In “Hardball Retrospective: Evaluating Scouting and Development Outcomes for the Modern-Era Franchises”, I placed every ballplayer in the modern era (from 1901-present) on their original team. I calculated revised standings for every season based entirely on the performance of each team’s “original” players. I discuss every team’s “original” players and seasons at length along with organizational performance with respect to the Amateur Draft (or First-Year Player Draft), amateur free agent signings and other methods of player acquisition. Season standings, WAR and Win Shares totals for the “original” teams are compared against the “actual” team results to assess each franchise’s scouting, development and general management skills.
Expanding on my research for the book, the following series of articles will reveal the teams with the biggest single-season difference in the WAR and Win Shares for the “Original” vs. “Actual” rosters for every Major League organization. “Hardball Retrospective” is available in digital format on Amazon, Barnes and Noble, GooglePlay, iTunes and KoboBooks. The paperback edition is available on Amazon, Barnes and Noble and CreateSpace. Supplemental Statistics, Charts and Graphs along with a discussion forum are offered at TuataraSoftware.com.
Don Daglow (Intellivision World Series Major League Baseball, Earl Weaver Baseball, Tony LaRussa Baseball) contributed the foreword for Hardball Retrospective. The foreword and preview of my book are accessible here.
OWAR – Wins Above Replacement for players on “original” teams
OWS – Win Shares for players on “original” teams
OPW% – Pythagorean Won-Loss record for the “original” teams
AWAR – Wins Above Replacement for players on “actual” teams
AWS – Win Shares for players on “actual” teams
APW% – Pythagorean Won-Loss record for the “actual” teams
The 1984 San Francisco Giants
OWAR: 42.9 OWS: 294 OPW%: .508 (82-80)
AWAR: 27.7 AWS: 198 APW%: .407 (66-96)
WARdiff: 15.2 WSdiff: 96
The “Original” 1984 Giants ended the season with a winning record but merely earned a fifth place finish, 9 games behind the Astros. Gary “Sarge” Matthews established a career-best with 101 runs scored while pacing the circuit with 103 walks and a .410 OBP. Chili Davis contributed a .315 BA and merited his first All-Star invitation. Dave “Kong” Kingman walloped 35 four-baggers and knocked in a personal-best 118 baserunners. Bob Brenly achieved his lone All-Star nod with a .291 BA, 20 dingers and 80 ribbies. Jack Clark supplied a .320 BA with 11 long balls prior to a season-ending injury in mid-June. Dan “Dazzle” Gladden ignited the offense following his recall from the minor leagues in late June, posting a .351 BA and swiping 31 bags.
Jack Clark is ranked 27th among right fielders according to Bill James in “The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract.” “Original” Giants teammates listed in the “NBJHBA” top 100 rankings include George Foster (34th-LF), Gary Matthews (46th-LF), Garry Maddox (56th-CF), Chili Davis (64th-RF), Chris Speier (68th-SS) and Dave Kingman (98th-LF). Al Oliver (31th-CF), Manny Trillo (49th-2B) and Dusty Baker (54th-LF) make the register for the “Actual” Giants.
Original 1984 Giants Actual 1984 Giants
|Gary Matthews||LF||2.68||22.93||Jeffrey Leonard||LF||2.38||20.37|
|Dan Gladden||CF||2.81||16.46||Dan Gladden||CF||2.81||16.46|
|Chili Davis||RF/CF||4.19||21.58||Chili Davis||RF/CF||4.19||21.58|
|John Rabb||1B||-0.14||1.01||Scot Thompson||1B||0.35||6.89|
|Johnnie LeMaster||SS||-0.47||7.23||Johnnie LeMaster||SS||-0.47||7.23|
|Chris Brown||3B||0.31||2.26||Joel Youngblood||3B||-0.89||9.5|
|Bob Brenly||C||3.58||21.32||Bob Brenly||C||3.58||21.32|
|Dave Kingman||DH||2.49||21.48||Jack Clark||RF||2.01||11.84|
|George Foster||LF||1.16||18.27||Dusty Baker||RF||1.19||8.81|
|Jack Clark||RF||2.01||11.84||Al Oliver||1B||-0.85||6.56|
|Bob Kearney||C||0.26||8.63||Steve Nicosia||C||0.79||4.99|
|Garry Maddox||CF||0.53||6.67||Brad Wellman||2B||-0.45||3.74|
|Chris Speier||SS||-0.24||2.96||Chris Brown||3B||0.31||2.26|
|Rob Deer||LF||0.28||1.24||Fran Mullins||3B||0.24||2.08|
|Randy Gomez||C||-0.02||0.18||Gene Richards||LF||-0.04||1.92|
|Tom O’Malley||3B||-0.5||0.03||Rob Deer||LF||0.28||1.24|
|Jose Morales||–||-0.19||0||John Rabb||1B||-0.14||1.01|
|Casey Parsons||–||-0.01||0||Duane Kuiper||2B||-1.06||0.82|
Bob Knepper rebounded from an 11-28 mark in the previous two campaigns to achieve a 15-10 record with a 3.20 ERA and 1.190 WHIP. Gary Lavelle notched 12 saves and fashioned a 2.76 ERA as the primary closer. Frank Williams collected 9 victories in a long relief role during his rookie year.
