The New York Giants sent Moose McCormick to the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Pittsburgh Pirates sent Jimmy Sebring to the Cincinnati Reds.

Charlie Hemphill

March 2, 1901: Jumped from the St. Louis Cardinals to the Boston Americans.

Before 1902 Season: Signed as a Free Agent with the Cleveland Bronchos.

June, 1902: Released by the Cleveland Bronchos. (Date given is approximate. Exact date is uncertain.)

June 4, 1902: Signed as a Free Agent with the St. Louis Browns.

August 23, 1905: Purchased by the St. Louis Browns from St Paul (American Association). (Date given is approximate. Exact date is uncertain.)

November 5, 1907: Traded by the St. Louis Browns with Fred Glade and Harry Niles to the New York Highlanders for Hobe Ferris, Danny Hoffman and Jimmy Williams.

Honorable Mention

The 1983 St. Louis Cardinals 

OWAR: 54.8     OWS: 310     OPW%: .517     (84-78)

AWAR: 36.1     AWS: 237     APW%: .488   (79-83)

WARdiff: 18.7                        WSdiff: 73 

The “Original” 1983 Cardinals seized the National League Eastern Division flag by a single game over the Expos. The flock featured left fielder Jose Cruz (.318/14/92), the NL leader with 189 base hits. “Cheo” reached the 30-steal mark for the fifth time in his career. Terry Kennedy (.284/17/98) registered a personal-best in RBI. Keith Hernandez earned the sixth of eleven consecutive Gold Glove Awards. John Denny (19-6, 2.37) merited the NL Cy Young Award. Larry Herndon notched personal-highs in batting average (.302), hits (182), doubles (28) and RBI (92). Ted “Simba” Simmons delivered a .308 BA with 39 two-baggers and 108 ribbies. Steve “Lefty” Carlton whiffed 275 batsmen and fashioned a 3.11 ERA. George Hendrick (.318/18/97) received his fourth All-Star invitation and posted a career-high in batting average for the “Actual” Redbirds.

On Deck

What Might Have Been – The “Original” 1975 Astros

References and Resources

Baseball America – Executive Database

Baseball-Reference

James, Bill. The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract. New York, NY.: The Free Press, 2001. Print.

James, Bill, with Jim Henzler. Win Shares. Morton Grove, Ill.: STATS, 2002. Print.

Retrosheet – Transactions Database

The information used here was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Interested parties may contact Retrosheet at “www.retrosheet.org”.

Seamheads – Baseball Gauge

Sean Lahman Baseball Archive


Hardball Retrospective – What Might Have Been – The “Original” 1905 Beaneaters

In “Hardball Retrospective: Evaluating Scouting and Development Outcomes for the Modern-Era Franchises”, I placed every ballplayer in the modern era (from 1901-present) on their original team. I calculated revised standings for every season based entirely on the performance of each team’s “original” players. I discuss every team’s “original” players and seasons at length along with organizational performance with respect to the Amateur Draft (or First-Year Player Draft), amateur free agent signings and other methods of player acquisition.  Season standings, WAR and Win Shares totals for the “original” teams are compared against the “actual” team results to assess each franchise’s scouting, development and general management skills.

Expanding on my research for the book, the following series of articles will reveal the teams with the biggest single-season difference in the WAR and Win Shares for the “Original” vs. “Actual” rosters for every Major League organization. “Hardball Retrospective” is available in digital format on Amazon, Barnes and Noble, GooglePlay, iTunes and KoboBooks. The paperback edition is available on Amazon, Barnes and Noble and CreateSpace. Supplemental Statistics, Charts and Graphs along with a discussion forum are offered at TuataraSoftware.com.

Don Daglow (Intellivision World Series Major League Baseball, Earl Weaver Baseball, Tony LaRussa Baseball) contributed the foreword for Hardball Retrospective. The foreword and preview of my book are accessible here.

Terminology

OWAR – Wins Above Replacement for players on “original” teams

OWS – Win Shares for players on “original” teams

OPW% – Pythagorean Won-Loss record for the “original” teams

AWAR – Wins Above Replacement for players on “actual” teams

AWS – Win Shares for players on “actual” teams

APW% – Pythagorean Won-Loss record for the “actual” teams

Assessment

The 1905 Boston Beaneaters 

OWAR: 30.1     OWS: 261     OPW%: .423     (65-89)

AWAR: 11.3       AWS: 152     APW%: .331   (51-103)

WARdiff: 18.8                        WSdiff: 109  

The “Original” 1905 Beaneaters placed seventh in the Senior Circuit, narrowly avoiding a last-place finish by a two-game margin over the Brooklyn Superbas. Yet the “Actual” Beaneaters underachieved when compared to the “Original” squad by 14 victories and an astonishing WSdiff of 109.

Charlie “Piano Legs” Hickman (.277/4/66) outplayed “Actuals” second-sacker Fred Raymer (.211/0/31). Hall of Fame third baseman Jimmy Collins (.276/4/65) posted superior results for the “Originals” compared to “Fighting” Harry Wolverton (.225/2/55). Dan “Cap” McGann (.299/5/75) slashed 14 triples and pilfered 22 bases while fellow first baseman Fred Tenney (.288/0/28) lagged in the power department. Ernie Courtney (.275/2/77) provided additional thump and established career-highs in most of the major offensive categories.

Kid Nichols rates ninth among pitchers according to Bill James in “The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract.” “Original” Beaneaters teammates listed in the “NBJHBA” top 100 rankings include Collins (17th-3B), Chick Stahl (51st-CF), Bobby Lowe (56th-2B), Tenney (70th-1B), Hickman (80th-1B), Vic Willis (84th-P) and McGann (92nd-1B).

Original 1905 Beaneaters                               Actual 1905 Beaneaters

STARTING LINEUP POS OWAR OWS STARTING LINEUP POS OWAR OWS
Joe Kelley LF -0.73 9.35 Jim Delahanty LF -1.92 9.48
Chick Stahl CF 1.1 16.77 Rip Cannell CF -0.82 9.3
Cozy P. Dolan RF 0.32 10.94 Cozy P. Dolan RF 0.5 9.95
Dan McGann 1B 3.17 23.57 Fred Tenney 1B 3.24 16.63
Charlie Hickman 2B/OF 3.3 23.1 Fred Raymer 2B -5.28 3.14
Dave Murphy SS -0.11 0.03 Ed Abbaticchio SS -0.47 15.95
Jimmy Collins 3B 3.76 22.84 Harry Wolverton 3B -1.85 8.21
Billy Sullivan C 0.45 6.86 Pat Moran C 0.3 6.43
BENCH POS OWAR OWS BENCH POS AWAR AWS
Ernie Courtney 3B 1.41 18.3 Tom Needham C 0.45 5.06
Fred Tenney 1B 3.24 16.63 Bill Lauterborn 3B -1.71 1.14
Kitty Bransfield 1B 0.2 13.38 Bud Sharpe RF -1.74 0.7
Rip Cannell CF -0.82 9.3 Allie Strobel 3B -0.28 0.18
Pat Moran C 0.3 6.43 George Barclay LF -1.67 0.11
Jack Warner C 0.45 5.71 Dave Murphy SS -0.11 0.03
Tom Needham C 0.45 5.06 Gabby Street C -0.1 0.01
Bobby Lowe 2B/3B -0.82 2.25 Bill McCarthy C -0.05 0
Bill Lauterborn 3B -1.71 1.14
Bud Sharpe RF -1.74 0.7
Allie Strobel 3B -0.28 0.18
Bill McCarthy C -0.05 0

Claimed by the “Original” and “Actual” Beaneaters, Irv Young’s inaugural season encompassed 20 victories against 21 defeats, a 2.90 ERA and League-bests in complete games (41) and innings pitched (378). In a similar fashion Vic Willis was tagged with 29 losses despite a respectable 3.21 ERA. Togie Pittinger furnished a record of 23-14 with a 3.09 ERA for the “Originals” and Kid Nichols contributed 11 wins and a 3.12 ERA. Chick Fraser (14-21, 3.28) hurled 35 complete games in 37 starts for the “Actuals”.

  Original 1905 Beaneaters                          Actual 1905 Beaneaters

ROTATION POS OWAR OWS ROTATION POS AWAR AWS
Irv Young SP 6.54 29.02 Irv Young SP 6.54 29.02
Togie Pittinger SP 1.33 18.56 Chick Fraser SP 1.22 17.77
Vic Willis SP 0.9 17.66 Vic Willis SP 0.9 17.66
Kid Nichols SP 0.9 10.58 Kaiser Wilhelm SP -3.87 1.5
BULLPEN POS OWAR OWS BULLPEN POS AWAR AWS
Dick Harley SP -1.04 0.73 Dick Harley SP -1.04 0.73
Frank Hershey SP -0.18 0 Frank Hershey SP -0.18 0
Jake Volz SP -0.61 0

 

Notable Transactions

Dan McGann

September 22, 1897: Purchased with Butts Wagner, Bob McHale and Cooney Snyder by the Washington Senators from Toronto (Eastern) for $8,500.

December 10, 1897: Traded by the Washington Senators with Gene DeMontreville and Doc McJames to the Baltimore Orioles for Doc Amole, Jack Doyle and Heinie Reitz.

March 11, 1899: Assigned to the Brooklyn Superbas by the Baltimore Orioles.

July 14, 1899: Traded by the Brooklyn Superbas with Aleck Smith to the Washington Senators for Deacon McGuire.

March 9, 1900: Purchased by the St. Louis Cardinals from the Washington Senators for $5,000.

Before 1902 Season: Jumped from the St. Louis Cardinals to the Baltimore Orioles.

July 17, 1902: Released by the Baltimore Orioles. (Date given is approximate. Exact date is uncertain.)

July 17, 1902: Signed as a Free Agent with the New York Giants. (Date given is approximate. Exact date is uncertain.)

Charlie Hickman

March 22, 1900: Purchased by the New York Giants from the Boston Beaneaters.

December 16, 1901: Jumped from the New York Giants to the Boston Americans.

June 3, 1902: Purchased by the Cleveland Bronchos from the Boston Americans.

August 7, 1904: Traded by the Cleveland Naps to the Detroit Tigers for Charlie Carr.

July 6, 1905: Purchased by the Washington Senators from the Detroit Tigers.

Jimmy Collins

February 11, 1901: Jumped from the Boston Beaneaters to the Boston Americans.

Ernie Courtney

August, 1902: Released by the Boston Beaneaters.

August 13, 1902: Signed as a Free Agent with the Baltimore Orioles. (Date given is approximate. Exact date is uncertain.)

June 10, 1903: Traded by the New York Highlanders with Herman Long to the Detroit Tigers for Kid Elberfeld.

October, 1903: Traded by the Detroit Tigers with Rube Kisinger, Sport McAllister and either Yeager or Lush to Buffalo (Eastern) for Cy Ferry and Matty McIntyre.

Chick Stahl

March 4, 1901: Jumped from the Boston Beaneaters to the Boston Americans.

