The Baseball Fan’s Guide to Baby Naming
I’ve often wondered if some sort of bizarre connection exists between names and athletic ability, specifically when it comes to the sport of baseball. Considering I grew up in the 90’s, I will always associate certain names with possessing a supreme baseball talent. Names like Ken (Griffey Jr.), Mike (Piazza), Randy (Johnson), Greg (Maddux) and Frank (Thomas) are just a few examples. With a wealth of statistical information available, I thought I’d investigate into the possibility of an abnormal association between names and baseball skill.
I began digging up the most popular given names, by decade, using the 1970’s, 80’s & 90’s as focal points. This information was easily accessible on the official website of the U.S. Social Security Administration, as they provide the 200 most popular given names for male and female babies born during each decade. After scouring through all of the names listed, the records revealed there were 278 unique names appearing during that timespan.
Having narrowed down the most popular names for the timeframe, I wandered over to FanGraphs.com, to begin compiling the “skill” data. I will be using the statistic known as WAR (Wins Above Replacement) as my objective guide for evaluating talent. Sorting through all qualified players from 1970-1999, the data revealed 2,554 players eligible for inclusion. After combining all full names with their corresponding nicknames (i.e.: Michael & Mike), the list was condensed down to 507 unique names.
By comparing the 278 unique names identified via the Social Security Administration’s most popular names data, with the 507 qualified ballplayer names collected through FanGraphs, it was discovered that 193 of the names were present on both lists. The following tables point out some of the more intriguing findings the research was able to provide.
The first table[Table 1], below, is comprised of the 25 most frequent birth names from 1970-1999. The second table[Table 2] consists of the 25 WAR leaders by name, meaning the highest aggregate WAR totals collected by all players with that name. Naturally, many of the names that appear in the 25 most common names list, reappear here as well. Ken, Gary, Ron, Greg, Frank, Don, Chuck, George and Pete are the exceptions. It’s interesting to see that these names seem to have a higher AVG WAR per 1,000 births(as seen on the final table), perhaps indicative of those names’ supremacy as better baseball names? The last table[Table 3] contains the top 25 names by AVG WAR per 1,000 births; here we see some less common names finally begin to appear. These names provide the most proverbial bang (WAR) for your buck (name). Yes, some names, like Barry and Reggie, are inflated in the rankings — probably due to the dominant play of Barry Bonds and Reggie Jackson, but could it not also mean these players were just byproducts of their birth names?!? Probably not, but it’s interesting, nonetheless.
So if you’re looking to increase the chances your child will make it professionally as a baseball player, then you might want to take a look at the names toward the top of the AVG WAR per 1,000 births table, choose your favorite, and hope for the best…OR, you could always just have a daughter.
Please post comments with your thoughts or questions. Charts can be found below.
25 Most Common Birth Names 1970-1999
Rank |
Name |
Total Births |
Total WAR |
WAR per 1,000 Births |
1 |
Michael/Mike |
2,203,167 |