Original 1984 Giants Actual 1984 Giants
|Bob Knepper||SP||2.16||12.43||Bill Laskey||SP||-0.02||4.8|
|Pete Falcone||SP||0.91||5.33||Mike Krukow||SP||-1.04||3.94|
|John Montefusco||SP||0.58||3.27||Jeff D. Robinson||SP||-0.67||2.84|
|Jeff D. Robinson||SP||-0.67||2.84||Atlee Hammaker||SP||0.96||2.28|
|Mark Calvert||SP||-0.39||0.22||George Riley||SP||0.19||0.98|
|Gary Lavelle||RP||1.78||7.85||Gary Lavelle||RP||1.78||7.85|
|Frank Williams||RP||0.43||5.7||Greg Minton||RP||-0.02||6.29|
|John Henry Johnson||RP||1.22||4.39||Frank Williams||RP||0.43||5.7|
|Scott Garrelts||SW||-1.13||0||Randy Lerch||RP||0.11||2.58|
|Gorman Heimueller||RP||-0.7||0||Bob Lacey||RP||-0.07||1.51|
|Mark Grant||SP||-1.1||0||Renie Martin||RP||-0.09||0.99|
|Mark W. Davis||SP||-1.91||0.18|
November 17, 1976: Signed as a Free Agent with the Atlanta Braves.
March 25, 1981: Traded by the Atlanta Braves to the Philadelphia Phillies for Bob Walk.
March 26, 1984: Traded by the Philadelphia Phillies with Porfi Altamirano and Bob Dernier to the Chicago Cubs for Bill Campbell and Mike Diaz.
February 28, 1975: Purchased by the New York Mets from the San Francisco Giants for $150,000.
June 15, 1977: Traded by the New York Mets to the San Diego Padres for Paul Siebert and Bobby Valentine.
September 6, 1977: Selected off waivers by the California Angels from the San Diego Padres.
September 15, 1977: Traded by the California Angels to the New York Yankees for Randy Stein and cash.
November 2, 1977: Granted Free Agency.
November 30, 1977: Signed as a Free Agent with the Chicago Cubs.
February 28, 1981: Traded by the Chicago Cubs to the New York Mets for Steve Henderson and cash.
January 30, 1984: Released by the New York Mets.
March 29, 1984: Signed as a Free Agent with the Oakland Athletics.
May 29, 1971: Traded by the San Francisco Giants to the Cincinnati Reds for Frank Duffy and Vern Geishert.
February 10, 1982: Traded by the Cincinnati Reds to the New York Mets for Greg Harris, Jim Kern and Alex Trevino.
December 8, 1980: Traded by the San Francisco Giants with Chris Bourjos to the Houston Astros for Enos Cabell.
The 1906 New York Giants
OWAR: 65.9 OWS: 361 OPW%: .591 (91-63)
AWAR: 50.8 AWS: 287 APW%: .632 (96-56)
WARdiff: 15.1 WSdiff: 74
The New York Giants secured the organization’s fourth consecutive pennant in 1906 with a record of 91-63, placing three games in front of the St. Louis Cardinals. Third-sacker Art Devlin pilfered 54 bases and delivered a .299 BA. Harry H. Davis topped the leader boards with 12 big-flies and 96 ribbies. Converted outfielder Cy Seymour nabbed 29 bags and drove in 80 baserunners while “Wee” Willie Keeler batted .304 with 23 steals. Christy Mathewson furnished 22 victories along with a 2.97 ERA. Left-hander Hooks Wiltse recorded 16 wins with an ERA of 2.27 and a WHIP of 1.143.
What Might Have Been – The “Original” 2004 Royals
References and Resources
James, Bill. The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract. New York, NY.: The Free Press, 2001. Print.
James, Bill, with Jim Henzler. Win Shares. Morton Grove, Ill.: STATS, 2002. Print.
The information used here was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Interested parties may contact Retrosheet at “www.retrosheet.org”.
Derek Bain is a New Jersey native with a passion for baseball, statistics, computers and video games. He has written a number of articles for Fangraphs and Seamheads, and enjoys spending quality time with his family.