Honorable Mention

The 1977 Atlanta Braves 

OWAR: 40.5     OWS: 283     OPW%: .470     (76-86)

AWAR: 19.9     AWS: 182     APW%: .377   (61-101)

WARdiff: 20.6                        WSdiff: 101  

The “Original” 1977 Braves featured Mickey Rivers, who supplied a .326 BA and registered career-highs with 12 four-baggers and 69 ribbies. “Mick the Quick” slumped in the stolen base department, succeeding on only 22 of 36 attempts after averaging 48 steals in three preceding campaigns. Dusty Baker crushed 30 round-trippers and plated 86 baserunners. Bill “Weaser” Robinson (.304/26/104) produced personal-bests in the Triple Crown categories. “The Roadrunner”, Ralph Garr, fashioned a .300 BA and socked 29 doubles. Ron Reed delivered 7 wins, 15 saves and a 2.75 ERA, primarily as a late-inning reliever. Phil “Knucksie” Niekro’s 16-20 record, 330.1 innings pitched and League-high 262 strikeouts are tallied for the “Original” and “Actual” Braves. Jeff Burroughs paced the “Actuals” with 41 jacks and 114 ribbies.

On Deck

What Might Have Been – The “Original” 1908 Cardinals

References and Resources

Baseball America – Executive Database

Baseball-Reference

James, Bill. The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract. New York, NY.: The Free Press, 2001. Print.

James, Bill, with Jim Henzler. Win Shares. Morton Grove, Ill.: STATS, 2002. Print.

Retrosheet – Transactions Database

The information used here was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Interested parties may contact Retrosheet at “www.retrosheet.org”.

Seamheads – Baseball Gauge

Sean Lahman Baseball Archive


Hardball Retrospective – What Might Have Been – The “Original” 1919 Athletics

In “Hardball Retrospective: Evaluating Scouting and Development Outcomes for the Modern-Era Franchises”, I placed every ballplayer in the modern era (from 1901-present) on their original team. I calculated revised standings for every season based entirely on the performance of each team’s “original” players. I discuss every team’s “original” players and seasons at length along with organizational performance with respect to the Amateur Draft (or First-Year Player Draft), amateur free agent signings and other methods of player acquisition.  Season standings, WAR and Win Shares totals for the “original” teams are compared against the “actual” team results to assess each franchise’s scouting, development and general management skills.

Expanding on my research for the book, the following series of articles will reveal the teams with the biggest single-season difference in the WAR and Win Shares for the “Original” vs. “Actual” rosters for every Major League organization. “Hardball Retrospective” is available in digital format on Amazon, Barnes and Noble, GooglePlay, iTunes and KoboBooks. The paperback edition is available on Amazon, Barnes and Noble and CreateSpace. Supplemental Statistics, Charts and Graphs along with a discussion forum are offered at TuataraSoftware.com.

Don Daglow (Intellivision World Series Major League Baseball, Earl Weaver Baseball, Tony LaRussa Baseball) contributed the foreword for Hardball Retrospective. The foreword and preview of my book are accessible here.

Terminology

OWAR – Wins Above Replacement for players on “original” teams

OWS – Win Shares for players on “original” teams

OPW% – Pythagorean Won-Loss record for the “original” teams

AWAR – Wins Above Replacement for players on “actual” teams

AWS – Win Shares for players on “actual” teams

APW% – Pythagorean Won-Loss record for the “actual” teams

Assessment

The 1919 Philadelphia Athletics

OWAR: 33.3     OWS: 224     OPW%: .381     (53-87)

AWAR: 9.0       AWS: 107     APW%: .257   (36-104)

WARdiff: 24.3                        WSdiff: 116.4  

The “Original” 1919 Athletics outperformed the “Actual” squad by 17 victories with a staggering WSdiff of 116.4. The “Actuals” were reduced to a shadow of their former dynasty due to a variety of factors, primarily financial. The “Originals” featured second-sacker Eddie Collins (.319/4/80), the League-leader with 33 stolen bases. “Shoeless Joe” Jackson supplied a .351 BA with 31 doubles, 14 triples and 96 ribbies in his penultimate season. Their counterparts, Whitey Witt (.267/0/33) and Merlin Kopp (.226/1/12) were barely adequate. In addition to left field and second base, the “Originals” surpassed the “Actuals” at catcher and third base. Wally Schang furnished a .306 BA and pilfered 15 bags while Steve O’Neill contributed a .289 BA with 35 doubles. Home Run Baker (.293/10/83) bested Fred Thomas (.212/2/23) at the hot corner.

Eddie Collins placed runner-up to Joe Morgan in the All-Time Second Basemen rankings according to Bill James in “The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract.” “Original” Athletics teammates listed in the “NBJHBA” top 100 rankings include Baker (5th-3B), Jackson (6th-LF), Wally Schang (20th-C), Jimmie Dykes (52nd-3B), Steve O’Neill (54th-C), Stan Coveleski (58th-P), Stuffy McInnis (68th-1B), Charlie Grimm (85th-1B), Joe Dugan (88th-3B), Jack Barry (90th-SS), Bob Shawkey (95th-P) and Amos Strunk (100th-CF). George H. Burns (79th-1B) and Terry Turner (92nd-SS) round out the roster for the “Actuals”.

  Original 1919 Athletics                                                       Actual 1919 Athletics 

STARTING LINEUP POS OWAR OWS STARTING LINEUP POS OWAR OWS
Joe Jackson LF 3.37 30.69 Merlin Kopp LF 0.59 3.19
Amos Strunk CF -1.59 5.71 Tillie Walker CF 0.87 9.67
Eddie Murphy RF 0.69 3.38 Braggo Roth RF 0.64 7.11
Stuffy McInnis 1B 1.07 12.03 George H. Burns 1B 1.56 11.67
Eddie Collins 2B 4.1 27.48 Whitey Witt 2B -0.35 7.01
Joe Dugan SS -1.51 6.12 Joe Dugan SS -1.51 6.12
Home Run Baker 3B 1.57 19.36 Fred Thomas 3B -3.09 3.74
Wally Schang C 4.41 18.95 Cy Perkins C 0.96 8.98
BENCH POS OWAR OWS BENCH POS AWAR AWS
Morrie Rath 2B 4.18 21.36 Wickey McAvoy C -0.77 2.93
Steve O’Neill C 2.02 16.7 Red Shannon 2B -0.23 2.69
Cy Perkins C 0.96 8.98 Dick Burrus 1B -1.09 1.53
Val Picinich C 0.79 7.27 Ivy Griffin 1B -0.04 1.26
Whitey Witt 2B -0.35 7.01 Al Wingo LF -0.08 1.17
Rube Bressler LF -0.08 5.96 Amos Strunk RF -1.35 1.02
Wickey McAvoy C -0.77 2.93 Terry Turner SS -1.06 0.95
Charlie Grimm 1B 0.27 1.81 Chick Galloway SS -0.93 0.63
Jack Barry 2B 0.03 1.68 Lena Styles C 0.02 0.54
Dick Burrus 1B -1.09 1.53 Jimmie Dykes 2B -0.28 0.36
Fred Lear 1B -0.05 1.48 Frank Welch CF -0.31 0.22
Ivy Griffin 1B -0.04 1.26 Art Ewoldt 3B -0.24 0.19
Al Wingo LF -0.08 1.17 Roy Grover 2B -0.4 0.17
Lew Malone 3B -0.82 1.01 Johnny Walker C -0.11 0.12
Dave Shean 2B -1.25 0.88 Snooks Dowd 2B -0.18 0.06
Chick Galloway SS -0.93 0.63 Charlie High RF -0.46 0.04
Lena Styles C 0.02 0.54 Lew Groh 3B -0.06 0.01
Claude Davidson 3B 0.08 0.41 Bob Allen CF -0.25 0.01
Jimmie Dykes 2B -0.28 0.36
Roy Grover 2B -1.16 0.32
Frank Welch CF -0.31 0.22
Gene Bailey RF 0.02 0.2
Art Ewoldt 3B -0.24 0.19
Johnny Walker C -0.11 0.12
Charlie High RF -0.46 0.04
Lew Groh 3B -0.06 0.01
Bob Allen CF -0.25 0.01
Lee King LF/SS -0.01 0

Stan Coveleski averaged 23 victories per season over a four-year stretch (1918-1921). “Covey” delivered a 24-12 mark with a 2.61 ERA for the “Originals” staff. Bob Shawkey fashioned a 2.72 ERA and a 1.186 WHIP to complement his 20-11 record. Herb Pennock aka “The Squire of Kennett Square” added 16 wins with a 2.71 ERA. The “Actuals” countered with Walt Kinney (9-15, 3.64), Jing Johnson (9-15, 3.61), Rollie Naylor (5-18, 3.34) and Scott Perry (4-17, 3.58).

  Original 1919 Athletics                                                       Actual 1919 Athletics

ROTATION POS OWAR OWS ROTATION POS AWAR AWS
Stan Coveleski SP 6.29 27.45 Walt Kinney SP 1.03 9.04
Bob Shawkey SP 3.87 23.43 Jing Johnson SP 0.79 7.49
Herb Pennock SP 2.91 15.28 Rollie Naylor SP 0.38 7.16
Elmer Myers SP 0.6 7.68 Scott Perry SP 0.96 6.52
BULLPEN POS OWAR OWS BULLPEN POS AWAR AWS
Jing Johnson SP 0.79 7.49 Tom Rogers SP -0.65 3.07
Dana Fillingim SP -0.06 7.35 Bob Geary SW -0.26 0.77
Rollie Naylor SP 0.38 7.16 Jimmy Zinn SP -0.35 0.43
Tom Zachary SP 0.15 2.78 Charlie Eckert SP -0.03 0.4
Bob Geary SW -0.26 0.77 Walter Anderson RP -0.28 0.4
Jimmy Zinn SP -0.35 0.43 William Pierson SP 0.14 0.38
Charlie Eckert SP -0.03 0.4 Socks Seibold SW -0.94 0.28
Walter Anderson RP -0.28 0.4 Dave Keefe SP 0.1 0.28
William Pierson SP 0.14 0.38 Willie Adams RP 0.03 0.18
Socks Seibold SW -0.94 0.28 Win Noyes SP -0.72 0.08
Dave Keefe SP 0.1 0.28 Pat Martin SP -0.18 0.06
Bullet Joe Bush SP -0.03 0.24 Ray Roberts SP -0.53 0.03
Pat Martin SP -0.18 0.06 Bob Hasty SP -0.28 0.02
Ray Roberts SP -0.53 0.03 Dan Boone SP -0.54 0
Bob Hasty SP -0.28 0.02 Bill Grevell SP -1.19 0
Dan Boone SP -0.54 0 Mike Kircher RP -0.36 0
Dave Danforth RP -2.18 0 Harry Thompson RP -0.28 0
Bill Grevell SP -1.19 0 Mule Watson SP -0.33 0
Mike Kircher RP -0.36 0 Lefty York SP -0.86 0
Mule Watson SP -0.33 0
Harry Weaver SP -0.49 0
Lefty York SP -0.86 0

Notable Transactions

Shoeless Joe Jackson

July 30, 1910: the Philadelphia Athletics sent Shoeless Joe Jackson to the Cleveland Naps to complete an earlier deal made on July 23, 1910. July 23, 1910: The Philadelphia Athletics sent a player to be named later and Morrie Rath to the Cleveland Naps for Bris Lord.