1,138 |
0.516529 |
2 |
Christopher/Chris |
1,555,705 |
184 |
0.11821 |
3 |
John |
1,374,102 |
799 |
0.581252 |
4 |
James/Jim |
1,319,849 |
678 |
0.513316 |
5 |
David/Dave |
1,275,295 |
859 |
0.673491 |
6 |
Robert/Rob/Bob |
1,244,602 |
873 |
0.70175 |
7 |
Jason |
1,217,737 |
77 |
0.062904 |
8 |
Joseph/Joe |
1,074,683 |
616 |
0.573006 |
9 |
Matthew/Matt |
1,033,326 |
95 |
0.091646 |
10 |
William/Will/Bill |
967,204 |
838 |
0.866415 |
11 |
Steve(Steven/Stephen) |
916,304 |
535 |
0.583649 |
12 |
Daniel/Dane |
912,098 |
233 |
0.255674 |
13 |
Brian |
879,592 |
154 |
0.174967 |
14 |
Anthony/Tony |
765,460 |
314 |
0.409819 |
15 |
Jeffrey/Jeff |
693,934 |
298 |
0.430012 |
16 |
Richard/Rich/Rick/Dick |
683,124 |
888 |
1.29991 |
17 |
Joshua |
677,224 |
0 |
0 |
18 |
Eric |
627,323 |
122 |
0.194637 |
19 |
Kevin |
613,357 |
305 |
0.497426 |
20 |
Thomas/Tom |
583,811 |
505 |
0.86552 |
21 |
Andrew/Andy |
566,653 |
184 |
0.325243 |
22 |
Ryan |
558,252 |
17 |
0.030094 |
23 |
Jon/Jonathan |
540,500 |
61 |
0.112118 |
24 |
Timothy/Tim |
535,434 |
253 |
0.473074 |
25 |
Mark |
518,108 |
397 |
0.765477 |
25 Highest Cumulative WAR, by Name, 1970-1999
Rank |
Name |
Total Births |
Total WAR |
WAR per 1,000 Births |
1 |
Michael/Mike |
2,203,167 |
1,138 |
0.516529 |
2 |
Richard/Rich/Rick/Dick |
683,124 |
888 |
1.29991 |
3 |
Robert/Rob/Bob |
1,244,602 |
873 |
0.70175 |
4 |
David/Dave |
1,275,295 |
859 |
0.673491 |
5 |
William/Will/Bill |
967,204 |
838 |
0.866415 |
6 |
John |
1,374,102 |
799 |
0.581252 |
7 |
James/Jim |
1,319,849 |
678 |
0.513316 |
8 |
Joseph/Joe |
1,074,683 |
616 |
0.573006 |
9 |
Steve(Steven/Stephen) |
916,304 |
535 |
0.583649 |
10 |
Thomas/Tom |
583,811 |
505 |
0.86552 |
11 |
Kenneth/Ken |
312,170 |
439 |
1.405644 |
12 |
Mark |
518,108 |
397 |
0.765477 |
13 |
Gary |
176,811 |
353 |
1.998179 |
14 |
Ronald/Ron |
246,721 |
342 |
1.38456 |
15 |
Anthony/Tony |
765,460 |
314 |
0.409819 |
16 |
Kevin |
613,357 |
305 |
0.497426 |
17 |
Gregory/Greg |
324,880 |
303 |
0.931729 |
18 |
Jeffrey/Jeff |
693,934 |
298 |
0.430012 |
19 |
Donald |
215,772 |
298 |
1.380161 |
20 |
Frank |
176,720 |
298 |
1.687415 |
21 |
Charles/Chuck |
458,032 |
262 |
0.571357 |
22 |
Timothy/Tim |
535,434 |
253 |
0.473074 |
23 |
Lawrence |
220,557 |
248 |
1.126239 |
24 |
George |
226,108 |
246 |
1.090187 |
25 |
Peter |
181,358 |
246 |
1.357536 |
25 Highest WAR per 1,000 Births, by Name, 1970-1999
Rank |
Name |
Total Births |
Total WAR |
WAR per 1,000 Births |
1 |
Barry |
34,534 |
175 |
5.079053 |
2 |
Leonard |
31,626 |
123 |
3.895529 |
3 |
Omar |
13,656 |
53 |
3.873755 |
4 |
Fernando |
13,180 |
47 |
3.543247 |
5 |
Theodore/Ted |
27,144 |
93 |
3.444592 |
6 |
Jack |
53,079 |
176 |
3.323348 |
7 |
Reginald/Reggie |
47,883 |
157 |
3.283002 |
8 |
Frederick/Fred |
54,529 |
146 |
2.681142 |
9 |
Bruce |
56,609 |
141 |
2.487237 |
10 |
Calvin |
43,412 |
107 |
2.453239 |
11 |
Gary |
176,811 |
353 |
1.998179 |
12 |
Roger |
77,458 |
151 |
1.948153 |
13 |
Glenn |
33,794 |
65 |
1.929337 |
14 |
Darrell |
53,317 |
102 |
1.920588 |
15 |
Frank |
176,720 |
298 |
1.687415 |
16 |
Dennis |
131,577 |
218 |
1.653024 |
17 |
Jerry |
122,465 |
201 |
1.638019 |
18 |
Dale |
36,162 |
54 |
1.48775 |
19 |
Lee |
62,922 |
89 |
1.406503 |
20 |
Kenneth/Ken |
312,170 |
439 |
1.405644 |
21 |
Louis/Lou |
142,969 |
200 |
1.400304 |
22 |
Ronald/Ron |
246,721 |
342 |
1.38456 |
23 |
Roy |
59,004 |
82 |
1.382957 |
24 |
Donald |
215,772 |
298 |
1.380161 |
25 |
Jay |
63,795 |
87 |
1.368446 |
List of my thoughts, in order:
1. Oh my god. Oh my god. This is amazing.
2. Joshua – 0 WAR? Really, 0 WAR for Joshua? Joshua P. Beckett has 39 career WAR; Joshua D. Willingham has 17.6; Joshua D. Bard has 4.6. Are the other Joshes so bad they cancel them out? Or did you not include Josh? I notice the only Fangraphs hit for “Joshua” is Von Joshua, so there has never been an MLBer who went by Joshua. Which is pretty weird.
3. Leonard? Leonard produced 123 WAR? Who the hell is named Leonard?
Oh, did this only include Joshua statistics from pre-1999?
Here’s another amusing fact.
Barry – 175 WAR before 1999
Barry Bonds – 102 WAR (58.3%)
Barry Larkin – 62 WAR (35.4%)
Everyone else named Barry – 11 WAR (6.3%)
Is this based on WAR over the history of baseball, or just a certain subset?
This is based on WAR from 1970 thru 1999.
Yep, this only included stats from 1970-1999. Josh didn’t get represented too well since Beckett, Willingham, and Bard just missed out on inclusion.
Absurd, right? It almost didn’t even seem fair to include Barry in my findings…
I had the same reaction re: Leonard. Only player of note I can think of is Dykstra.
Bip Roberts’ first name is Leon. Leon Durham, Len Barker…maybe enough 10-20 WAR guys to get the total there.
Great catch with Bip; completely whiffed on that nickname anomaly.
Taking this knowledge into consideration would raise that naming group’s total WAR for the time frame to over 140. Pretty impressive for a name that doesn’t appear to be too common.
roberts shmoberts
I had the same initial reaction as well. Aside from Dykstra, the only other Lenny that I can personally recollect watching is Lenny Harris, of pinch-hitting fame. It seems there were enough Leonards, Leons, Leos, Lennys, Lens, & Lenns to bump their total up that high. Also, as tz notes below, Bip Roberts’ first name is actually Leon, further raising the total.
Now imagine if you could include Leonard, Dennis and Leonard, Jeffrey…
My replies to your thoughts, in order:
1. I’m glad there is someone out there who shares my enthusiasm for odd baseball correlations!
2. Yes, I too noticed that Josh/Joshua seemed to be getting slightly shafted and thought it might have been due to the Josh vs Joshua dynamic, but as you noted in your follow-up post, the data only included statistics from 1970-1999, which surprisingly contained no accumulated WAR for Josh/Joshua(other than the Von Joshua).
3. All players dumped into Leonard/Leon/Leo/Lenny/Len group(I apologize for not labeling Leonard’s grouping in full and causing confusion):
Leon Roberts
70s=8.9
80s=2.2
Leo Cardenas
70s=6.6
Leon Durham
80s=15.5
Leo Gomez
90s=10.5
Len Randle
70s=7
Lenny Dykstra
80s=13.7
90s=26.3
Lenn Sakata
80s=4
Len Barker
80s=21.8
Lenny Webster
90s=4.2
Lenny Harris
90s=2.5
TOTAL=123.2
Great stuff, but you should adjust for immigrant players. Names like Omar and Fernando are less popular here in the US, so that probably skews the numbers a little.
You’re absolutely right. That was my biggest disappointment at the conclusion of my research so far. I’ll have to check out some international census data to see if I can improve upon these somewhat skewed names.
This is great work, but I think your method overlooks an obvious method for naming your child into the big leagues. Names like Osborne, Ryne, and Gaylord are clear baseball gold, but they won’t appear on any baby name lists. And then there’s the importance of the name you can’t choose: your last name. Unless you happen to be from the Boggs, Grich, or Blyleven families you’re SOL.
I, for one, will be naming my second child Napoleon Buford Britt. Boy or Girl.
Hahaha, that’s a great observation. Perhaps the last name is where the real baseball talent emanates…
In any case, for your second child’s sake, David, I pray that you have a boy…