August 21, 1915: Traded by the Cleveland Indians to the Chicago White Sox for a player to be named later, Ed Klepfer, Braggo Roth and $31,500. The Chicago White Sox sent Larry Chappell (February 14, 1916) to the Cleveland Indians to complete the trade.

Eddie Collins

December 8, 1914: Purchased by the Chicago White Sox from the Philadelphia Athletics for $50,000.

Home Run Baker

February 15, 1916: Purchased by the New York Yankees from the Philadelphia Athletics for $37,500.

Wally Schang

December 14, 1917: Traded by the Philadelphia Athletics with Bullet Joe Bush and Amos Strunk to the Boston Red Sox for Vean Gregg, Merlin Kopp, Pinch Thomas and $60,000.

Morrie Rath

July 23, 1910: Traded by the Philadelphia Athletics with a player to be named later to the Cleveland Naps for Bris Lord. The Philadelphia Athletics sent Shoeless Joe Jackson (July 30, 1910) to the Cleveland Naps to complete the trade.

September 1, 1911: Drafted by the Chicago White Sox from Baltimore (Eastern) in the 1911 rule 5 draft.

August 23, 1913: Purchased by Kansas City (American Association) from the Chicago White Sox.

September 20, 1917: Drafted by the Cincinnati Reds from Salt Lake City (PCL) in the 1917 rule 5 draft.

Steve O’Neill

August 20, 1911: Purchased by the Cleveland Naps from the Philadelphia Athletics.

Stan Coveleski

December, 1912: Purchased by Spokane (Northwestern) from the Philadelphia Athletics.

November 27, 1915: Sent from Portland (PCL) to the Cleveland Indians in an unknown transaction.

Bob Shawkey

June 28, 1915: Purchased by the New York Yankees from the Philadelphia Athletics for $3,000.

Herb Pennock

June 6, 1915: Selected off waivers by the Boston Red Sox from the Philadelphia Athletics.

 

Honorable Mention

The 1998 Oakland Athletics 

OWAR: 41.6     OWS: 306     OPW%: .510     (83-79)

AWAR: 28.7     AWS: 222     APW%: .457   (74-88)

WARdiff: 12.9                        WSdiff: 84.8  

Mark McGwire launched 70 four-baggers and drove in 147 runs for the “Original” 1998 Athletics. “Big Mac” placed runner-up in the MVP balloting while his protégé Jason Giambi (.295/27/110) completed his third season for the “Actuals”. Scott Brosius (.300/19/98) socked 34 two-base hits and earned his lone All-Star invitation as he outclassed Mike Blowers, who batted .237 with 11 dingers in his solitary campaign for the green-and-gold crew. Darren Lewis posted career-bests in runs scored (95) and RBI (63), a significant upgrade over “Actuals” center fielder Ryan Christenson (.257/5/40). Rickey Henderson, a member of the “Original” and “Actual” A’s roster in ’98, notched the American League stolen base title for the twelfth time in his career. “The Man of Steal” tallied 101 runs scored and a League-leading 118 bases on balls.

On Deck

What Might Have Been – The “Original” 1905 Beaneaters

References and Resources

Baseball America – Executive Database

Baseball-Reference

James, Bill. The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract. New York, NY.: The Free Press, 2001. Print.

James, Bill, with Jim Henzler. Win Shares. Morton Grove, Ill.: STATS, 2002. Print.

Retrosheet – Transactions Database

The information used here was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Interested parties may contact Retrosheet at “www.retrosheet.org”.

Seamheads – Baseball Gauge

Sean Lahman Baseball Archive


Hardball Retrospective – What Might Have Been: The “Original” 1904 Phillies

In “Hardball Retrospective: Evaluating Scouting and Development Outcomes for the Modern-Era Franchises”, I placed every ballplayer in the modern era (from 1901-present) on their original team. I calculated revised standings for every season based entirely on the performance of each team’s “original” players. I discuss every team’s “original” players and seasons at length along with organizational performance with respect to the Amateur Draft (or First-Year Player Draft), amateur free agent signings and other methods of player acquisition.  Season standings, WAR and Win Shares totals for the “original” teams are compared against the “actual” team results to assess each franchise’s scouting, development and general management skills.

Expanding on my research for the book, the following series of articles will reveal the teams with the biggest single-season difference in the WAR and Win Shares for the “Original” vs. “Actual” rosters for every Major League organization. “Hardball Retrospective” is available in digital format on Amazon, Barnes and Noble, GooglePlay, iTunes and KoboBooks. The paperback edition is available on Amazon, Barnes and Noble and CreateSpace. Supplemental Statistics, Charts and Graphs along with a discussion forum are offered at TuataraSoftware.com.

Don Daglow (Intellivision World Series Major League Baseball, Earl Weaver Baseball, Tony LaRussa Baseball) contributed the foreword for Hardball Retrospective. The foreword and preview of my book are accessible here.

Terminology

OWAR – Wins Above Replacement for players on “original” teams

OWS – Win Shares for players on “original” teams

OPW% – Pythagorean Won-Loss record for the “original” teams

AWAR – Wins Above Replacement for players on “actual” teams

AWS – Win Shares for players on “actual” teams

APW% – Pythagorean Won-Loss record for the “actual” teams

Assessment

The 1904 Philadelphia Phillies

OWAR: 45.3     OWS: 293     OPW%: .478     (74-80)

AWAR: 18.6     AWS: 156     APW%: .342   (52-100)

WARdiff: 26.7                        WSdiff: 137.7  

The “Original” 1904 Phillies outperformed the “Actual” squad by 22 victories and finished the season only three games under .500. The “Originals” showcased a 40-Win Share campaign by Nap Lajoie, who collected his fourth batting title (.376) and posted League-bests in hits (208), doubles (49), RBI (102), OBP (.413) and SLG (.546). Kid Gleason, the second-sacker on the “Actual” squad, countered with a .274 BA, no home runs and 42 RBI. Right fielder Elmer Flick tallied 31 Win Shares, pilfered a League-leading 38 bases and contributed a .306 BA with 97 aces for the “Originals” while counterpart Sherry Magee (.277/3/57) competed in his inaugural season. Sam Mertes accumulated 26 Win Shares and stole 47 bases while the fourth outfielder on the “Originals” crew, “Silent” John Titus (.294/4/55) patrolled left field for the “Actuals”. Despite ordinary results, shortstop Ed Abbaticchio (.256/3/54) outclassed Rudy Hulswitt (.244/1/36). The “Originals” well-stocked bench featured the aforementioned Titus along with George Browne, Jimmy Callahan, Kid Elberfeld, Dave Fultz and Phil Geier. Browne swiped 24 bags and topped the NL with 99 runs scored.

  Original 1904 Phillies                              Actual 1904 Phillies

STARTING LINEUP POS OWAR OWS STARTING LINEUP POS AWAR AWS
Sam Mertes LF 4.47 26.77 John Titus LF 2.04 20.62
Roy Thomas CF 5.91 26.27 Roy Thomas CF 5.91 26.27
Elmer Flick RF 6.87 30.3 Sherry Magee RF 0.98 11.65
Johnny Lush 1B -1.58 11.68 Johnny Lush 1B -1.58 11.68
Nap Lajoie 2B 9.91 40.9 Kid Gleason 2B 0.26 16.5
Ed Abbaticchio SS -1.48 18.96 Rudy Hulswitt SS -2.19 6.03
Bob Hall 3B -1.41 0.28 Harry Wolverton 3B 0.54 12.01
Mike Grady C 2.89 15.72 Red Dooin C 0.72 8
BENCH POS OWAR OWS BENCH POS AWAR AWS
John Titus LF 2.04 20.62 Frank Roth C 0.3 5.56
George Browne RF 2.21 20.52 Jack Doyle 1B -0.66 2.93
Jimmy Callahan LF 0.47 18.57 Hugh Duffy LF 0.29 2.63
Kid Elberfeld SS 1.92 17.6 Shad Barry RF -0.74 1.26
Kid Gleason 2B 0.26 16.5 Deacon Van Buren LF -0.14 0.62
Dave Fultz CF 1.44 14.67 She Donahue SS -1.48 0.46
Phil Geier CF -1.75 11.68 Bob Hall 3B -1.41 0.28
Sherry Magee RF 0.98 11.65 Klondike Douglass 1B -0.03 0.27
Red Dooin C 0.72 8 Doc Marshall C -0.15 0.17
Frank Roth C 0.3 5.56 Jesse Purnell 3B -0.11 0.08
Fred Jacklitsch 1B 0.11 1.77 Herman Long 2B -0.03 0.03
Doc Marshall C 0.01 1.72 Tom Fleming RF -0.1 0.02
Dutch Rudolph RF -0.01 0.1 Butch Rementer C -0.02 0.01
Jesse Purnell 3B -0.11 0.08
Butch Rementer C -0.02 0.01

“Strawberry” Bill Bernhard (23-13, 2.13) established personal-bests in victories and innings pitched (320.2) while completing 35 of 37 starts. Doc White registered 16 wins and fashioned a 1.78 ERA. “Smiling” Al Orth (14-10, 3.41) and Ned Garvin (5-16, 1.72) rounded out the rotation for the “Originals”. The “Actuals” starting staff consisted of Chick Fraser (14-24, 3.25), Tully Sparks (7-16, 2.65), “Fiddler” Frank Corridon (11-10, 2.64) and “Frosty” Bill Duggleby (12-13, 3.78).

  Original 1904 Phillies                                    Actual 1904 Phillies

ROTATION POS OWAR OWS ROTATION POS AWAR AWS
Bill Bernhard SP 2.61 21.66 Chick Fraser SP -0.94 7.19
Doc White SP 0.06 15.42 Tully Sparks SP -0.8 5.21
Al Orth SP 0.61 13.98 Frank Corridon SP 1.78 4.2
Ned Garvin SP 0.46 11.06 Bill Duggleby SP -2.21 3.96
BULLPEN POS OWAR OWS BULLPEN POS OWAR OWS
Tully Sparks SP -0.8 5.21 Jack Sutthoff SP -0.52 3.12
Bill Duggleby SP -2.21 3.96 Fred Mitchell SP -0.34 2.43
Happy Townsend SP -2.53 3.69 Ralph Caldwell SP -0.48 1.51
Ralph Caldwell SP -0.48 1.51 John McPherson SP -1.8 1.29
Tom Barry SP -0.4 0 Tom Barry SP -0.4 0
John Brackenridge RP -1.43 0 John Brackenridge RP -1.43 0
Davey Dunkle SP -2.11 0

 

Notable Transactions

Nap Lajoie

Before 1901 Season: Jumped from the Philadelphia Phillies to the Philadelphia Athletics.

April 21, 1902: Granted Free Agency.

May 31, 1902: Signed as a Free Agent with the Cleveland Bronchos.

 

Elmer Flick

October 19, 1901: Jumped from the Philadelphia Phillies to the Philadelphia Athletics.

April 21, 1902: Granted Free Agency.

May 16, 1902: Signed as a Free Agent with the Cleveland Bronchos.

 

Sam Mertes

July, 1898: Traded by Columbus (Western) with a player to be named to the Chicago Orphans for Buttons Briggs and Danny Friend.

Before 1901 Season: Jumped from the Chicago Orphans to the Chicago White Sox.

Before 1903 Season: Jumped from the Chicago White Sox to the New York Giants.

 

George Browne

July 21, 1902: Purchased by the New York Giants from the Philadelphia Phillies.

 

Bill Bernhard

Before 1901 Season: Jumped from the Philadelphia Phillies to the Philadelphia Athletics.

April 21, 1902: Granted Free Agency.

May 31, 1902: Signed as a Free Agent with the Cleveland Bronchos.

Honorable Mention

The 1972 Philadelphia Phillies

OWAR: 38.2     OWS: 233     OPW%: .451     (73-89)

AWAR: 28.1     AWS: 176     APW%: .378   (59-97)

WARdiff: 10.1                        WSdiff: 56.2  

Dick Allen crushed 37 round-trippers and drove in 113 baserunners while batting .308 to earn MVP honors. The “Wampum Walloper” registered 40 Win Shares for the “Original” 1972 Phillies, easily outdistancing the output of “Actuals” rookie first-sacker Tom Hutton (.260/4/38). “Actuals” ace Steve Carlton trumped all members of the “Originals” starting rotation as “Lefty” garnered the Cy Young Award with a record of 27-10 along with League-bests in ERA (1.97), complete games (30), innings pitched (346.1) and strikeouts (310). However, the “Actuals” staff boasted Fergie “Fly” Jenkins (20-12, 3.20), Rick Wise (16-16, 3.11) and Mike G. Marshall (14-8, 1.78, 18 SV).

On Deck

What Might Have Been – The “Original” 1919 Athletics

References and Resources

Baseball America – Executive Database

Baseball-Reference

James, Bill. The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract. New York, NY.: The Free Press, 2001. Print.

James, Bill, with Jim Henzler. Win Shares. Morton Grove, Ill.: STATS, 2002. Print.

Retrosheet – Transactions Database

The information used here was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Interested parties may contact Retrosheet at “www.retrosheet.org”.

Seamheads – Baseball Gauge

Sean Lahman Baseball Archive


Hardball Retrospective – The “Original” 1905 New York Giants

In “Hardball Retrospective: Evaluating Scouting and Development Outcomes for the Modern-Era Franchises”, I placed every ballplayer in the modern era (from 1901-present) on their original team. Accordingly, Vada Pinson is listed on the Reds roster for the duration of his career while the Red Sox declare Amos Otis and the Rockies claim Chone Figgins. I calculated revised standings for every season based entirely on the performance of each team’s “original” players. I discuss every team’s “original” players and seasons at length along with organizational performance with respect to the Amateur Draft (or First-Year Player Draft), amateur free agent signings and other methods of player acquisition.  Season standings, WAR and Win Shares totals for the “original” teams are compared against the “actual” team results to assess each franchise’s scouting, development and general management skills.

Expanding on my research for the book, the following series of articles will reveal the finest single-season rosters for every Major League organization based on overall rankings in OWAR and OWS along with the general managers and scouting directors that constructed the teams. “Hardball Retrospective” is available in digital format on Amazon, Barnes and Noble, GooglePlay, iTunes and KoboBooks. The paperback edition is available on Amazon, Barnes and Noble and CreateSpace. Supplemental Statistics, Charts and Graphs along with a discussion forum are offered at TuataraSoftware.com.

Don Daglow (Intellivision World Series Major League Baseball, Earl Weaver Baseball, Tony LaRussa Baseball) contributed the foreword for Hardball Retrospective. The foreword and preview of my book are accessible here.

Terminology

OWAR – Wins Above Replacement for players on “original” teams

OWS – Win Shares for players on “original” teams

OPW% – Pythagorean Won-Loss record for the “original” teams

Assessment

The 1905 New York Giants          OWAR: 69.9     OWS: 348     OPW%: .634

Based on the revised standings the “Original” 1905 Giants edged the Phillies, seizing the pennant by three games. New York led the National League in OWS and posted the highest all-time OWAR.

Cy Seymour’s tremendous offensive outburst transformed the Giants’ attack. Seymour paced the circuit in seven major categories including batting average (.377), hits (219), doubles (40), triples (21), RBI (121), SLG (.559) and total bases (325). A .303 lifetime batter, Seymour never led the League in any categories during his other 15 MLB seasons. Harry H. Davis (.285/8/83) topped the home run charts in four consecutive campaigns. Danny F. Murphy ripped 34 two-base knocks and swiped 23 bags. Art Devlin pilfered a League-high 59 bases in his sophomore season. “Wee” Willie Keeler contributed 42 sacrifice hits along with a .302 BA – the twelfth of thirteen straight seasons with a batting average above the .300 mark. Keeler posted a career BA of .341 and collected at least 200 base knocks per year from 1894-1901.

Christy Mathewson leads the All-Time Second Basemen rankings according to Bill James in “The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract.” Teammates listed in the “NBJHBA” top 100 rankings include Seymour (30th-CF), Keeler (35th-RF), Murphy (51st-2B), Devlin (58th-3B) and Davis (60th-1B).

LINEUP POS WAR WS
Willie Keeler RF 2.22 19.56
Danny F. Murphy 2B 4.04 25.62
Cy Seymour CF 10.32 40.54
Harry H. Davis 1B 4.1 26.45
Art Devlin 3B 3.74 21.67
Dave Zearfoss C -0.35 0.5
Charlie Babb SS -1.07 3.32
Ike Van Zandt LF/RF -1.73 3.69
BENCH POS WAR WS
Moonlight Graham RF -0.01 0
Offa Neal 3B -0.17 0.15

Christy Mathewson (31-9, 1.28) dominated opposition batsmen as he topped the charts in victories, ERA, shutouts (8), strikeouts (206) and WHIP (0.933). Excluding 1902, “Big Six” tallied at least 20 wins per season from 1901-1914. The Hall of Fame hurler registered a lifetime won-loss record of 373-188 with an ERA of 2.13. Red Ames whiffed 198 batters and furnished a 22-8 mark with a 2.74 ERA. Dummy Taylor fashioned a 2.66 ERA and compiled 16 victories. Hooks Wiltse contributed a 15-6 mark with 2.47 ERA in 32 games (19 starts).

ROTATION POS WAR WS
Christy Mathewson SP 10.56 39.05
Hooks Wiltse SP 3.56 18.38
Dummy Taylor SP 2.04 14.76
Red Ames SP 1.75 17.71
BULLPEN POS WAR WS
Red Donahue SP -1.32 4.41

 

The “Original” 1905 New York Giants roster

NAME POS WAR WS General Manager Scouting Director
Christy Mathewson SP 10.56 39.05 John Brush
Cy Seymour CF 10.32 40.54 John Brush
Harry Davis 1B 4.1 26.45 John Brush
Danny Murphy 2B 4.04 25.62 John Brush
Art Devlin 3B 3.74 21.67 John Brush
Hooks Wiltse SP 3.56 18.38 John Brush
Willie Keeler RF 2.22 19.56 John Brush
Dummy Taylor SP 2.04 14.76 John Brush
Red Ames SP 1.75 17.71 John Brush
Moonlight Graham RF -0.01 0 John Brush
Offa Neal 3B -0.17 0.15 John Brush
Dave Zearfoss C -0.35 0.5 John Brush
Charlie Babb SS -1.07 3.32 John Brush
Red Donahue SP -1.32 4.41 John Brush
Ike Van Zandt RF -1.73 3.69 John Brush

Honorable Mention

The “Original” 1962 Giants    OWAR: 52.6     OWS: 355     OPW%: .589

The Giants engaged in fierce late-season combat with the Braves and the Reds. “The Say Hey Kid” and his San Francisco teammates emerged with a hard-fought victory. Willie Mays (.304/49/141) supplied career-bests in runs (130) and RBI yet finished runner-up in the 1962 NL MVP balloting. The twelve-time Gold Glove Award winner retired in 1973 with 660 home runs, 2062 runs scored and 3283 base hits. Orlando “Baby Bull” Cepeda mashed 35 long balls, amassed 114 ribbies and registered 105 tallies. Felipe Alou (.316/25/98) and Leon “Daddy Wags” Wagner (.260/37/107) merited their first All-Star invitations. Seven-time Gold Glove Award winner Bill D. White swatted 20 big-flies, drove in 102 baserunners and produced a career-best .324 BA. Eddie Bressoud drilled 40 doubles while third-sacker Jim Davenport (.297/14/58) earned an All-Star nod along with the Gold Glove Award. Juan Marichal began a string of 8 consecutive All-Star appearances in ’62. The “Dominican Dandy” amassed 18 victories, completed 18 of 36 starts and compiled a 3.36 ERA.

On Deck

What Might Have Been – The “Original” 1904 Phillies

References and Resources

Baseball America – Executive Database

Baseball-Reference

James, Bill. The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract. New York, NY.: The Free Press, 2001. Print.

James, Bill, with Jim Henzler. Win Shares. Morton Grove, Ill.: STATS, 2002. Print.

Retrosheet – Transactions Database

Seamheads – Baseball Gauge

Sean Lahman Baseball Archive


Hardball Retrospective – The “Original” 1980 Houston Astros

In “Hardball Retrospective: Evaluating Scouting and Development Outcomes for the Modern-Era Franchises”, I placed every ballplayer in the modern era (from 1901-present) on their original team. Consequently, Joe Cronin is listed on the Pirates roster for the duration of his career while the Senators II / Rangers declare Bill Madlock and the Rays claim Aubrey Huff. I calculated revised standings for every season based entirely on the performance of each team’s “original” players. I discuss every team’s “original” players and seasons at length along with organizational performance with respect to the Amateur Draft (or First-Year Player Draft), amateur free agent signings and other methods of player acquisition.  Season standings, WAR and Win Shares totals for the “original” teams are compared against the “actual” team results to assess each franchise’s scouting, development and general management skills.

Expanding on my research for the book, the following series of articles will reveal the finest single-season rosters for every Major League organization based on overall rankings in OWAR and OWS along with the general managers and scouting directors that constructed the teams. “Hardball Retrospective” is available in digital format on Amazon, Barnes and Noble, GooglePlay, iTunes and KoboBooks. The paperback edition is available on Amazon, Barnes and Noble and CreateSpace. Supplemental Statistics, Charts and Graphs along with a discussion forum are offered at TuataraSoftware.com.

Don Daglow (Intellivision World Series Major League Baseball, Earl Weaver Baseball, Tony LaRussa Baseball) contributed the foreword for Hardball Retrospective. The foreword and preview of my book are accessible here.

Terminology

OWAR – Wins Above Replacement for players on “original” teams

OWS – Win Shares for players on “original” teams

OPW% – Pythagorean Won-Loss record for the “original” teams

Assessment

The 1980 Houston Astros          OWAR: 63.9     OWS: 352     OPW%: .598

GM Spec Richardson acquired 53% (16/30) of the ballplayers on the 1980 Astros roster. Based on the revised standings the “Original” 1980 Astros rocketed to the pennant by an eighteen-game margin. Houston topped the National League in OWS and OWAR.

Cesar Cedeno supplied a .308 BA, rapped 32 doubles and stole 48 bases to spark the ‘Stros offense. Terry Puhl belted a career-high 13 circuit clouts and contributed 27 steals. Mike Easler finally broke into the lineup after five seasons as a bench player. The “Hit Man” responded with a .338 BA, 21 jacks and a .583 SLG. Joe L. Morgan pilfered 24 bags and topped the League with 93 bases on balls. John Mayberry slammed 30 round-trippers and plated 82 baserunners. Bob Watson contributed a .307 BA with 25 two-base knocks. Rusty Staub delivered a .300 BA with 23 doubles in a platoon role.

Joe L. Morgan leads the All-Time Second Basemen rankings according to Bill James in “The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract.” Teammates listed in the “NBJHBA” top 100 rankings include Cedeno (21st-CF), Staub (24th-RF), Watson (33rd-1B), Mayberry (49th-1B) and Puhl (86th-RF).

LINEUP POS WAR WS
Joe L. Morgan 2B 1.91 21.43
Terry Puhl RF 3.35 23.02
Cesar Cedeno CF 3.91 26.47
Mike Easler LF 3.49 21.51
Bob Watson 1B 2.62 16.86
Derrel Thomas SS 0.32 8.8
Stan Papi 3B 0.07 2.41
Bruce Bochy C 0.04 0.4
BENCH POS WAR WS
Rusty Staub DH 1.13 10.1
John Mayberry 1B 0.79 16.26
Danny Heep 1B 0.04 2.64
Danny Walton DH 0.01 0.14
Scott Loucks RF 0.01 0.07
Alan Knicely -0.01 0
Cliff Johnson DH -0.07 7.19
Greg Gross LF -0.07 3.27
Fred Stanley SS -0.25 1.01
Glenn Adams DH -0.58 4.11
Joe Cannon LF -0.7 0.35
Luis Pujols C -1.83 1.97

J.R. Richard was selected to the National League All-Star team in 1980 with a 10-4 record and a 1.90 ERA following successive seasons with 300+ strikeouts and an ERA title in 1979. Less than a month later, the Astros ace suffered a stroke prior to a ball game. Despite a valiant comeback attempt, Richard never appeared in another Major League game.

Floyd Bannister (9-13, 3.47) and Ken Forsch (12-13, 3.20) provided quality innings in the starting rotation. The relief staff featured southpaws Tom Burgmeier and Joe Sambito along with right-handers Dave S. Smith and Tom Griffin. Burgmeier fashioned a 2.00 ERA with a 1.081 WHIP and saved 24 contests while making his lone All-Star appearance. Sambito delivered a record of 8-4 with 17 saves, a 2.19 ERA and a WHIP of 0.963. Smith (1.93, 10 SV) contributed 7 victories and placed fifth in the 1980 NL ROY balloting. Griffin furnished a 2.76 ERA and a 1.198 ERA, primarily in long relief.

ROTATION POS WAR WS
Floyd Bannister SP 3.87 14.75
J. R. Richard SP 3.3 11.59
Ken Forsch SP 3.14 12.58
Gordie Pladson SP -0.27 0.18
BULLPEN POS WAR WS
Tom Burgmeier RP 2.94 17.55
Dave S. Smith RP 2.45 12.89
Tom Griffin RP 1.69 8.58
Joe Sambito RP 1.49 14.49
Bert Roberge RP -0.68 0
Mike T. Stanton RP -1.21 1.71

The “Original” 1980 Houston Astros roster

NAME POS WAR WS General Manager Scouting Director
Cesar Cedeno CF 3.91 26.47 Spec Richardson
Floyd Bannister SP 3.87 14.75 Tal Smith
Mike Easler LF 3.49 21.51 Spec Richardson
Terry Puhl RF 3.35 23.02 Spec Richardson Lynwood Stallings
J. R. Richard SP 3.3 11.59 Spec Richardson
Ken Forsch SP 3.14 12.58 Spec Richardson
Tom Burgmeier RP 2.94 17.55 Paul Richards
Bob Watson 1B 2.62 16.86 Paul Richards
Dave Smith RP 2.45 12.89 Tal Smith
Joe Morgan 2B 1.91 21.43 Paul Richards
Tom Griffin RP 1.69 8.58 Tal Smith
Joe Sambito RP 1.49 14.49 Spec Richardson Lynwood Stallings
Rusty Staub DH 1.13 10.1 Paul Richards
John Mayberry 1B 0.79 16.26 Tal Smith
Derrel Thomas SS 0.32 8.8 Spec Richardson
Stan Papi 3B 0.07 2.41 Spec Richardson
Bruce Bochy C 0.04 0.4 Spec Richardson John Mullen
Danny Heep 1B 0.04 2.64 Tal Smith
Danny Walton DH 0.01 0.14 Paul Richards
Scott Loucks RF 0.01 0.07 Tal Smith
Alan Knicely -0.01 0 Spec Richardson Pat Gillick
Cliff Johnson DH -0.07 7.19 Tal Smith
Greg Gross LF -0.07 3.27 Spec Richardson
Fred Stanley SS -0.25 1.01 Tal Smith
Gordie Pladson SP -0.27 0.18 Spec Richardson Lynwood Stallings
Glenn Adams DH -0.58 4.11 Spec Richardson
Bert Roberge RP -0.68 0 Tal Smith
Joe Cannon LF -0.7 0.35 Spec Richardson Pat Gillick
Mike T. Stanton RP -1.21 1.71 Spec Richardson Lynwood Stallings
Luis Pujols C -1.83 1.97 Spec Richardson Lynwood Stallings

Honorable Mention

The “Original” 1973 Astros    OWAR: 54.8     OWS: 328     OPW%: .567

Houston topped the circuit in OWAR and squeezed past Cincinnati and Los Angeles to capture the National League title in 1973. Joe L. Morgan (.290/26/82) coaxed 111 bases on balls, registered 116 tallies and pilfered 67 bases. “Little Joe” placed fourth in the NL MVP race and earned his first Gold Glove Award. John Mayberry (.278/26/100) paced the circuit with 122 walks and a .417 OBP while Bob “Bull” Watson produced a .312 BA with 94 ribbies. Mayberry and Watson joined the All-Star ranks for the first time. Cesar Cedeno (.320/25/70) laced 35 doubles and swiped 56 bags in the midst of collecting five consecutive Gold Glove Awards (1972-76). Fellow five-time Gold Glove winner Doug “The Red Rooster” Rader launched 21 moon shots and knocked in 89 runs. Rusty Staub aka “Le Grand Orange” clubbed 36 two-baggers. Wayne Twitchell (13-9, 2.50) received an invitation to the Mid-Summer Classic and fellow hurler Don Wilson notched 11 victories with a 3.20 ERA and a 1.166 WHIP.

On Deck

The “Original” 1905 Giants

References and Resources

Baseball America – Executive Database

Baseball-Reference

James, Bill. The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract. New York, NY.: The Free Press, 2001. Print.

James, Bill, with Jim Henzler. Win Shares. Morton Grove, Ill.: STATS, 2002. Print.

Retrosheet – Transactions Database

Seamheads – Baseball Gauge

Sean Lahman Baseball Archive


Hardball Retrospective – The “Original” 1906 Chicago Cubs

In “Hardball Retrospective: Evaluating Scouting and Development Outcomes for the Modern-Era Franchises”, I placed every ballplayer in the modern era (from 1901-present) on their original team. Consequently, Greg Luzinski is listed on the Phillies roster for the duration of his career while the Browns / Orioles declare Steve Finley and the Padres claim Derrek Lee. I calculated revised standings for every season based entirely on the performance of each team’s “original” players. I discuss every team’s “original” players and seasons at length along with organizational performance with respect to the Amateur Draft (or First-Year Player Draft), amateur free agent signings and other methods of player acquisition.  Season standings, WAR and Win Shares totals for the “original” teams are compared against the “actual” team results to assess each franchise’s scouting, development and general management skills.

Expanding on my research for the book, the following series of articles will reveal the finest single-season rosters for every Major League organization based on overall rankings in OWAR and OWS along with the general managers and scouting directors that constructed the teams. “Hardball Retrospective” is available in digital format on Amazon, Barnes and Noble, GooglePlay, iTunes and KoboBooks. The paperback edition is available on Amazon, Barnes and Noble and CreateSpace. Supplemental Statistics, Charts and Graphs along with a discussion forum are offered at TuataraSoftware.com.

Don Daglow (Intellivision World Series Major League Baseball, Earl Weaver Baseball, Tony LaRussa Baseball) contributed the foreword for Hardball Retrospective. The foreword and preview of my book are accessible here.

Terminology

OWAR – Wins Above Replacement for players on “original” teams

OWS – Win Shares for players on “original” teams

OPW% – Pythagorean Won-Loss record for the “original” teams

Assessment

The 1906 Chicago Cubs          OWAR: 58.8     OWS: 362     OPW%: .518

Based on the revised standings the “Original” 1906 Cubs finished fourth in a tight battle with the Giants, Cardinals and Pirates. Chicago topped the National League in OWS and OWAR.

Frank “The Peerless Leader” Chance supplied a .319 BA and led the circuit with 103 aces and 57 thefts. Frank “Wildfire” Schulte pilfered 25 bags and slashed a League-best 13 triples. Johnny Kling manufactured a .312 BA while the famous keystone combination of Johnny Evers and Joe Tinker collectively swiped 79 bases.

Hugh Duffy ranks twentieth in the All-Time Center Fielder rankings according to Bill James in “The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract.” Teammates listed in the “NBJHBA” top 100 rankings include Bill Dahlen (21st-SS), Chance (25th-1B), Evers (25th-2B), Tinker (33rd-SS), Bill Bradley (46th-3B), Kling (48th-C), Schulte (60th-RF) and Jim Delahanty (81st-2B).

LINEUP POS WAR WS
Joe Tinker SS 5.01 17.55
Johnny Evers 2B 4.95 19.46
Frank Chance 1B 7.36 33.26
Frank Schulte RF 3.33 23.94
Johnny Kling C 3.3 20.78
Jim Delahanty 3B 2.21 13.98
Bunk Congalton LF/RF 1.79 15.25
Davy Jones CF 0.69 12.35
BENCH POS WAR WS
Bill Dahlen SS 2.92 17.54
Larry Schlafly 2B 2.91 18.99
Frank Isbell 2B 2.19 25.91
Bill Bradley 3B 1.65 11.16
Tommy Raub C 0.66 2.84
George Moriarty 3B 0.14 5.97
Hugh Duffy -0.01 0
Tom Walsh C -0.01 0.01
Bill Phyle 3B -0.27 0.76
Germany Schaefer 2B -0.3 11.86
Malachi Kittridge C -0.55 0.58

Bob “Dusty” Rhoads (22-10, 1.80) delivered personal-bests in every major pitching category. Jack W. Taylor (20-12, 1.99) and “Tornado” Jake Weimer (20-12, 2.22) also surpassed the 20-win mark for the Cubbies. “Big” Ed Reulbach (19-4, 1.65) paced the Senior Circuit with a .826 winning percentage. Carl Lundgren added 17 victories and fashioned a 2.21 ERA.

ROTATION POS WAR WS
Jake Weimer SP 5.46 24.75
Bob Rhoads SP 4.77 23.12
Jack W. Taylor SP 4.67 25.42
Ed Reulbach SP 3.38 23.77
BULLPEN POS WAR WS
Carl Lundgren SP 2.07 18
Fred Glade SP 1.75 16.78
Fred Beebe SP 0.81 13.02
Big Jeff Pfeffer SP 0.67 16.13
Jack Doscher SP 0.35 1.11
Hub Knolls RP -0.16 0.38
Tom J. Hughes SP -1.84 3.32
Mal Eason SP -1.85 7.47

The “Original” 1906 Chicago Cubs roster

NAME POS WAR WS General Manager Scouting Director
Frank Chance 1B 7.36 33.26
Jake Weimer SP 5.46 24.75
Joe Tinker SS 5.01 17.55
Johnny Evers 2B 4.95 19.46
Bob Rhoads SP 4.77 23.12
Jack Taylor SP 4.67 25.42
Ed Reulbach SP 3.38 23.77
Frank Schulte RF 3.33 23.94
Johnny Kling C 3.3 20.78
Bill Dahlen SS 2.92 17.54
Larry Schlafly 2B 2.91 18.99
Jim Delahanty 3B 2.21 13.98
Frank Isbell 2B 2.19 25.91
Carl Lundgren SP 2.07 18
Bunk Congalton RF 1.79 15.25
Fred Glade SP 1.75 16.78
Bill Bradley 3B 1.65 11.16
Fred Beebe SP 0.81 13.02
Davy Jones CF 0.69 12.35
Big Jeff Pfeffer SP 0.67 16.13
Tommy Raub C 0.66 2.84
Jack Doscher SP 0.35 1.11
George Moriarty 3B 0.14 5.97
Hugh Duffy -0.01 0
Tom Walsh C -0.01 0.01
Hub Knolls RP -0.16 0.38
Bill Phyle 3B -0.27 0.76
Germany Schaefer 2B -0.3 11.86
Malachi Kittridge C -0.55 0.58
Tom Hughes SP -1.84 3.32
Mal Eason SP -1.85 7.47

Honorable Mention

The “Original” 1945 Cubs      OWAR: 50.4     OWS: 307     OPW%: .654

The Cubs (101-53) eclipsed the century mark in victories to secure the pennant and amassed a comfortable lead in OWAR and OWS. Phil Cavarretta (.355/6/97) merited 1945 National League MVP honors while topping the circuit in batting average and OBP (.449). “Smiling” Stan Hack scored 110 runs and supplied career-bests with a .323 BA and 99 bases on balls. Augie Galan (.307/9/92) coaxed 114 walks and registered 114 tallies. “Handy” Andy Pafko (.298/12/110) established personal-bests in RBI and triples (12). Hank Wyse (22-10, 2.68) completed 23 of 34 starts and Harry “The Cat” Brecheen (15-4, 2.52) contributed a league-best .789 winning percentage.

On Deck

The “Original” 1980 Astros

References and Resources

Baseball America – Executive Database

Baseball-Reference

James, Bill. The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract. New York, NY.: The Free Press, 2001. Print.

James, Bill, with Jim Henzler. Win Shares. Morton Grove, Ill.: STATS, 2002. Print.

Retrosheet – Transactions Database

Seamheads – Baseball Gauge

Sean Lahman Baseball Archive


Hardball Retrospective – The “Original” 1939 New York Yankees

In “Hardball Retrospective: Evaluating Scouting and Development Outcomes for the Modern-Era Franchises”, I placed every ballplayer in the modern era (from 1901-present) on their original team. Consequently, Giancarlo Stanton is listed on the Marlins roster for the duration of his career while the Mets declare Ken Singleton and the Expos / Nationals claim Tim Raines. I calculated revised standings for every season based entirely on the performance of each team’s “original” players. I discuss every team’s “original” players and seasons at length along with organizational performance with respect to the Amateur Draft (or First-Year Player Draft), amateur free agent signings and other methods of player acquisition.  Season standings, WAR and Win Shares totals for the “original” teams are compared against the “actual” team results to assess each franchise’s scouting, development and general management skills.

Expanding on my research for the book, the following series of articles will reveal the finest single-season rosters for every Major League organization based on overall rankings in OWAR and OWS along with the general managers and scouting directors that constructed the teams. “Hardball Retrospective” is available in digital format on Amazon, Barnes and Noble, GooglePlay, iTunes and KoboBooks. The paperback edition is available on Amazon, Barnes and Noble and CreateSpace. Supplemental Statistics, Charts and Graphs along with a discussion forum are offered at TuataraSoftware.com.

Don Daglow (Intellivision World Series Major League Baseball, Earl Weaver Baseball, Tony LaRussa Baseball) contributed the foreword for Hardball Retrospective. The foreword and preview of my book are accessible here.

Terminology

OWAR – Wins Above Replacement for players on “original” teams

OWS – Win Shares for players on “original” teams

OPW% – Pythagorean Won-Loss record for the “original” teams

Assessment

The 1939 New York Yankees          OWAR: 60.8     OWS: 345     OPW%: .607

Based on the revised standings the “Original” 1939 Yankees registered 94 victories and outlasted the Indians to secure the pennant by a 7-game margin. New York paced the American League in OWS and OWAR. GM Ed Barrow acquired all of the ballplayers on the 1939 Yankees roster.

“Joltin’” Joe DiMaggio claimed his first batting title and the 1939 American League MVP Award. “The Yankee Clipper” produced a .381 BA with 30 four-baggers, 126 ribbies and 108 runs scored. Red Rolfe (.329/14/80) topped the leader boards with 213 safeties, 139 aces and 46 two-base knocks. Fellow third-sacker Billy Werber registered 115 runs scored and drilled 35 doubles. Bill Dickey belted 24 round-trippers and tallied 105 RBI along with a .302 BA. George “Twinkletoes” Selkirk (.306/21/101) posted career-bests in homers, runs scored (103) and bases on balls (103). Joe Gordon smashed 28 long balls and drove in 111 baserunners during his sophomore season. Charlie “King Kong” Keller supplied a .334 BA in his inaugural campaign.

Lou Gehrig is listed as the top ballplayer in the All-Time First Baseman rankings according to Bill James in “The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract.” Teammates listed in the “NBJHBA” top 100 rankings include DiMaggio (5th-CF), Dickey (7th-C), Gordon (16th-2B), Keller (17th-LF), Tony Lazzeri (19th-2B), Dixie Walker (30th-RF), Rolfe (44th-3B), Ben Chapman (55th-CF), Frankie Crosetti (67th-SS), Lefty Gomez (67th-P), Werber (78th-3B) and Lyn Lary (80th-SS).

LINEUP POS WAR WS
Red Rolfe 3B 6.59 29.64
Joe Gordon 2B 7.1 24.83
Joe DiMaggio CF 8.71 34.04
Bill Dickey C 5.82 27.2
George Selkirk LF 5.58 25.02
Charlie Keller RF 5.49 21.47
George McQuinn 1B 3.11 18.15
Frankie Crosetti SS 1.58 16.52
BENCH POS WAR WS
Billy Werber 3B 5.15 25.15
Pinky May 3B 2.51 12.54
Buddy Hassett 1B 1.91 13.83
Ben Chapman CF 1.23 18.88
Willard Hershberger C 1.09 6.93
Dixie Walker LF 0.99 10.84
Tony Lazzeri 2B 0.7 3.94
Joe Glenn C 0.6 5.05
Buddy Rosar C 0.35 3.4
Ernie Koy LF 0.31 13.53
Les Powers 1B 0.09 1.67
Arndt Jorgens C 0.01 0.02
Chris Hartje C 0 0.23
Joe Gallagher RF -0.01 5.64
Len Gabrielson 1B -0.06 0.07
Lyn Lary SS -0.08 2.55
Leo Durocher SS -0.29 10.99
Lou Gehrig 1B -0.4 0.08
Don Heffner SS -0.77 4.2
Myril Hoag RF -1.23 6.73

Lefty Gomez (12-8, 3.41) earned his seventh All-Star nomination. Atley Donald furnished a 13-3 mark with a 3.71 ERA. Marius Russo contributed an 8-3 record with a 2.41 ERA and a 1.095 WHIP in his freshman year.

ROTATION POS WAR WS
Lefty Gomez SP 3.34 14.06
Marius Russo SP 3.16 11.54
Johnny Allen SP 1.69 9.48
Atley Donald SP 1.54 10.46
BULLPEN POS WAR WS
Vito Tamulis SP 1.21 8.9
Hank Johnson RP 0.48 2.88
Spud Chandler RP 0.32 2.32
Jim Tobin SP 0.26 6.64
Marv Breuer RP -0.06 0
Johnny Murphy RP -0.07 6.51
Russ Van Atta SP -0.4 0
Johnny Niggeling SP -0.8 0.1
Johnny Broaca RP -1.07 1.26

 

The “Original” 1939 New York Yankees roster

NAME POS WAR WS General Manager Scouting Director
Joe DiMaggio CF 8.71 34.04 Ed Barrow
Joe Gordon 2B 7.1 24.83 Ed Barrow
Red Rolfe 3B 6.59 29.64 Ed Barrow
Bill Dickey C 5.82 27.2 Ed Barrow
George Selkirk LF 5.58 25.02 Ed Barrow
Charlie Keller RF 5.49 21.47 Ed Barrow
Billy Werber 3B 5.15 25.15 Ed Barrow
Lefty Gomez SP 3.34 14.06 Ed Barrow
Marius Russo SP 3.16 11.54 Ed Barrow
George McQuinn 1B 3.11 18.15 Ed Barrow
Pinky May 3B 2.51 12.54 Ed Barrow
Buddy Hassett 1B 1.91 13.83 Ed Barrow
Johnny Allen SP 1.69 9.48 Ed Barrow
Frankie Crosetti SS 1.58 16.52 Ed Barrow
Atley Donald SP 1.54 10.46 Ed Barrow
Ben Chapman CF 1.23 18.88 Ed Barrow
Vito Tamulis SP 1.21 8.9 Ed Barrow
Willard Hershberger C 1.09 6.93 Ed Barrow
Dixie Walker LF 0.99 10.84 Ed Barrow
Tony Lazzeri 2B 0.7 3.94 Ed Barrow
Joe Glenn C 0.6 5.05 Ed Barrow
Hank Johnson RP 0.48 2.88 Ed Barrow
Buddy Rosar C 0.35 3.4 Ed Barrow
Spud Chandler RP 0.32 2.32 Ed Barrow
Ernie Koy LF 0.31 13.53 Ed Barrow
Jim Tobin SP 0.26 6.64 Ed Barrow
Les Powers 1B 0.09 1.67 Ed Barrow
Arndt Jorgens C 0.01 0.02 Ed Barrow
Chris Hartje C 0 0.23 Ed Barrow
Joe Gallagher RF -0.01 5.64 Ed Barrow
Len Gabrielson 1B -0.06 0.07 Ed Barrow
Marv Breuer RP -0.06 0 Ed Barrow
Johnny Murphy RP -0.07 6.51 Ed Barrow
Lyn Lary SS -0.08 2.55 Ed Barrow
Leo Durocher SS -0.29 10.99 Ed Barrow
Lou Gehrig 1B -0.4 0.08 Ed Barrow
Russ Van Atta SP -0.4 0 Ed Barrow
Don Heffner SS -0.77 4.2 Ed Barrow
Johnny Niggeling SP -0.8 0.1 Ed Barrow
Johnny Broaca RP -1.07 1.26 Ed Barrow
Myril Hoag RF -1.23 6.73 Ed Barrow

 

Honorable Mention

The “Original” 1932 Yankees            OWAR: 52.6     OWS: 336     OPW%: .588

The Philadelphia Athletics ended the season in a virtual tie with the Bronx Bombers. The A’s edged the Yankees by a few percentage points to take the pennant while New York led the Junior Circuit in OWAR and OWS. Lou Gehrig pummeled opposition hurlers, belting 42 doubles and 34 round-trippers. “The Iron Horse” registered 138 tallies, 208 base knocks and 151 ribbies along with a .349 BA. Lefty O’Doul (.368/21/90) collected his second batting title and topped the 200-hit mark for the third time in four campaigns. Tony “Poosh ‘Em Up” Lazzeri supplied a .300 BA with 15 dingers and 113 RBI. Earle Combs aka “The Kentucky Colonel” scored 143 runs and posted a .321 BA as the Yankees’ primary leadoff hitter. Ben Chapman rapped 41 doubles, swiped a League-leading 38 bases and topped the century mark in runs scored (101) and RBI (107).  Bill Dickey (.310/15/84) and Kiddo Davis (.309/5/57) bolstered the prolific lineup. Lefty Gomez (24-7, 4.21) anchored the starting rotation and finished fifth in the 1932 A.L. MVP balloting in spite of his high ERA and walk totals. Johnny Allen fashioned a 17-4 record with a 3.70 ERA in his rookie year.

On Deck

The “Original” 1906 Cubs

References and Resources

Baseball America – Executive Database

Baseball-Reference

James, Bill. The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract. New York, NY.: The Free Press, 2001. Print.

James, Bill, with Jim Henzler. Win Shares. Morton Grove, Ill.: STATS, 2002. Print.

Retrosheet – Transactions Database

Seamheads – Baseball Gauge

Sean Lahman Baseball Archive


Hardball Retrospective – The “Original” 1969 Cincinnati Reds

In “Hardball Retrospective: Evaluating Scouting and Development Outcomes for the Modern-Era Franchises”, I placed every ballplayer in the modern era (from 1901-present) on their original team. Consequently, Frankie Frisch is listed on the Giants roster for the duration of his career while the Indians declare Rocky Colavito and the Mariners claim David Ortiz. I calculated revised standings for every season based entirely on the performance of each team’s “original” players. I discuss every team’s “original” players and seasons at length along with organizational performance with respect to the Amateur Draft (or First-Year Player Draft), amateur free agent signings and other methods of player acquisition.  Season standings, WAR and Win Shares totals for the “original” teams are compared against the “actual” team results to assess each franchise’s scouting, development and general management skills.

Expanding on my research for the book, the following series of articles will reveal the finest single-season rosters for every Major League organization based on overall rankings in OWAR and OWS along with the general managers and scouting directors that constructed the teams. “Hardball Retrospective” is available in digital format on Amazon, Barnes and Noble, GooglePlay, iTunes and KoboBooks. The paperback edition is available on Amazon, Barnes and Noble and CreateSpace. Supplemental Statistics, Charts and Graphs along with a discussion forum are offered at TuataraSoftware.com.

Don Daglow (Intellivision World Series Major League Baseball, Earl Weaver Baseball, Tony LaRussa Baseball) contributed the foreword for Hardball Retrospective. The foreword and preview of my book are accessible here.

Terminology

OWAR – Wins Above Replacement for players on “original” teams

OWS – Win Shares for players on “original” teams

OPW% – Pythagorean Won-Loss record for the “original” teams

Assessment

The 1969 Cincinnati Reds          OWAR: 58.1     OWS: 362     OPW%: .619

Based on the revised standings the “Original” 1969 Reds recorded 100 victories and claimed the National League Western Division by 14 games over the Giants. Cincinnati topped the circuit in OWS and OWAR. GM Gabe Paul acquired 27 of the 40 ballplayers (68%) on the 1969 Reds roster.

Pete Rose (.348/16/82) notched his second straight batting title and paced the League with 120 runs scored. “Charlie Hustle” rapped 218 base knocks including 33 doubles and 11 triples while establishing personal-bests in OBP (.428) and SLG (.512). Jim Wynn aka the “Toy Cannon” unleashed 33 bombs, nabbed 23 bags, tallied 113 runs and topped the circuit with 148 bases on balls. Frank “The Judge” Robinson (.308/32/100) registered 111 aces and finished third in the MVP balloting. Third-sacker Tony “Big Dog” Perez belted 37 round-trippers, knocked in 122 runs and merited his third consecutive All-Star invite. “The Little General” Johnny Bench swatted 26 big-flies and drove in 90 runs during his sophomore season. Lee “Big Bopper” May crushed 38 moon-shots and plated 110 baserunners to earn his first appearance in the Mid-Summer Classic.

Johnny Bench places runner-up to Yogi Berra in the All-Time Catcher rankings according to Bill James in “The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract.” Teammates listed in the “NBJHBA” top 100 rankings include Robinson (3rd-RF), Rose (5th-RF), Wynn (10th-CF), Perez (13th-1B), Vada Pinson (18th-CF), Curt Flood (36th-CF), May (47th-1B), Leo Cardenas (50th-SS), Johnny Edwards (53rd-C), Tommy Harper (56th-LF), Cookie Rojas (69th-2B), Cesar Tovar (79th-CF), Tony Gonzalez (82nd-CF) and Tommy Helms (99th-2B).

LINEUP POS WAR WS
Pete Rose LF/RF 4.83 36.77
Cesar Tovar 2B/CF 3.37 20.31
Jim Wynn CF 7.36 36.09
Frank Robinson RF 5.31 31.84
Tony Perez 3B 5.77 30.41
Johnny Bench C 5.69 29.93
Lee May 1B 3.31 25.11
Leo Cardenas SS 2.81 23.74
BENCH POS WAR WS
Art Shamsky RF 2.61 16.22
Curt Flood CF 2.14 19.71
Johnny Edwards C 1.94 14.95
Tony Gonzalez LF 1.89 17.19
Tommy Harper 3B 1.78 16.64
Brant Alyea LF 0.62 6.52
Joe Azcue C 0.61 6.49
Don Pavletich C 0.5 4.96
Vada Pinson RF 0.11 10.97
Chico Ruiz 2B 0.03 2.68
Clyde Mashore -0.01 0
Bernie Carbo -0.04 0
Vic Davalillo RF -0.21 2.26
Fred Kendall C -0.26 0.31
Gus Gil 3B -0.64 1.8
Cookie Rojas 2B -0.66 2.56
Len Boehmer 1B -0.91 0.58
Tommy Helms 2B -0.93 5.57
Darrel Chaney SS -1.23 1.8

Mike Cuellar (23-11, 2.38) earned the Cy Young Award while fashioning the lowest WHIP (1.005) of his career. Claude Osteen (20-15, 2.66) delivered career-bests in victories, innings pitched (321), strikeouts (183) and WHIP (1.143). Jim Maloney contributed a 12-5 record with a 2.77 ERA and Casey Cox (12-7, 2.78) furnished strikingly similar statistics. Diego Segui anchored the bullpen with 12 wins, 12 saves and a 3.35 ERA.

ROTATION POS WAR WS
Claude Osteen SP 5.09 24.65
Mike Cuellar SP 4.91 24.57
Jim Maloney SP 3.93 14.63
Casey Cox SP 2.14 12.03
Gary Nolan SP 1.71 7.02
BULLPEN POS WAR WS
Diego Segui RP 1.38 11.3
Billy McCool RP -0.04 2.88
Dan McGinn RP -0.04 6.86
John Noriega RP -0.19 0
Jack Baldschun RP -0.3 3.57
Mel Queen SP 0.37 1.17
Sammy Ellis SP -0.33 0
Jose Pena RP -0.68 0

 

The “Original” 1969 Cincinnati Reds roster

NAME POS WAR WS General Manager Scouting Director
Jim Wynn CF 7.36 36.09 Bill DeWitt
Tony Perez 3B 5.77 30.41 Gabe Paul
Johnny Bench C 5.69 29.93 Bill DeWitt
Frank Robinson RF 5.31 31.84 Gabe Paul
Claude Osteen SP 5.09 24.65 Gabe Paul
Mike Cuellar SP 4.91 24.57 Gabe Paul
Pete Rose RF 4.83 36.77 Gabe Paul
Jim Maloney SP 3.93 14.63 Gabe Paul
Cesar Tovar CF 3.37 20.31 Gabe Paul
Lee May 1B 3.31 25.11 Gabe Paul
Leo Cardenas SS 2.81 23.74 Gabe Paul
Art Shamsky RF 2.61 16.22 Gabe Paul
Curt Flood CF 2.14 19.71 Gabe Paul
Casey Cox SP 2.14 12.03 Bill DeWitt
Johnny Edwards C 1.94 14.95 Gabe Paul
Tony Gonzalez LF 1.89 17.19 Gabe Paul
Tommy Harper 3B 1.78 16.64 Gabe Paul
Gary Nolan SP 1.71 7.02 Bob Howsam
Diego Segui RP 1.38 11.3 Gabe Paul
Brant Alyea LF 0.62 6.52 Bill DeWitt
Joe Azcue C 0.61 6.49 Gabe Paul
Don Pavletich C 0.5 4.96 Gabe Paul
Mel Queen SP 0.37 1.17 Gabe Paul
Vada Pinson RF 0.11 10.97 Gabe Paul
Chico Ruiz 2B 0.03 2.68 Gabe Paul
Clyde Mashore -0.01 0 Bill DeWitt
Billy McCool RP -0.04 2.88 Bill DeWitt
Bernie Carbo -0.04 0 Bill DeWitt
Dan McGinn RP -0.04 6.86 Bob Howsam
John Noriega RP -0.19 0 Bob Howsam
Vic Davalillo RF -0.21 2.26 Gabe Paul
Fred Kendall C -0.26 0.31 Bob Howsam Jim McLaughlin
Jack Baldschun RP -0.3 3.57 Gabe Paul
Sammy Ellis SP -0.33 0 Gabe Paul
Gus Gil 3B -0.64 1.8 Gabe Paul
Cookie Rojas 2B -0.66 2.56 Gabe Paul
Jose Pena RP -0.68 0 Bob Howsam
Len Boehmer 1B -0.91 0.58 Gabe Paul
Tommy Helms 2B -0.93 5.57 Gabe Paul
Darrel Chaney SS -1.23 1.8 Bob Howsam

 

Honorable Mention

The “Original” 1974 Reds                 OWAR: 52.6     OWS: 336     OPW%: .557

Cincinnati scrapped with Atlanta in the final weeks of the season. The Braves emerged with the division crown by two games while the Reds paced the National League in OWAR and OWS. Johnny Bench (.280/33/129) scored a career-high 108 runs and topped the RBI charts. Jim Wynn walloped 32 circuit clouts, drove in 108 baserunners and amassed 104 tallies. Pete Rose’s batting average dipped below .300 for the first time in ten years. All the same, “Charlie Hustle” paced the circuit with 45 doubles and 110 runs scored. Dave Concepcion earned his first of five Gold Glove Awards and contributed a .281 BA with 14 wallops and 41 steals. Hal McRae (.310/15/88) responded with 36 doubles after earning a full-time role. Ross “Scuz” Grimsley furnished an 18-13 record with a 3.07 ERA.

On Deck

The “Original” 1939 Yankees

References and Resources

Baseball America – Executive Database

Baseball-Reference

James, Bill. The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract. New York, NY.: The Free Press, 2001. Print.

James, Bill, with Jim Henzler. Win Shares. Morton Grove, Ill.: STATS, 2002. Print.

Retrosheet – Transactions Database

Seamheads – Baseball Gauge

Sean Lahman Baseball Archive


Hardball Retrospective – The “Original” 1997 Boston Red Sox

In “Hardball Retrospective: Evaluating Scouting and Development Outcomes for the Modern-Era Franchises”, I placed every ballplayer in the modern era (from 1901-present) on their original team. Therefore, Ron Santo is listed on the Cubs roster for the duration of his career while the Dodgers declare Steve Garvey and the Diamondbacks claim Justin Upton. I calculated revised standings for every season based entirely on the performance of each team’s “original” players. I discuss every team’s “original” players and seasons at length along with organizational performance with respect to the Amateur Draft (or First-Year Player Draft), amateur free agent signings and other methods of player acquisition.  Season standings, WAR and Win Shares totals for the “original” teams are compared against the “actual” team results to assess each franchise’s scouting, development and general management skills.

Expanding on my research for the book, the following series of articles will reveal the finest single-season rosters for every Major League organization based on overall rankings in OWAR and OWS along with the general managers and scouting directors that constructed the teams. “Hardball Retrospective” is available in digital format on Amazon, Barnes and Noble, GooglePlay, iTunes and KoboBooks. The paperback edition is available on Amazon, Barnes and Noble and CreateSpace. Supplemental Statistics, Charts and Graphs along with a discussion forum are offered at TuataraSoftware.com.

Don Daglow (Intellivision World Series Major League Baseball, Earl Weaver Baseball, Tony LaRussa Baseball) contributed the foreword for Hardball Retrospective. The foreword and preview of my book are accessible here.

Terminology

OWAR – Wins Above Replacement for players on “original” teams

OWS – Win Shares for players on “original” teams

OPW% – Pythagorean Won-Loss record for the “original” teams

Assessment

The 1997 Boston Red Sox          OWAR: 63.7     OWS: 317     OPW%: .583

Based on the revised standings the “Original” 1997 Red Sox outperformed the Yankees, seizing the American League pennant by ten games. Boston led the circuit in OWS and OWAR. GM Lou Gorman acquired 28 of the 36 ballplayers (78%) on the 1997 Red Sox roster.

Jeff Bagwell (.286/43/135) finished third in the MVP balloting and established personal-bests in RBI and stolen bases (31). Brady Anderson followed his 50-homer campaign in ’96 with 39 doubles and 18 jacks. Nomar Garciaparra (.306/30/98) merited the 1997 AL Rookie of the Year Award as he topped the charts with 209 base knocks and 11 triples. Mo “Hit Dog” Vaughn delivered a .315 BA with 35 round-trippers. John Valentin contributed 29 two-baggers and a .296 BA while third-sacker Wade Boggs managed a .292 average as a part-timer.

Bagwell and Boggs rate fourth among first and third basemen, respectively, according to Bill James in “The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract.” Teammates listed in the “NBJHBA” top 100 rankings include Roger Clemens (11th-SP), Garciaparra (T-17th-SS), Vaughn (51st-1B), Anderson (63rd-CF) and Burks (77th-CF).

LINEUP POS WAR WS
Brady Anderson CF 3.44 25.97
John Valentin 2B 4.45 21.03
Jeff Bagwell 1B 7.47 30.58
Nomar Garciaparra SS 4.19 25.54
Mo Vaughn DH/1B 3.2 22.31
Scott Hatteberg C 2.21 6.4
Wade Boggs 3B 1.26 11.37
Ellis Burks RF/CF 1.03 13.6
Phil Plantier LF -0.02 2.24
BENCH POS WAR WS
John Flaherty C 1.26 12.67
Tim Naehring 3B 1 8.1
Todd Pratt C 0.63 4.46
John Marzano C 0.05 2.39
Walt McKeel C -0.04 0
Jose Malave LF -0.08 0.04
Ryan McGuire 1B -0.12 3.98
Michael Coleman CF -0.27 0.11
Jody Reed 2B -0.46 1.52
Scott Cooper 3B -0.47 0.78
Danny Sheaffer 3B -0.71 0.79

 

Roger Clemens (21-7, 2.05) paced the Junior Circuit in victories, ERA, complete games (9), shutouts (3), strikeouts (292) and WHIP (1.030). The “Rocket” collected the fourth of seven Cy Young Awards and made his sixth All-Star appearance. Curt Schilling struck out a career-high 319 batsmen and fashioned a record of 17-11 with a 2.97 ERA. Paul Quantrill led a bullpen-by-committee, posting a 1.94 ERA along with 6 wins and 5 saves.

ROTATION POS WAR WS
Roger Clemens SP 12 32.22
Curt Schilling SP 5.93 22.29
Frankie Rodriguez SP 0.93 5.97
Aaron Sele SP 0.64 6.71
Jeff Suppan SP 0.24 3.72
BULLPEN POS WAR WS
Paul Quantrill RP 2.64 11.66
Ron Mahay RP 0.71 3.4
Joe Hudson RP 0.42 2.93
Shayne Bennett RP 0.34 1.51
Erik Plantenberg RP 0.06 1.07
Josias Manzanillo RP -0.17 0.28
Brian Rose SP -0.17 0
Reggie Harris RP -0.22 1.37
Greg Hansell RP -0.24 0
Cory Bailey RP -0.33 0.21
Ken Ryan RP -1.09 0

The “Original” 1997 Boston Red Sox roster

NAME POS WAR WS General Manager Scouting Director
Roger Clemens SP 12 32.22 Haywood Sullivan Eddie Kasko
Jeff Bagwell 1B 7.47 30.58 Lou Gorman Eddie Kasko
Curt Schilling SP 5.93 22.29 Lou Gorman Eddie Kasko
John Valentin 2B 4.45 21.03 Lou Gorman Eddie Kasko
Nomar Garciaparra SS 4.19 25.54 Dan Duquette Wayne Britton
Brady Anderson CF 3.44 25.97 Lou Gorman Eddie Kasko
Mo Vaughn 1B 3.2 22.31 Lou Gorman Eddie Kasko
Paul Quantrill RP 2.64 11.66 Lou Gorman Eddie Kasko
Scott Hatteberg C 2.21 6.4 Lou Gorman Eddie Kasko
Wade Boggs 3B 1.26 11.37 Dick O’Connell
John Flaherty C 1.26 12.67 Lou Gorman Eddie Kasko
Ellis Burks CF 1.03 13.6 Haywood Sullivan Eddie Kasko
Tim Naehring 3B 1 8.1 Lou Gorman Eddie Kasko
Frankie Rodriguez SP 0.93 5.97 Lou Gorman Eddie Kasko
Ron Mahay RP 0.71 3.4 Lou Gorman Eddie Kasko
Aaron Sele SP 0.64 6.71 Lou Gorman Eddie Kasko
Todd Pratt C 0.63 4.46 Lou Gorman Eddie Kasko
Joe Hudson RP 0.42 2.93 Lou Gorman Eddie Kasko
Shayne Bennett RP 0.34 1.51 Lou Gorman Wayne Britton
Jeff Suppan SP 0.24 3.72 Lou Gorman Wayne Britton
Erik Plantenberg RP 0.06 1.07 Lou Gorman Eddie Kasko
John Marzano C 0.05 2.39 Lou Gorman Eddie Kasko
Phil Plantier LF -0.02 2.24 Lou Gorman Eddie Kasko
Walt McKeel C -0.04 0 Lou Gorman Eddie Kasko
Jose Malave LF -0.08 0.04 Lou Gorman Eddie Kasko
Ryan McGuire 1B -0.12 3.98 Lou Gorman Wayne Britton
Josias Manzanillo RP -0.17 0.28 Haywood Sullivan Eddie Kasko
Brian Rose SP -0.17 0 Dan Duquette Wayne Britton
Reggie Harris RP -0.22 1.37 Lou Gorman Eddie Kasko
Greg Hansell RP -0.24 0 Lou Gorman Eddie Kasko
Michael Coleman CF -0.27 0.11 Dan Duquette Wayne Britton
Cory Bailey RP -0.33 0.21 Lou Gorman Eddie Kasko
Jody Reed 2B -0.46 1.52 Lou Gorman Eddie Kasko
Scott Cooper 3B -0.47 0.78 Lou Gorman Eddie Kasko
Danny Sheaffer 3B -0.71 0.79 Haywood Sullivan Eddie Kasko
Ken Ryan RP -1.09 0 Lou Gorman Eddie Kasko

 

Honorable Mention

The “Original” 1912 Red Sox             OWAR: 55.1     OWS: 317     OPW%: .591

Boston sailed to the pennant by a 13-game margin over the Athletics and Senators. Tris Speaker delivered an MVP season, notching League-bests with 53 doubles, 10 round-trippers and a .464 OBP. “The Grey Eagle” batted at a .383 clip, registered 136 tallies and posted career-highs in base hits (222) and stolen bases (52). Smoky Joe Wood (34-5, 1.91) dazzled opposition batsmen, twirling 10 shutouts and completing 35 of 38 starts. Larry Gardner contributed a .315 BA and legged out 18 three-baggers. Buck O’Brien recorded 20 victories with a 2.58 ERA in his only complete season in the Major Leagues. Hugh Bedient matched O’Brien’s win total and fashioned a 2.92 ERA in his rookie campaign. Duffy Lewis rapped 36 doubles and established a personal-best with 109 ribbies.

On Deck

The “Original” 1969 Reds

References and Resources

Baseball America – Executive Database

Baseball-Reference

James, Bill. The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract. New York, NY.: The Free Press, 2001. Print.

James, Bill, with Jim Henzler. Win Shares. Morton Grove, Ill.: STATS, 2002. Print.

Retrosheet – Transactions Database

Seamheads – Baseball Gauge

Sean Lahman Baseball Archive